The showdown between Carla “Cookie Monster” Esparza and Tecia “Tiny Tornado” Pennington is one of the highlights that most MMA fans are looking forward to at UFC 307. Slated for October 5, 2024, at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah, this fight is likely to steal the show. Each of them proved they can withstand pressure and skill the opponent in their previous bouts, however as we explore the free UFC 307 predictions and odds, it is evident that many factors can be taken into consideration in this fight. Lines have already moved and Young is going into his fight as an underdog at +145 with Pennington as large -175 favorite.
Carla Esparza vs. Tecia Pennington 10/5/24 Game Info |
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When: | Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET |
Where: | Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA |
TV: | ESPN+ |
Esparza Odds: | +145 |
Pennington Odds: | -175 |
Carla “Cookie Monster” Esparza Analysis
With an impressive record of 20 victories against 7 losses, Carla Esparza is one of the toughest competitors in the Women’s Strawweight category. Based on her average fight time, which is almost 14 minutes, it can be said that she is a rather tactical and resilient fighter. Esparza has a prominent grappling ability, averaging 3.22 total takedowns every 15-minute period with a 35% takedown accuracy. Said stats might be crucial against Pennington who has a better takedown defense rate up at 65%. Let us reminisce about the 38-year-old Esparza the last time she fought saying Pennington whom she recently fought lost to Weili, rousing with details from those top brasses. As she prepares for this bout, her experience could be as influential as Court McGee’s longevity in the Welterweight division, where perseverance and adaptation have defined his career.
Tecia “Tiny Tornado” Pennington Analysis
Tecia Pennington falls into the same height category as Esparza but lacks in the reaching distance however, she comes with a striking benefit in the octagon. Furthermore, Pennington manages to land striking at an admirable rate of 4.78 significant strikes a minute with an accuracy of 47%. Statistics show that her striking defense is 61%, which is better than Esparza’s, indicating that she can defend against some of her opponents’ attacking moves while making her own. Understandably, Pennington also has lower grappling statistics than her behavior displayed previously when she suffered a loss in the last fight against Ricci. She has good composure and can expect pressure, much like Ovince Saint Preux in the Light Heavyweight division, who tends to use unconventional techniques that keep his opponents guessing.
Carla Esparza vs. Tecia Pennington Stats
Esparza | Pennington | |
Wins/Losses/Draws | 20-7-0 | 13-7-0 |
Average Fight Time | 13:57 | 13:48 |
Height | 5′ 1″ | 5′ 1″ |
Weight | 115 lbs. | 115 lbs. |
Reach | 63″ | 60″ |
Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
Strikes Landed per Min. | 2.16 | 4.78 |
Striking Accuracy | 40% | 47% |
Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 2.69 | 3.59 |
Defense | 55% | 61% |
Takedowns Average/15 min. | 3.22 | 0.61 |
Takedown Accuracy | 35% | 14% |
Takedown Defense | 47% | 65% |
Submission Average/15 min. | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Carla Esparza vs. Tecia Pennington Betting Picks
Considering the factors that pertain to both fighters, one will have to go beyond mere physicality in addressing the bout between Esparza and Pennington. Rather, one will consider it a strategic dogfight. Pennington has the advantage of striking more effectively, making Pennington able to withstand Esparza’s grappling dominance. These are the factors that should be kept in mind by the bettors when making their selections.
Statistical and stylistic analysis indicates that Pennington will likely be the better pick. She engages in striking with very effective means and has some answers to defend the takedowns that Esparza will likely try to force, which could be valuable in a fight likely to be very close.
Free Pick: Tecia “Tiny Tornado” Pennington -175
With UFC 307 on the horizon now and the anticipation that comes with it, the fight between Carla Esparza and Tecia Pennington is worth waiting for and remembering because it is worth it. Some fans want to put their money at stake, so examining the fighters’ previous participation, current condition, and fighting styles is prudent. It is advisable to interact with top exclusive handicappers about these particulars and ensure that your sports gambling strategies are as efficient as the athletes’ performance in the octagon.