As things heat up in October baseball, the Atlanta Braves play host to the San Diego Padres, looking to advance in Game 1 of the NL Wild Card series, a battle baseball season offers every fan. This particular clash of the two teams takes place in Petco Park on Tuesday and not only starts the Wild Card but is also an important match to win to move up in the postseason fold. Those who want the best MLB picks and tips will find this game an opportunity since there are two teams on opposite sides of the spectrum in their recent form, and a lot is on the line.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres 10/1/24 Game Info and Odds |
|
| When: | Tuesday, October 1, 2024 at 8:38 PM ET |
| Where: | Petco Park |
| Watch: | Fubo, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Braves odds: | +122 Moneyline |
| Padres odds: | -146 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 7 |
Atlanta Braves (89-73) vs. San Diego Padres (93-69)
The Atlanta Braves head into this series with a mix of recent outcomes but hold a commendable road record against the spread (42-39). They’ve managed a modest 3-2 record in their last five games, showcasing resilience and a knack for clutch performances. They closed the regular season with a split against the NY Mets and a series against Royals, showcasing a stable, albeit not overpowering, offensive lineup that has cumulatively batted .243 with a significant 211 home runs reflecting their game-changing power at the plate.
| Atlanta Braves Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 30, 2024 | NYM | 3-0 | Win |
| Sep 30, 2024 | NYM | 7-8 | Win |
| Sep 29, 2024 | KC | 2-4 | Lose |
| Sep 28, 2024 | KC | 2-1 | Lose |
| Sep 27, 2024 | KC | 3-0 | Win |
Conversely, the San Diego Padres have been consistent, reflected in a superior .263 team batting average. Their recent victories over the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Los Angeles Dodgers showcase their preparedness for high-pressure games. This performance comes as the Houston Astros also make strides, securing a 2-1 series win, setting an intense backdrop for the postseason.
| San Diego Padres Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 29, 2024 | ARI | 2-11 | Lose |
| Sep 28, 2024 | ARI | 5-0 | Win |
| Sep 27, 2024 | ARI | 5-3 | Win |
| Sep 26, 2024 | LAD | 2-7 | Lose |
| Sep 25, 2024 | LAD | 3-4 | Lose |
Max Fried (11-10, 3.25 ERA) vs. Michael King (13-9, 2.95 ERA)
Max Fried will open the series for the Atlanta Braves, with a record of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.16 from the mound. He has pitched a total of 174.1 innings. He will also be a big asset for the Braves due to his postseason experience and ability to get the batsmen out when needed. Fried’s tendency to keep the ball down in the zone and avoid the long ball could very well be the difference in what will surely be a hotly-contested match up.
On the other hand, Michael King for the Padres registers an even more impressive record with a quality ERA of 2.95 and WHIP of 1.19, striking out 201 batters in 173.2 innings pitched. A right-handed pitcher like King, however, may prove to be troublesome for hitters of the Atlanta Braves, especially in a pitcher-friendly Park such as Petco Park. He is good in this regard and the circumstances will be important in the Closing innings.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: San Diego Padres -1.5 (+150), Total Odds: 7
The latest betting markets indicate a slight balancing towards the Padres, courtesy of their recent results and better odds. Still, the competitiveness of the Braves and the relatively narrow spread point to a hotly contested fixture. Since there is a possibility of surprising the opponents and a good road performance, the moneyline for the Braves may appeal to bettors.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
As they have proven, the Braves do tend to comply with what is required of them, with stats showing a slight edge if away. If any of the above holds, along with winning close contests and a high slugging average, they could be one underdog worth the risk but one that could also pay out handsomely.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres, however, are favored owing to their impressive streak and even more impressive individual statistics considering the whole season. What might be a worry for some bettors is the fact that they have been slightly less successful against the spread while playing away from home. Uniformly such games have had their total going under in their most recent games which shows a trend toward lower scores possibly due to good pitching.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres 10/1/24 Betting Picks
Taking into account the form and strength of both sides, this game could be evenly matched. In what promises to be a thrilling battle, the Braves’ strength in power hitting will come up against King’s ability to strike out batters. Since the match is unreliable, one might be better off going under the total run lines because of the pitching in the game.
But for those who must render a direct pick, the Padres might just do it as their bats are hot and the game is on their home turf. When it comes to prop bets, you might want to consider individual performances, particularly the number of strikeouts recorded by King. As always, premium expert tips will advise you on the need to be vigilant on in-game strategies, as these can drastically change the odds during the game.