Free College Football Picks Week 6 Part 3-10/5/2024
Bowling Green vs. Akron College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Bowling Green vs. Akron 3:30PM ET—Bowling Green fell to 1-3 following their 30-27 home defeat to Old Dominion. The Falcons gained 399 yards with 96 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 333 yards to the Monarchs with 189 rushing for 5.3 yards a carry. Connor Bazelak hit 28 of 37 for 303 yards with two touchdowns and a pick. Akron drops to 1-4 with their 30-10 road defeat at Ohio. The Zips put up 214 yards with 18 rushing on 20 attempts. Defensively they allowed 440 yards to the Bobcats with 236 rushing for 4.6 yards a carry. Ben Finley went 25 for 38 for 196 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
Bazelak is an experienced quarterback with Major Conference experience. Bowling Green was competitive as they covered at Texas A&M and Penn St in single digit defeats. Akron has been blown out in all three against major conference opponents. The Falcons are rushing for 5.3 yards a carry and completing 65% of their passes for 7.1 yards per pass attempt. Akron running for only 2.1 yards a carry with 5.5 yards per pass attempt. On defense they allow 210 yards rushing for 5 yards per carry along with 8.4 yards per pass attempt. The Falcons are 7-0 to the spread on the road following a home game. Akron is 3-6 to the spread at home. Play Bowling Green -14.5.
Indiana vs. Northwestern College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Indiana at Northwestern 3:30PM ET—Indiana improved to 5-0 following their 42-28 home win to Maryland. The Hoosiers posted 510 yards with 151 rushing for 3.6 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 411 yards to the Terrapins with 289 passing on 41 attempts. Kurtis Rourke hit 22 of 33 for 359 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. Northwestern fell to 2-2 after their 24-5 road defeat at Washington. The Wildcats put up 112 yards with 59 rushing for 2.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 391 yards to the Huskies with 247 passing on 30 attempts. Jack Lausch went 8 of 27 for 53 yards and two interceptions.
The Pick:
Northwestern is running for 4.2 yards a carry. Their defense is holding opponents to 2.8 yards a carry along with only 6.5 yards per pass attempt. Indiana is putting up great numbers on both sides of the football. They did pound a down UCLA on the road, but Northwestern is always tough at home by making it an ugly defensive style game. The Wildcats are 5-2 to the spread at home following a road game. Play Northwestern +13.5.
Virginia Tech vs. Stanford College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Virginia Tech at Stanford 3:30PM ET—Virginia Tech fell to 2-3 following their 38-34 road defeat to Miami. The Hokies gained 394 yards with 206 rushing for 6.4 yards a carry. On defense they surrendered 508 yards to the Hurricanes with 343 passing on 38 attempts. Kyron Drones completed 19 of 33 for 189 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He rushed for 52 yards. Stanford drops to 2-2 after their 40-14 road defeat to Clemson. The Cardinal produced 361 yards with 236 rushing for 5.4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 400 yards to the Tigers with 255 passing on 31 attempts. Ashton Daniels hit 9 of 19 for 71 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions. He rushed for 87 yards. Justin Lamson saw work as a backup and hit 4 of 8 for 54 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick:
Stanford is moving the football for 4.5 yards a carry. They are doing a good job defensively against the run. Virginia Tech is not an efficient passing team. On defense they allow 4.5 yards a carry and 7.6 yards per pass attempt. They have a road loss at Vanderbilt. To open their back-to-back road trip the Cardinal beat Syracuse. They did cover at home in their opener against TCU. Play Stanford +9.
Temple vs. Connecticut College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Temple at UCONN 3:30PM ET—Temple fell to 1-4 following their 42-14 home defeat to Army. The Owls gained 229 yards with five rushing yards on 22 carries. On defense they allowed 489 yards to the Black Knights with 417 rushing for 7.3 yards a carry. Evan Simon completed 19 of 30 for 224 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Simon injured his shoulder and is questionable. Forrest Brock saw work in the first two weeks throwing four interceptions and 5.7 yards per pass attempt. UCONN improved to 3-2 with their 47-3 home win to Buffalo. The Huskies put up 537 yards with 257 rushing for 5.6 yards a carry. Defensively they held the Bulls to 198 yards with 123 passing on 36 attempts. Nick Evers went 7 of 12 for 51 yards. He suffered a concussion and is questionable. Joe Fagnano in relief completed 11 of 19 for 217 yards and three touchdowns.
The Pick:
Temple run game is generating only 2.7 yards a carry. They are allowing 5.9 yards per rush. Connecticut is a good rushing team averaging 238 yards a game with 5.4 yards per attempt. They have defended the pass well by limiting opponents to 6.5 yards per attempt. UCONN in their lone loss was competitive at Duke losing 26-21 and have covered six of seven dating back to last season. The Owls are 3-9 to the spread in their past 12 road games. UCONN has covered 10 of their past 14 at home. Play Connecticut -17.
Iowa vs. Ohio St College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Iowa at Ohio St 3:30PM ET—Iowa improved to 3-1 following their 31-14 road win at Minnesota. The Hawkeyes gained 337 yards with 272 rushing for 6 yards per carry. On defense they held the Golden Gophers to 288 yards with 209 passing on 37 attempts. Cade McNamara completed 11 of 19 passes for 62 yards. Ohio St is 4-0 with their 38-7 road win at Michigan St. The Buckeyes posted 486 yards with 188 rushing for 5.4 yards a carry. On defense they held the Spartans to 246 yards with 47 yards rushing for 1.9 yards a carry. Will Howard hit 21 of 31 for 244 yards with two touchdowns and a pick.
The Pick:
Iowa is moving the football on the ground with 250 yards per game and 6 yards per carry. They defend well by limiting foes to 2.4 yards per run and only 59.1% completions for 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Ohio St is putting up strong numbers on both ends of the field. The Hawkeyes are 8-2 to the spread on the road. This is the strongest defense the Buckeyes have faced as the schedule has been easy until they traveled to Michigan St. Play Iowa +20.
West Virginia vs. Oklahoma St College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
West Virginia at Oklahoma St 4PM ET—West Virginia improved to 2-2 after their 32-28 home win to Kansas. The Mountaineers produced 443 yards with 148 rushing for 4.5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 431 yards to the Jayhawks with 247 rushing for 5.3 yards a carry. Garrett Greene went 15 of 30 for 295 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Oklahoma St is 3-2 following their 42-20 road defeat to Kansas St. The Cowboys posted 490 yards with 126 rushing for 4.2 yards a carry. On defense they surrendered 559 yards to the Wildcats with 300 rushing for 8.8 yards a carry. Alan Bowman went 26 of 50 for 364 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick:
West Virginia has balance with their offense. They are running for 5.1 yards a carry but only 57.4% completion rate. Defensively they limit opponents to 4.1 yards per rush and 58.9% completion rate. The Cowboys struggle running the football. Their run defense is poor by allowing 5.3 yards a carry. WVU’s game plan is obviously ground based heavily exploiting the Cowboys weakness. Oklahoma St is 8-4 to the under as a home favorite. Play West Virginia and Oklahoma St under 65.5.
Rutgers vs. Nebraska College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Rutgers at Nebraska 4PM ET—Rutgers improved to 4-0 following their 21-18 home win to Washington. The Scarlet Knights gained 299 yards with 184 rushing for 5.6 yards a carry. On defense they surrendered 521 yards to the Huskies with 314 yards passing on 37 attempts. Athan Kaliakmanis completed 14 of 24 for 115 yards with a touchdown. Nebraska sits at 4-1 after their 28-10 road win to Purdue. The Cornhuskers put up 405 yards with 161 rushing for 5 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 224 yards to the Boilermakers with 50 rushing for 2.7 yards per run. Dylan Raiola went 16 of 26 for 244 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick:
Nebraska is getting 4.3 yards a carry on the ground. The passing game has delivered with 71.1% completion rate and 8.5 yards per pass attempt. On defense they hold opponents to 2.8 yards a carry with 6.3 yards per pass attempt. Rutgers have a massive weakness in run defense as they are allowing 5.9 yards a carry. They are not as efficient in the passing game. Play Nebraska -7.
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Alabama at Vanderbilt 4:15PM ET—Alabama improved to 4-0 following their 41-34 home win to Georgia. The Crimson Tide gained 547 yards with 174 rushing for 5.4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 519 yards to the Bulldogs with 439 passing on 50 attempts. Jalen Milroe completed 27 of 33 for 374 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Vanderbilt fell to 2-2 after their 30-27 road win at Missouri. The Commodores put up 324 yards with 146 rushing for 4.1 yards a carry. Defensively they surrendered 422 yards to the Tigers with 216 rushing for 5.4 yards a carry. Diego Pavia went 14 of 23 for 178 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick:
Alabama is producing great numbers on both sides of the football. Vanderbilt has show improvement offensively under the mobile quarterback Pavia. The Commodores rush for 4.4 yards a carry and complete 64% of their passes for 8.6 yards per pass attempt. Vandy defensively holds opponents to 3.7 yards a carry and 6.6 yards per pass attempt. Respect the Commodores performance at Missouri covering in a three-point loss. Play Vanderbilt +23.
Colorado St vs. Oregon St College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Colorado St at Oregon St 6:30PM ET—Colorado St improved to 2-2 following their 27-17 home win to UTEP. The Rams put up 356 yards with 224 rushing for 5.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 324 yards to the Miners with 48 rushing for under two yards per run. Brayden Fowler Nicolosi completed 14 of 22 for 132 yards with a touchdown and interception. Oregon St is 3-1 after their 38-21 home win to Purdue. The Beavers gained 445 yards with 341 rushing for 6 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 319 yards to the Boilermakers with 56 passing on 17 attempts. Gevani McCoy went 10 of 18 for 104 yards.
The Pick:
The Rams have a productive run game as they average 180 yards with 4.9 yards a carry. Their struggles have come in pass defense where they allow 66.4% completions for 283 yards with 7.6 yards per pass attempt. Oregon St is running for 5.5 yards a carry and getting accurate quarterback play. The Beavers huge weakness is stopping the run by allowing 166 yards per game with 6.6 yards per run. Oregon St is 4-0 to the over on the road facing teams that allowing 5.9 yards per play or greater. Play Colorado ST and Oregon ST over 47.5.
Clemson vs. Florida St College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Clemson at Florida ST 7PM ET—Clemson improved to 3-1 following their 40-14 home win to Stanford. The Tigers gained 405 yards with 150 rushing for five yards per attempt. On defense they allowed 361 yards to the Cardinal with 236 rushing for 5.4 yards a carry. Cade Klubnik hit 15 of 31 for 255 yards with four touchdowns and an interception. He rushed for 48 yards and a touchdown. Florida St fell to 1-4 with their 42-16 road defeat at SMU. The Seminoles produced 285 yards with 63 rushing for 2.4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 458 yards to the Mustangs with 254 passing on 23 attempts. Brock Glenn in relief hit 0 of 4. A redshirt sophomore who replaced an DJ Uiagalelei who had a hand injury and was ineffective.
The Pick:
Inexperience quarterback thrown into this mess with the Seminoles. Florida St is running for only 2.5 yards a carry which won’t help Glenn in this spot. They do defend the run allowing 4 yards a carry. Clemson has good offensive numbers and has defended the pass well. Clemson is 9-5 to the under on the road. The Seminoles have gone under in six of eight. Play Clemson and Florida St under 48.
Old Dominion vs. Coastal Carolina College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina 7PM ET—Old Dominion improved to 1-3 following their 30-27 road win at Bowling Green. The Monarchs gained 333 yards with 189 rushing for 5.3 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 399 yards to the Falcons with 303 passing on 36 attempts. Grant Wilson completed 6 of 14 for 118 yards and two touchdowns. Wilson is questionable with an injury in the second half. Colton Joseph relieved and completed 6 of 13 passes for 26 yards. He rushed for 65 yards and a touchdown. A redshirt freshman who took 11 snapes the week prior at Virginia Tech. Coastal Carolina is 3-1 with their 43-24 home defeat to Virginia. The Chanticleers gained 384 yards with 82 rushing for 3.4 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 525 yards to the Cavs with 384 rushing for 6.6 yards a carry. Ethan Vasko went 10 of 21 for 222 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
The injury to Wilson is the concern here. Coastal Carolina is getting great offensive production with 214 yards rushing wit 5.1 yards a carry along with 8.5 yards per pass attempt. They limit opposing quarterbacks to 59.2% completions. ODU is getting inaccurate and inefficient quarterback play. They are allowing 7.1 yards per pass attempt. The Monarchs are 0-2 to the spread on the road facing teams that average 200 or greater rushing yards per game. Play Coastal Carolina -5.
Utah St vs. Boise St College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Utah St at Boise St 7PM ET—Utah St fell to 1-3 following their 45-29 road defeat at Temple. The Aggies produced 479 yards with 186 rushing for 5.2 yards a carry. Defensively they gave up 451 yards to the Owls with 271 passing on 27 attempts. Spencer Petras hit 26 of 44 for 293 yards with two touchdowns and a pick returning from injury. Boise St improved to 3-1 after their 45-24 home win to Washington St. The Broncos produced 460 yards with 276 rushing for 7.7 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 416 yards to the Cougars with 327 passing on 37 attempts. Maddux Madsen hit 12 of 21 for 184 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick:
Utah St defensively is allowing 198 yards rushing per game for 5.3 yards a carry. Opponents complete 67.4% of their passes on the Aggies with 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Boise offense produces 8.7 yards a carry with 7.3 yards per pass attempt. The Broncos are defending the run well allowing 3.3 yards a carry. Utah St is 3-11 on the road to the spread. Boise St is 7-1 at home to the spread against the conference. Play Boise St -26.5.
James Madison vs. UL Monroe College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
James Madison at UL Monroe 7PM ET—James Madison improved to 4-0 following their 63-7 home win to Ball St. The Dukes gained 524 yards with 236 rushing for 6.9 yards a carry. On defense they held the Cardinals 250 yards with 173 passing on 38 attempts. Alonza Barnett hit 20 of 28 for 280 yards and five touchdowns. UL Monroe sits at 3-1 after their 13-9 road win at Troy. The Warhawks produced 247 yards with 112 rushing for 2.9 yards a carry. On defense they held the Trojans to 260 yards with 71 passing on 12 attempts. General Booty completed 1 of 4 for 8 yards and a pick. He was benched in favor of Aidan Armenta who completed 4 of 6 for 108 yards.
The Pick:
UL Monroe quarterback situation a concern against this opponent. James Madison is rushing for 5.6 yards a carry and completing 65% of their passes for 10 yards per pass attempt. They Dukes defend well holding foes to 3.6 yards a carry and only 6.2 yards per pass attempt. UL Monroe pass defense is allowing 75.4% completions for 6.5 yards per pass attempt. JMU put up 70 two weeks ago in North Carolina. The Dukes are 7-1 to the spread on the road against the conference. Play James Madison -16.5.
Louisiana vs. Southern Miss College Football Pick Prediction 10/5/2024
Louisiana at Southern Miss 7PM ET—Louisiana improved to 3-1 following their 41-34 road win at Wake Forest. The Ragin Cajuns put up 466 yards with 209 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. On defense they surrendered 472 yards to the Demon Deacons with 218 rushing for 5.9 yards a carry. Ben Wooldridge completed 20 of 29 for 257 yards and three touchdowns. He had a rushing touchdown. Southern Miss drops to 1-3 after their 44-7 road defeat at Jacksonville St. The Golden Eagles gained 246 yards with 114 rushing for 3.1 yards a carry. Defensively they allowed 509 yards to the Gamecocks with 273 rushing for 5.7 yards a carry. Tate Rodemaker hit 3 of 5 passes for 15 yards and two interceptions. He was benched for John White who was ineffective.
The Pick:
Southern Miss quarterback situation is bad with inaccuracy and turnovers. Their run game generates only 3.2 yards a carry. Louisiana is moving the football for 6.2 yards a carry on the ground and getting efficient play at quarterback. Play Louisiana and Southern Miss under 57.5.