MLB fans are ready for a crucial clash at Progressive Field this Sunday, September 29, 2024, when the Houston Astros (88-73) will take on the Cleveland Guardians (92-69). Both clubs have exhibited great performances this year, which is the primary reason why this late season duel would be exciting. This clash is among the best offered in free MLB latest picks today regarding wagering.
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians 9/29/24 Game Info and Odds |
|
| When: | Sunday, September 29, 2024, at 3:10 PM ET |
| Where: | Progressive Field |
| Watch: | BSGL, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Astros odds: | +156 Moneyline |
| Guardians odds: | -185 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 7.5 |
Houston Astros (88-73) vs. Cleveland Guardians (92-69)
The Houston Astros enter this game with a notable .262 batting average and a solid performance from their hitters, tallying 1439 hits and 190 home runs this season. Their recent form shows a strong presence, especially in the last five games, where they secured wins against the Cleveland Guardians. The only blip came against the Seattle Mariners, where they succumbed 1-8 and 1-6 but bounced back quickly the next day with a 4-3 victory.
| Houston Astros Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 28, 2024 | CLE | 4-3 | Win |
| Sep 27, 2024 | CLE | 5-2 | Win |
| Sep 25, 2024 | SEA | 1-8 | Lose |
| Sep 24, 2024 | SEA | 4-3 | Win |
| Sep 23, 2024 | SEA | 1-6 | Lose |
The Cleveland Guardians, despite a slightly lower .238 batting average, have demonstrated resilience and strategic gameplay, which is evident in their solid home record. In their last five outings, they faced two defeats to Houston. Still, they turned around to beat the Cincinnati Reds 5-2 and 6-14, showcasing their ability to bounce back effectively.
| Cleveland Guardians Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 28, 2024 | HOU | 3-4 | Lose |
| Sep 27, 2024 | HOU | 2-5 | Lose |
| Sep 25, 2024 | CIN | 5-2 | Win |
| Sep 24, 2024 | CIN | 6-1 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | STL | 1-2 | Lose |
Spencer Arrighetti (7-13 W-L, 4.53 ERA) vs. Nick Sandlin (8-0 W-L, 3.75 ERA)
Spencer Arrighetti, currently one of the starting pitchers for the Houston Astros, has suffered a blow to his portfolio this season. Some notable figures are the 4.53 ERA posted over 145 innings pitched, which suggests some level of vulnerability in his game with 21 home runs given up. However, he has managed to record 171 strikeouts, so he can get the job done at the end of innings. His performance in this imperative contest could decide whether the Astros could contain the opponents on the ground against a tough lineup.
On the contrary, Nick Sandlin of the Cleveland Guardians has an impressive sweep of 8 wins and no losses, accompanied by an ERA of 3.75. This season, in 57.2 innings pitched, Sandlin has hit 68 while walking only 27 batters, which shows command. His composure will be instrumental as the Guardians look to use their pitching depth against the attacking group of the Astros.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland Guardians -185, Total Odds: 7.5
It is to be noted that the current betting odds would favor Cleveland at -185 moneyline. In the moneyline, it gives their bookmakers some confidence in winning the contest, particularly with such a large pitching advantage. While the total line is set at 7.5 for this game and in the recent games has been going under, it appears to be a game that the pitchers will dominate.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros returned strongly, winning 11 of the last 16 games. Their positive trend extends against the recent as they have managed 7 wins in the last 8 games against them. However, the current average of games played going under on the road will likely affect betting options that target the total points scored in the game.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends
Cleveland’s recent trend is biased towards low-scoring games with Under on 12 of their last 14 home games. Looking at their form, there are some inconsistencies but their home court advantage and the strength of their pitching may be critical.
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians 9/29/24 Betting Picks
Considering all factors, the duel between the Astros and Guardians looks set to be evenly fought. The pitching duel is certain to play a huge part here, and the impressive form of Nick Sandlin could prove crucial in giving Cleveland an advantage at home. From the analysis of the betting trends and the recent performances, it seems it will be a game with a lot of defense, so consider making the under.
Given the capabilities of both starting pitchers, one can expect some appreciation by focusing on strikeouts and pitcher props when it comes to prop betting. As for the best pick, considering Cleveland Guardians strong pitching and recent under trend in the stadium, that might be the smart way to go, placing a bet on Cleveland winning, particularly for those searching for premium sports predictions.