With the MLB regular season approaching, this game between the Kansas City Royals (85-76) and the Atlanta Braves (88-71) at Truist Park on Sunday should be important for both teams. Scheduled to start at 9.20 PM is the match starting on September 29, 2024. The contest will be broadcast on BSSE, ESPN and MLB.TV. This game has playoff implications and helps measure how the teams will be at the end of the season. Let’s move to the free MLB predictions and tips for this game.
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves 9/29/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Sunday, September 29, 2024, at 3:20 PM ET |
| Where: | Truist Park |
| Watch: | BSSE, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Royals odds: | +167 Moneyline |
| Braves odds: | -208 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 8.5 |
Kansas City Royals (85-76) vs. Atlanta Braves (88-71)
The Royals, currently standing at 85-76, have shown a mix of resilience and vulnerability. Analyzing their last five games reveals a pattern: a tough series against the Braves where they lost the recent two games with scores of 1-2 and 0-3, respectively. However, prior to these setbacks, they secured wins against the Washington Nationals, reflecting their capability to bounce back.
| Kansas City Royals Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 28, 2024 | ATL | 1-2 | Lose |
| Sep 27, 2024 | ATL | 0-3 | Lose |
| Sep 26, 2024 | WSH | 7-4 | Win |
| Sep 25, 2024 | WSH | 3-0 | Win |
| Sep 24, 2024 | WSH | 1-0 | Win |
In contrast, the Braves, with an 88-71 record, are demonstrating the form that makes them formidable at home. They have not only dominated the recent series against the Royals but also maintained a strong winning streak in their last five games, which included victories over the New York Mets and Miami Marlins, highlighting their robust late-season form.
| Atlanta Braves Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 28, 2024 | KC | 2-1 | Win |
| Sep 27, 2024 | KC | 3-0 | Win |
| Sep 24, 2024 | NYM | 5-1 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | MIA | 5-4 | Win |
| Sep 21, 2024 | MIA | 6-2 | Win |
Alec Marsh (8-9, 4.65 ERA) vs. Charlie Morton (8-9, 4.08 ERA)
Alec Marsh emerges for the Royals’ mound with an 8-9 record and a 4.65 ERA. He does not have an impressive ERA as well as a WHIP of 1.27, but he has potential as well with 121 strikeouts in 124.0 innings pitched. Such performance is necessary in this type of game because every pitch can change the situation. Granted that many teams like the Braves hit the long ball a lot, he may prove to be a liability as his home runs allowed so far this season have reached 18.
On the other hand, Charlie Morton for the Braves also has an 8-9 record but grime more under control with a 4.08 ERA. Therefore, he has recorded 164 strikeouts occupying the mound for a total of 161 innings pitched with a little more WHIP of 1.32. His slight control might also be an advantage to the Braves, considering the pressure he can withstand without tossing hummers, unlike Marsh, who tosses at least one hummer per game.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta Braves -208, Total Odds: 8.5
Going back to their previous ten meetings with the Royals, they have capped that with a healthy 6-4 wipeout against the Royals since the Braves were on a 5-win-streak; the early games went over, and the later games in the series went under, making 8.5 runs the fascinating example of undertaker bettors.
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
These betting lines favor the Braves rather heavily which is rather expected considering the team’s recent form and the outcomes against the Royals. Most recently the total has become the UNDER making this variant of under 8.5 runs consideration interesting for punters.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves arrive in this clash as the team on fire having just won their last 5 games in a row. They are also bolstered by their solid home game record and the fact that a number of meetings with the Royals have gone under the total they are also the sportsbooks favorites.
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves 9/29/24 Betting Picks
Considering the assessment and current betting circumstances, the Atlanta Braves should win this matchup. This is due to the fact that they have performed well against the Royals recently and are performing well at home this season. Over time, the games have been consistently trending towards the UNDER, hence the likelihood of either teams scoring more goals is lower.
Bettors should bet on the Braves to win within the points spread while still leaning towards the UNDER total points. There is also value in looking for prop bets on the expected number of Charlie Morton’s strikeouts based on his high strikeout rate. These types of premium analysis picks usually focus on maximizing the betting value with regard to the current data and its trends.