As the MLB season ends, the San Diego Padres (93-68) will square off with the Arizona Diamondbacks (88-73) at the Chase Stadium, and that should be an interesting game as it’s the battle for the postseason. This matchup is on Sunday, and it involves two teams going in different directions as they approach the last of the regular season games. This game is worth watching for those seeking free MLB advice daily because it might help shape the playoff picture.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 9/29/24 Game Info and Odds |
|
| When: | Sunday, September 29, 2024, at 3:10 PM ET |
| Where: | Chase Field |
| Watch: | SDPA, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Padres odds: | +151 Moneyline |
| Diamondbacks odds: | -165 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 9 |
San Diego Padres (93-68) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (88-73)
The San Diego Padres, boasting a solid .264 batting average with 753 runs and 187 home runs this season, have shown resilience and strategic finesse. Over their last five games, the Padres have demonstrated a strong ability to bounce back, registering wins against major opponents, including Arizona and Chicago White Sox, despite recent losses to Dodgers. Their performance, particularly away from home, has been commendable, contributing to their impressive 11-3 SU record in their last 14 games.
| San Diego Padres Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 27, 2024 | ARI | 5-3 | Win |
| Sep 26, 2024 | LAD | 2-7 | Lose |
| Sep 25, 2024 | LAD | 3-4 | Lose |
| Sep 24, 2024 | LAD | 4-2 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | CHW | 4-2 | Win |
In contrast, while slightly trailing in wins, the Arizona Diamondbacks have notched a commendable .263 batting average with a higher slugging percentage of .439, driven by 208 home runs and 875 runs. Their recent form has been shaky, with a 1-5 SU record in their last 6 games, reflecting some inconsistencies especially in home games. This period included a significant loss to San Francisco and a narrow defeat against Milwaukee.
| Arizona Diamondbacks Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 27, 2024 | SD | 3-5 | Lose |
| Sep 25, 2024 | SF | 8-2 | Win |
| Sep 24, 2024 | SF | 0-11 | Lose |
| Sep 23, 2024 | SF | 3-6 | Lose |
| Sep 22, 2024 | MIL | 9-10 | Lose |
Martin Perez (5-5, 4.25 ERA) vs. Brandon Pfaadt (10-10, 4.8 ERA)
Martin Perez of the Padres is having a season characterized by divergence, with an ERA of 4.25 and WHIP of 1.45. Nonetheless, given the number of batters retired by strikeouts (104 Ks), that could be more useful in the clutch moments. How well Perez does against the tough Diamondbacks’ batters will be very important, given how he has to conserve pitches and refrain from giving away runs.
Brandon Pfaadt for the Diamondbacks is a tough case. He carries a 4.8 ERA with a good WHIP of just 1.25 and has been decent in strikeouts, including pugilistic contests with a low elevation standing of his hand that has allowed home runs (176 Ks – 24 allowed). Since the Padres will likely come out swinging, it will be important to know how Pfaadt or whoever starts the game will try to contain them, setting the mood of the matchup.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks -165, Total Odds: 9
Betting odds have the Diamondbacks holding the upper hand, however the +1.5 spread on the Padres at -149 underdog pricing provides a compelling value given that the team is on form and has done fairly well against the Diamondbacks in their last matches.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres are closing out games rather effectively especially on the last road trip making all the under total games by consistently getting under the team total provided. This is increasing their odds for the under as they will restrict the level of scoring in most of the upcoming encounters owing to their current form and tactics.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have been known to play tempo pulling more games over the total especially while playing Sundays which has been high-scoring over the total line in the last nine games played. This indicates a style suited for a higher total and should/especially bring bettors’ attention when assessing the total line.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 9/29/24 Betting Picks
After looking into the situation keenly, it would appear that the Padres may narrowly defeat the Diamondbacks in a close game. This is due to their improvement in pitching and better performance in recent games.
So for bettors interested in prop bets or over/under, the trend might as well settle for a low-scoring game, hence placing a bet on the UNDER is possibly safer. The handicappers’ tips and picks also warn that the Padres are ranked as the underdogs but their current head-to-head results at Chase Field clearly show that they have an upper edge in the games.