Free MLB Picks For Today, Monday 9/30/2024
Game 1 NY Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/30/2024
Mets at Braves Game 1—Tylor Megill will start for NY. Megill appeared in 15 games on the year dealing with an ERA of 3.98 with WHIP of 1.27. The righthander strikes out 26.7% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.9% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Spencer Schwellenbach to start for Atlanta. Schwellenbach in 20 starts has an ERA of 3.47 and WHIP of 1.07. The righty is fanning 25.7% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls dished tat 39.6% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Megill has allowed one earned run or fewer in five of his past six starts. Schellenbach in his past six starts has an ERA of 2.36 with WHIP of 1.17. Atlanta bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.74. NY is batting .200 in their past seven games with the Braves at .287. The team is 8-3 to the under behind Megill in his past 11 starts on the road. Atlanta is 8-2 to the under behind Schellenbach at home. The Braves are 36-10 to the under when favored by at home by -150 or greater. Play NY and Atlanta under 7.5 in Game 1.
Game 2 NY Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/30/2024
Mets at Braves Game 2— Luis Severino will start for NY. Severino in 31 starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander strikes out 21.2% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls served at 46% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Chris Sale to start for Atlanta. Sale has 29 starts with an ERA of 2.38 and WHIP of 1.01. The lefthander has an elite 32.1% K rate with 5.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.8% with limited home run damage.
Severino in his past seven starts has an ERA of 3.89 with WHIP of 1.32. Sale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in his past eighteen starts. The Braves bullpen in great form and the Mets are struggling to hit. Not that should the Mets win Game 1, Severino will no start and will work in the playoffs. Should the Braves win Game 1, Sale sits. Would expect the winner of Game 1 to rest their best players and their best bullpen arms here. Play loser of Game 1 to Win 2 two by on the Run Line -1.5.