Free MLB Picks For Today, Sunday 9/29/2024
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Rays at Red Sox—Ryan Pepiot will start for Tampa Bay. Pepiot in 25 starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP of 1.14. The righthander strikes out 26.3% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls are 35.9% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Quinn Priester to start for Boston. Priester appeared in ten games with an ERA of 5.04 with WHIP of 1.46. The righty is fanning 15.4% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 55.5% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pepiot has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 12 of his past 13 starts. Priester struggled in Triple A. The team record behind Pepiot on the road is 7-4 with a +3.8-unit return. Boston is 17-25 at home when lined between +125 and -125 for a -9.9-unit loss. Play Tampa Bay -114.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. NY Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Pirates at Yankees—Bailey Falter to start for Pittsburgh. Falter has 27 starts this season dealing with an ERA of 4.26 with WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander strikes out 16.9% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.4% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Clarke Schmidt will start for NY. Schmidt in 15 starts has an ERA of 2.55 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander fans 26.4% with 7.8% walks. Grounders are 40.8% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Falter in his past six starts has an ERA of 5.06 with WHIP of 1.31. Schmidt has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of his past eight starts. NY bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.65. Play NY on run line -1.5 runs at +113.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Phillies at Nationals—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in 32 starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 1.18. The veteran strikes out 23.8% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.1% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Jake Irvin will start for Washington. Irvin in 32 starts has an ERA of 4.22 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 20.5% with 6.6% walks. Grounders sit at 43.7% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Nola in his past four starts has an ERA of 5.32 with WHIP of 1.45. Irvin in his past five starts has an ERA of 6.67 with WHIP of 1.33 dealing with control issues. Both bullpens have ERA’s over four in their past ten games. Philadelphia is batting .260 in their past seven games. Play Philadelphia and Washington over 8.
St Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Cardinals at Giants—Michael McGreevy to start for St Louis. McGreevy appeared in three games puts up an ERA of 2.40 with WHIP of 0.87. The righthander strikes out 21.1% with 3.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 66.7% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings. Hayden Birdsong to start for San Francisco. Birdsong has 15 starts with an ERA of 4.66 and WHIP of 1.37. The righty is fanning 26.1% with 13.6% walks. Grounders are 39.4% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Francisco bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.89. Birdsong has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. The Giants are a win away from avoiding a losing season. Play San Francisco -120.
Texas Rangers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Rangers at Angels—Nathan Eovaldi to start for Texas. Eovaldi has 28 starts on the season posting an ERA of 3.96 with WHIP of 1.12. The veteran strikes out 24.1% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.8% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Jack Kochanowicz to start for LA. Kochanowicz in 10 starts has an ERA of 4.01 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander fans 10.1% with 3.8% walks. Grounders dished at 56.9% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Eovaldi in his past four starts has an ERA of 6.08 with WHIP of 1.48. Kochanowicz in his past five starts has an ERA of 2.27 with WHIP of 0.95. LA bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.51. Texas is 7-14 on the road facing an AL starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or lower with a -5.7-unit loss. Play LA +130.
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Marlins at Blue Jays—Ryan Weathers will start for Miami. Weathers has 15 starts in 2024 carrying an ERA of 3.81 with WHIP of 1.21. The lefthander strikes out 21.6% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.7% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Ryan Yarbrough to start for Toronto. Yarbrough appeared in 43 games with an ERA of 3.32 with WHIP of 1.03. The lefty fans 16.1% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls are 40.2% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Weathers in his past seven starts has an ERA of 3.03 with WHIP of 1.09. Yarbrough in his past seven appearances has an ERA of 1.31 with WHIP of 0.58. Both bullpens have ERA’s over five in their past ten games. The Marlins are hitting .284 in their past seven games. They are 26-25 on the road against right handed starters with a +20.5 unit return. Play Miami.
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Astros at Guardians—Ryan Gusto to start for Houston. He makes his MLB debut on Sunday. He was an 11th round pick in 2019 who had an ERA of 3.70 with WHIP of 1.27 in 148 1/3rd innings in Triple A. Gavin Williams to start for Cleveland. Williams has 16 starts with an ERA of 4.86 with WHIP of 1.37. The righty fans 23.8% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.6% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.66 does suggest a drop in ERA should form hold.
The Pick:
Cleveland bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.47 to the Astros 6.75. Houston is batting .300 in their past seven games. The Astros are 23-15 on the road in their past 38 with a +7.4 unit return. Play Houston +154.
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
White Sox at Tigers—Jonathan Cannon to start for Chicago. Cannon appeared in 22 games on the year producing an ERA of 4.37 with WHIP of 1.32. The righthander has a K mark of 17.6% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.8% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Kenta Maeda to start for Detroit. Maeda appeared in 28 games with an ERA of 5.93 with WHIP of 1.38. The veteran fans 19.6% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls are 37% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cannon in his past seven starts has an ERA of 5.12 with WHIP of 1.37. Maeda in his past five appearances allowed three earned runs with 15 strikeouts in 12 1/3rd innings. Both bullpens in good form over their past ten games. Chicago is batting .198 over their past seven games and the Tigers are at .241. The White Sox are 22-14 to the under on the road facing an AL team with a .410 or lower slugging percentage. Play Chicago and Detroit under.
NY Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Mets at Brewers—David Peterson to start for NY. Peterson in 20 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.08 with WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander strikes out 19.1% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls served at 49.7% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings. Colin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea appeared in 31 games with an ERA of 4.17 and WHIP of 1.23. The righthander fans 19% with 5.9% walks. Grounders are 38.9% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Peterson in his past ten starts has an ERA of 2.69 with WHIP of 1.21. Rea in his past nine starts has an ERA of 6.58 with WHIP of 1.39. With Milwaukee playing in the Wildcard Round on Tuesday would not expect them to use their better bullpen arms. The Mets have a winning mark on the road this season and this game is meaningful. Play NY -122.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Orioles at Twins—Albert Suarez will start for Baltimore. Suarez appeared in 31 starts with an ERA of 3.74 with WHIP of 1.32. The righthander strikes out 19.2% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.9% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober has 30 starts with an ERA of 3.94 with WHIP of 1.00. The righty fans 27.1% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls are 33.6% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Suarez in his past four starts has an ERA of 7.23 with WHIP of 1.61. Ober in his past six starts carries an ERA of 5.61 with WHIP of 1.07. The Orioles have won nine straight against the Twins. Baltimore is 23-16 on the road against winning teams with a +8.6-unit return. Minnesota is 18-23 at home against winning teams with a -10.2-unit loss. Play Baltimore +145.
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Athletics at Mariners—Mitch Spence to start for Oakland. Spence appeared in 34 games with an ERA of 4.35 with WHIP of 1.37. The righthander strikes out 19.2% with 7% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.1% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert has 32 starts with an ERA of 3.33 and WHIP of 0.91. The righty is fanning 27.1% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls served at 45.3% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Spence in his past six starts has an ERA of 3.16 with WHIP of 1.53. Gilbert in his past five home starts has an ERA of 2.08 with WHIP of 0.89. Both bullpens are in great form. The Athletics are 19-15 in their past 34 road games with a +12.3-unit return. Seattle is 6-9 at home in their past fifteen against losing teams with a -7.4-unit loss. Play Oakland +152.
LA Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Dodgers at Rockies—Landon Knack to start for LA. Knack appeared in 14 games in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 3.74 and WHIP of 1.09. The rookie righthander strikes out 24.2% with 6.7% walks. Grounders dished at 31.7% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings. Ryan Feltner will start for Colorado. Feltner has 29 starts with an ERA of 4.66 and WHIP of 1.36. The righty has a K mark of 20.1% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.7% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Knack in his past three starts allowed nine earned runs with three homers in 11 innings of work. Feltner at home this season carries an ERA of 5.53 with WHIP of 1.49. Colorado bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.42. LA in their past seven games hitting .299. They are 17-6 to the over this month. Play LA and Colorado over 11.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Padres at Diamondbacks—Martin Perez to start for San Diego. Perez in 25 starts on the season posts an ERA of 4.25 with WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander strikes out 18.2% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls are 44.4% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Brandon Pfaadt will start for Arizona. Pfaadt has 31 starts with an ERA of 4.80 with WHIP of 1.25. The righthander fans 23.8% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.5% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Perez has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of five starts. Pfaadt in his past eight starts has an ERA of 7.91 with WHIP of 1.76. Arizona bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.54. San Diego is 25-12 on the road in their past 37 with a +12.1-unit return. Play San Diego +169.
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Royals at Braves—Alec Marsh to start for KC. Marsh in 25 appearances carries an ERA of 4.65 with WHIP of 1.27. The righthander strikes out 23% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls are 37.6% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton has 29 starts on the year posting an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.32. The veteran fans 24% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.9% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Marsh has allowed three earned runs or fewer in six straight starts. Morton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his past eight starts. Both bullpens in good form in their past ten games. KC is 16-6 to the under this month. Atlanta is 26-10 to the under in their past 36 at home. The Royals are batting .165 in their past seven games. Play KC and Atlanta under 8.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/29/2024
Reds at Cubs—Hunter Greene will start for Cincinnati. Greene has 25 starts on the year posting up an ERA of 2.83 with WHIP of 1.02. The righthander strike out 27.9% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.3% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. Caleb Killian to start for Chicago. Killian in his 2023 debut allowed five earned runs with four walks in 5 2/3rd innings at Philadelphia. An eighth-round draft pick in 2019 that posted an ERA of 4.56 and WHIP of 1.32 in two levels of the minors.
The Pick:
Greene has allowed one earned run or fewer in eight of his past nine appearances. Cincinnati is batting .175 in their past seven games with the Cubs at .236. The Reds are 15-8 to the under this month. Chicago is 30-16 to the under at home in Day Games. Play Cincinnati and Chicago under 7.