Free College Football Picks Week 6 Part 4-10/5/2024
South Alabama vs. Arkansas College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
South Alabama at Arkansas ST 7PM ET—South Alabama fell to 2-3 following their 42-10 road defeat at LUS. The Jaguars put up 333 yards with 112 rushing for 3.4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 667 yards to the Tigers with 430 passing on 42 attempts. Gio Lopez completed 16 of 22 for 171 yards with a touchdown. Arkansas St is 2-2 after their 52-7 road defeat at Iowa St. The Red Wolves gained only 242 yards with 64 rushing for under two yards per rush. Defensively they allowed 490 yards to the Cyclones with 253 passing on 25 attempts. Jaylen Raynor hit 5 of 16 for 68 yards and two interceptions. Raynor was benched for the second straight game for Timmy McClain who hit 4 of 7 for 50 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick:
Arkansas St struggling with their run game with 2.9 yards a carry. Their quarterback situation is a concern as they are getting inaccurate play with 54.8% completion rate. Arkansas St limited Tulsa and Michigan on the scoring column. Arkansas St is 4-0 to the under at home after allowing 37 or greater points. Play South Alabama and Arkansas St under 62.
Nevada vs. San Jose St College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Nevada at San Jose St 7:30PM ET—Nevada moved to 2-3 after their 49-16 home win to FCS Eastern Washington. The Prior week they dropped a 27-0 road decision at Minnesota. The Wolf Pack produced 172 yards with 58 rushing for 1.9 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 386 yards to the Golden Gophers with 195 rushing for 6.1 yards a carry. Brendon Lewis went 15 of 23 for 114 yards and three interceptions. San Jose St sits at 3-1 with their 54-52 road overtime defeat to Washington St. The Spartans posted 491 yards with 116 rushing for 5.5 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 627 yards to the Cougars with 390 passing on 46 attempts. Emmett Brown completed 35 of 54 for 375 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Pick:
Nevada is getting good offensive production with 5.1 yards per run along with 68.5% completions with 7.1 yards per pass attempt. San Jose St one dimensional as they rush for only 2.6 yards a carry. The Wolf Pack has played the tougher schedule. Nevada is 7-5 to the spread as a road underdog. San Jose St is 1-4 to the spread at home against a losing team. Play Nevada +7.
Tennessee vs. Arkansas College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Tennessee at Arkansas 7:30PM ET—Tennessee improved to 4-0 following their 25-15 road win at Oklahoma. The Volunteers gained 345 yards with 151 rushing for nearly three yards a carry. On defense they allowed 224 yards to the Sooners with 36 rushing on 34 attempts. Nico Iamaleava completed 13 of 21 passes for 194 yards and a touchdown. Arkansas drops to 3-2 with their 21-17 neutral site defeat to Texas A&M. The Razorbacks put up 379 yards with 100 rushing yards for 3.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 297 yards to the Aggies with 163 passing on 22 attempts. Taylen Green converted on 23 of 41 passes for 279 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
Arkansas has covered all three games against the Power 4 conferences all away from home. Now they are home in this spot. The Razorbacks offense is putting up 5.3 yards per run and getting production downfield in the passing game with 7.9 yards per pass attempt. They defend by holding opponents to 3.2 yards per run and 57.5% completion rate. Tennessee has outstanding numbers. But padded some of those numbers against weak opponents. They were held to 25 at Oklahoma. Play Arkansas +13.5.
Baylor vs. Iowa St College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Baylor at Iowa St 7:30PM ET—Baylor drops to 2-3 following their 34-28 home defeat to BYU. The Bears put up 387 yards with 63 rushing for under three yards a carry. On defense they allowed 367 yards to the Cougars with 215 rushing for 4.1 yards a carry. Sawyer Robertson hit 27 of 48 for 324 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. Iowa St is now 4-0 with their 20-0 road win at Houston. The Cyclones gained 393 yards with 240 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. On defense they held the Cougars to 241 yards with 72 passing on 16 attempts. Rocco Becht went 17 of 28 for 153 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick:
Baylor has defended well holding opponents to 3.5 yards per run with 529% completion rate for 6.6 yards per pass attempt. They do make plays downfield in the passing game with 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Iowa St has put up good offensive numbers, but they surrender 4.2 yards a carry by solid against the pass. Baylor has played the tougher schedule. In the Cyclones only major test they got past Iowa by one on the road. Play Baylor +12.
USC vs. Minnesota College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
USC at Minnesota 7:30PM ET—USC improved to 3-1 following their 38-21 home win to Wisconsin. The Trojans gained 469 yards with 161 rushing for 4.4 yards a carry. On defense they held the Badgers to 286 yards with 180 passing on 26 attempts. Miller Moss went 30 of 45 for 308 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. He had a rushing touchdown. Minnesota fell to 2-3 after their 27-24 road defeat at Michigan. The Golden Gophers had 296 yards with 38 rushing on 25 carries. Defensively they allowed 231 yards to the Wolverines with 86 rushing on 18 attempts. Max Brosmer connected on 27 of 40 for 258 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
The Golden Gophers are defending well by limiting opponents to 3.8 yards a carry with only 56.3% completion percentage with 4.3 yards per pass attempt. In the passing game they are completing 66% with 7.1 yards per pass attempt. USC in their true road game at Michigan rushed for only 3.8 yards a carry and gave up 5.7 yards per run with 72% completion rate. The Golden Gophers are 4-2 to the spread at home following a road game. Play Minnesota +8.5.
Michigan vs. Washington College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Michigan at Washington 7:30PM ET—Michigan improved to 4-1 following their 27-24 home win to Minnesota. The Wolverines produced 241 yards with 155 rushing for 3.6 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 296 yards to the Golden Gophers with 38 rushing on 25 carries. Alex Orji hit 10 of 18 for 86 yards with a touchdown and pick in his first start. Washington fell to 3-2 with their 21-18 road defeat at Rutgers. The Huskies put up 521 yards with 207 rushing for 7.1 yards a carry. On defense they held the Scarlet Knights to 299 yards with 115 passing on 24 attempts. Will Rogers went 26 of 36 for 306 yards and two touchdowns.
The Pick:
First road start for Orji in a tough environment and first road game for the team after five straight home games. The Wolverines have failed to cover four of five this season. Michigan a one-dimensional offense as they rush for 5.2 yards a carry but getting only 5.3 yards per pass attempt. The defense has been solid except against Texas. Washington has been balanced offensively with 5.3 yards per run along with 74.8% completion rate with 9.1 yards per pass attempt. The defense has been strong by allowing 3.8 yards a carry and only 45.8% completions against with 4.4 yards per pass attempt. Play Washington -2.5.
UCF vs. Florida College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
UCF at Florida 7:45PM ET—UCF drops to 3-1 following their 48-21 home defeat to Colorado. The Knights put up 461 yards with 177 rushing for 4 yards a carry. On defense they surrender 418 yards to the Buffs with 290 passing on 35 attempts. KJ Jefferson hit 20 of 35 for 284 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Florida improved to 2-2 after their 45-28 road win at Mississippi St. The Gators gained 503 yards with 226 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 480 yards to the Bulldogs with 240 rushing for 4.3 yards a carry. DJ Lagway was 7 of 7 for 76 yards. Graham Hertz converted 19 of 21 for 201 yards and three touchdowns.
The Pick:
UCF has struggled in pass defense by allowing 67.1% completions with 251 yards and 7.2 yards per pass attempt. Florida offense balanced with 4.7 yards a carry with 70% completions for 10.1 yards per pass attempt. Defensively they hold foes to 4.2 yards a carry. UCF in their Power 4 games allowed 48 at Colorado and 34 at TCU. They are 2-6 to the spread as a road favorite. Play Florida +2.5.
Duke vs. Georgia Tech College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Duke at Georgia Tech 8PM ET—Duke improved to 5-0 following their 21-20 home win to North Carolina. The Blue Devils gained 394 yards with 185 rushing for 4.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 407 yards to the Tar Heels with 251 passing on 39 attempts. Maalik Murphy connected on 15 of 34 for 209 yards and a touchdown. Georgia Tech sits at 3-2 with their 31-19 road defeat at Louisville. The Yellow Jackets posted 410 yards with 98 rushing for 3.7 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 326 yards with 269 passing on 19 attempts. Haynes King hit 21 of 32 for 312 yards.
The Pick:
Georgia Tech has dropped both recent Power 4 opponents at Louisville and Syracuse. The home schedule has been easy with Georgia St and VMI. The Yellow Jackets pass defense is allowing 66.2% completions with 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Duke has defended well allowing just 3.5 yards a carry with 4.7 yards per pass attempt. They held North Carolina to 20 points. Georgia Tech to the spread as a home favorite. Play Duke +9.
Kansas vs. Arizona St College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Kansas at Arizona St 8PM ET—Kansas fell to 1-4 following their 39-27 home defeat to TCU. The Jayhawks gained 346 yards with 167 rushing for 4.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 507 yards to the Horned Frogs with 356 passing on 37 attempts. Jalon Daniels completed 15 of 34 for 179 yards with a touchdown and pick. Arizona St fell to 3-1 after their 30-22 road defeat at Texas Tech. The Sun Devils put up 376 yards with 94 rushing for 3.1 yards a carry. Defensively they gave up 334 yards to the Red Raiders with 201 passing on 44 attempts. Sam Leavitt connected on 22 of 38 for 282 yards with an interception. He had a rushing touchdown.
The Pick:
Arizona St has run the football for 199 yards and 4.5 yards a carry. They make plays downfield in the passing game with 7.8 yards per pass attempt. They have defended well holding opponents to 2.6 yards per run and six yards per pass attempt. Kansas is 6-11 to the spread on the road. Kansas is struggled with accuracy and efficiency in the passing game. On defense they allow 8.4 yards per pass attempt. Play Arizona St -2.
Hawaii vs. San Diego St College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Hawaii at San Diego St 8PM ET—Hawaii improved to 2-2 after their 36-7 home win to Northern Iowa. Two weeks ago, it was a 31-13 road defeat at Sam Houston St. The Warriors gained 308 yards with 56 rushing on 21 carries. On defense they allowed 422 yards to the Bearkats with 257 rushing for 5.5 yards a carry. San Diego St drops to 1-3 following their 22-21 road win at Central Michigan. The Aztecs put p 364 yards with 118 rushing for 2.6 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 452 yards to the Chippewas with 298 passing on 46 attempts. Danny O’Neil completed 14 of 23 for 246 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick:
San Diego St very flawed. They rush for 2.9 yards a carry and are inaccurate at the quarterback position with 50.6% completion rate. Defensively they are allowing 222 yards rushing per game for 4.9 yards per carry. Hawaii getting better production the ground and through the air. Defensively the Warriors are holding opponents to 4.1 yards per run and 57.6% completions with 6.1 yards per pass attempt. San Diego St has played the tougher schedule. Hawaii has beaten two FCS teams. In their two FBS losses they were held to 13 points at Sam Houston St and 13 at home to UCLA. Play Hawaii and San Diego St under 48.5.
Miami Florida vs. California College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Miami Florida at Cal 10:30PM ET—Miami sits at 5-0 following their 38-34 home victory to Virginia Tech. The Hurricanes gained 507 yards with 165 rushing for 5.2 yards a carry. On defense they surrendered 394 yards to the Hokies with 206 rushing for 6.4 yards a carry. Cam Ward completed 24 of 38 for 343 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions. He rushed for 57 yards and a touchdown. California drops to 3-1 after their 15-9 road defeat at Florida St. The Golden Bears produced 410 yards with 107 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. Defensively they gave up 284 yards to the Seminoles with 107 rushing for 2.6 yards a carry. Fernando Mendoza connected on 22 of 36 for 303 yards and an interception.
The Pick:
Miami is getting good offensive production with 5.9 yards per run and 71.8% completions for 10.8 yards per pass attempt. The Hurricanes defend the run and pass very well. California offensively is running for only 3.9 yards a carry but throw for 7 yards per pass attempt. Their defensive numbers have been good. They were held to 9 points at Florida St in their conference opener in defeat. Two blowout wins for Miami on the road at USF and Florida. Play Miami -10.
Texas Tech vs. Arizona College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Texas Tech at Arizona 11PM ET—Texas Tech improved to 4-1 following their 44-41 home win to Cincinnati. The Red Raiders posted 482 yards with 231 rushing for 6.4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 555 yards to the Bearcats with 426 passing on 45 attempts. Behren Morton went 19 of 29 for 251 yards with two touchdowns. He rushed for 46 yards. Arizona is 3-1 with their 23-10 road win at Utah. The Wildcats gained 358 yards with 161 rushing for 5.4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 364 yards to the Utes with 280 passing on 40 attempts. Noah Fifita hit 19 of 31 for 197 yards with two touchdowns and a pick.
The Pick:
The Red Raiders offense is running for 5.3 yards a carry and is getting efficient work at quarterback. Defensively they are holding teams to 4.3 yards per run but issues in defending the pass. Arizona is good offensive team with 5.9 yards per run and accurate and efficient quarterback play. On defense they allow 4.5 yards per run and only 56.2% completion percentage. The Red Raiders offense has improved the past three games. The Wildcats point production an issue here. Play Texas Tech +6.5.