With UFC 307 about to take place at Delta Center, Salt Lake City, and the fans and bettors looking forward to the lightweight bout between Austin Hubbard and Alexander Hernandez, the paparazzi cannot be overlooked. There will be a showcase of amazing martial arts skills in this matchup, with their respective competitive records being major encouraging factors, Hubbard at 17-7-0 and Hernandez 14-8-0. The fight shows a lot of their hard work, which interests people who want to know where to get free MMA betting picks.
Austin Hubbard vs. Alexander Hernandez 10/5/24 Game Info |
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When: | Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET |
Where: | Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA |
TV: | ESPN+ |
Hubbard Odds: | -220 |
Hernandez Odds: | +185 |
Austin Hubbard Analysis
Austin Hubbard enters the octagon with 17 victories and 7 defeats. Texas’ striking precision and ability to strike with a high rate of 4.11 significant strikes landed per minute are clear offensive assets. With a strike percentage of 51.76%, significant strikes have landed, and Hubbard knows where to land his shots. Grappling is also one of his strengths, evidenced by a takedown average of 1.75 and a takedown accuracy of 50%. It would seem safe to say, therefore that the fighter Hubbard is more than just a striker and has other skills able to dictate the pace and the place of the fight. As we anticipate this match, it’s interesting to parallel this with Tecia Pennington who will fight for the Women’s Strawweight. Both fighters share a robustness in adapting their strategies to their opponents, making historical references to their resilience in the octagon.
Alexander Hernandez Analysis
On his part of the octagon, Alexander Hernandez bounces into the cage with a record of 14 wins, 8 losses, and 0 draws. Hernandez employs a comparatively robust tactic with 4.33 significant strikes landing every minute, though his percentage of strikes landing is lower at 44.93%. Regarding grappling standards, he averages 1.06 strikes per fight and has a 31.03 percent accuracy rating. The above statistics show that Hernandez’s fighting style can be defined by his relentless quest to establish himself as the top fighter in the cage, much like how Ryan Spann will be fighting in the – Light Heavyweight division on the same night. Spann’s style will present a peculiar counter to Hernandez as Spann is explosive and a finisher in fights, which might affect an already dominant affair.
Austin Hubbard vs. Alexander Hernandez Stats
Hubbard | Hernandez | |
Wins/Losses/Draws | 17-7-0 | 14-8-0 |
Average Fight Time | 12:23 | 9:50 |
Height | 5’ 10” | 5’ 9” |
Weight | 156 lbs | 147 lbs |
Reach | 71″ | 72″ |
Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
Strikes Landed per Min. | 4.11 | 4.33 |
Striking Accuracy | 51.76% | 44.93% |
Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 3.74 | 4.66 |
Defense | 56% | 55% |
Takedowns Average/15 min. | 1.75 | 1.06 |
Takedown Accuracy | 50% | 31.03% |
Takedown Defense | 65% | 59% |
Submission Average/15 min. | 0.00 | 0.12 |
Austin Hubbard vs. Alexander Hernandez Betting Picks
When it comes to how each fighter fights, Hubbard seems to win just a little over Hubbard as far as versatility and accuracy are concerned and this could count a great deal in the outcome of the fight. This makes him dangerous to Hernandez, who is quite aggressive but not very accurate with his punches or grappling, as he is good at mixing attacks and grapples. The odds are Hernandez -220 Hubbard +185, which favors Hernandez as the most likely winner, although it would seem that such odds may give Hubbard less credit than he deserves and that his chances of winning an upset warrant.
As far as betting recommendations are concerned, this fight has a good case for the underdog bettors. Hubbard’s well-rounded skills and prospects for improvement in the cage, in particular, make him a good choice, especially at such great value. It is not unusual in MMA that this sort of situation brings surprises and therefore Hubbard is a good bet to consider if one wishes to take the underdog route hence waiting for more value for the odds.
Free Pick: Austin Hubbard +185
Austin Hubbard and Alexander Hernandez are two athletes that many perceive as top tier contenders in the lightweight division which is something that will be in focus as the tournament approaches. If you are inclined to indulge in some betting, you may consider picking the underdog, whose chances for a win are often higher than what the odds will have you believe. As always, make sure to check our Handicapper best picks fore more such recommendations will be made close to the fight with the aim of helping you place your bets wisely.