Free MLB Picks For Today, Tuesday 10/1/2024
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2024
Tigers at Astros—Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal in 31 starts in 2024 posts an ERA of 2.39 with WHIP of 0.92. The lefthander has an elite 30.3% K rate with 4.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.7% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings. Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez has 28 starts on the year carrying an ERA of 2.91 with WHIP of 1.11. The lefthander strikes out 24% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 60.6% with 0.66 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Skubal in his past nine road starts has an ERA of 3.57 and WHIP of 1.15. He faced Astros in Houston back in June 4th and allowed four earned runs with a homer and two strikeouts in 6 1/3rd innings. Valdez in his past five home starts has an ERA of 1.09 with WHIP of 0.85. Houston has won six of their past eight against the Tigers. Houston in their past seven games were hitting .281 to the Tigers .212. The team record behind Skubal is 1-4 when a road underdog of +100 to +150 with a -2.6-unit loss. The team mark behind Valdez is 8-0 in his past eight home starts. Play Houston -142.
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2024
Royals at Orioles—Cole Ragans to start for KC. Ragans has 32 starts on the campaign putting up an ERA of 3.14 with WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander strikes out 29.3% with 8.8% walks. Grounders are 40.7% with 0.72 home runs per nine innings. Corbin Burnes to start for Baltimore. Burnes in 32 starts has an ERA of 2.92 with WHIP of 1.10. The righthander fans 23.1% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 48.2% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Ragans in his past four starts allowed two earned runs or fewer. Burnes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six straight starts. KC was batting .167 in their past seven games. But their bullpen in their past ten games had an ERA of 0.85. KC is 12-2 to the under in Ragans road starts. Play KC and Baltimore under 7.
NY Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2024
Mets at Brewers—Luis Severino to start for NY. Severino in 31 starts on the campaign deals with an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander strikes out 21.2% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta has 32 starts with an ERA of 3.68 with WHIP of 1.21. The righty is fanning 27.6% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.7% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Severino in his past three starts has an ERA of 5.63 with WHIP of 1.19 getting hurt with the home run ball. Peralta in his past six home starts has an ERA of 1.76 with WHIP of 1.24. Milwaukee has won seven of eight against the Mets. Milwaukee in their past ten games has a bullpen ERA of 2.25 to the Mets 5.71. NY was batting .201 in their past seven games. Play Milwaukee -135.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 10/1/2024
Braves at Padres—Ian Anderson expected to start for Atlanta. Anderson, Elder or Smith-Shawver are also possible starters. Anderson pitched in the minors with good numbers in three levels. He recovered from Tommy John surgery. Michael King to start for San Diego. King appeared in 31 games with an ERA of 2.95 and WHIP of 1.19. The righthander fans 27.7% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls are 40.4% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
King has allowed two earned runs or fewer in eight straight starts. Both bullpens ended the season in good form over their past ten games. The Braves were batting .277 in their past ten games to the Padres .237. The Braves are 13-7 on the road against winning teams in their past 20. The Braves have won three of four against the Padres. Play Atlanta +140.