As we head into Week 5 of the NCAAF season, the Old Dominion Monarchs (0-3) are set to clash with the Bowling Green Falcons (1-2) in a matchup that presents opportunities for strategic betting insights and free college football selections. This game, taking place on Saturday, September 28, 2024, at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, will kick off at 5:00 PM ET and be televised on Fox Sports. Both teams are eager to improve their early season records, with Old Dominion seeking their first win and Bowling Green aiming to build momentum.
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Bowling Green Falcons 09/28/24 Game Info |
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| When: | Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 5:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Doyt L. Perry Stadium |
| TV: | Fox Sports |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Old Dominion Monarchs (0-3) vs. Bowling Green Falcons (1-2)
The Monarchs come into this game desperate to clinch a win. Looking at their rushing and receiving stats, it is a rather pathetic view of a team trying to piece together some offensive cohesiveness. Aaron Young, the league’s running back for the Monarchs, is responsible for the most targets on the ground, amassing 206 rushing yards off 58 attempts. He averages a relatively moderate and unimpressive 3.6 yards a rush, but he is an essential piece of the puzzle, and his role is to get the tough yards. On the other hand, a significant development has been the rise of Isiah Paige, who has 12 receptions and 149 receiving yards to his credit. Gilbert’s most remarkable achievement thus far has been a 72-yard touchdown reception, demonstrating his gift of getting open for big plays. A similar game will take place between Utah and Arizona today.
The Falcons have had their fair share of achievements. Although they show promise now and again, that will surely get keenly focused upon as they sharpen their offensive game. Terion Stewart continues to lead the rushing attack for the team, garnering an average of 7.5 yards per carry from 27 attempts and accumulating 203 yds. His ground threat is quite dominant, having got 73 a long run and scored three touchdowns, making it difficult to ignore him in the offensive roster. Moving across the formation throws, h. Fannin Jr. has settled well onto the best mark with 25 balls caught, gaining 349 yards and making two touchdowns. The fa group that Fannin provides in attempts to gain yards through passes complements the Falcons’ system designed to utilize yards after the catch and widen the playing area out, we were introduced to similar, more proactive set plays during the Stanford vs Clemson match today.
Grant Wilson QB vs. Connor Bazelak QB
Grant Wilson, the Monarchs’ quarterback, has not had the best of seasons, as shown by his completion percentage of 58.3% and the 389 passing yards he managed in the three games this season. Wilson has encountered these unlikeable outcomes and yet scored two touchdowns in three fixtures. Still, three interceptions illustrate an apparent problem in performing during pressure Mathematics B B Y S X and Java B Bazelak forced him to.
However, Connor Bazelak from Bowling Green has proved himself with better statistics, reaching 61.9% in completion rate while recording 672 yards. He, however, has the same number of interceptions as Wilson but was able to make one additional touchdown pass, implying that he delivered the ball in offense more reliably. The critical point in reducing the number of sacks that he’s had, which hitherto two this season, is because of how fast he gets rid of the ball and the strength of the O-line. Bolstering the approach that Bazelak employs, some weaknesses exist in Old Dominion’s coverage, which he and Fannin can utilize to score points.
When it comes to Wilson and Bazelak, both players play their team’s offense in a different manner. Turning it over this way, Wilson styling will try to cut down the turnovers and take advantage of the longer plays a bit more to stretch the game while placing more emphasis on his ailing Bazelak: he will rely on his more steady aerial effectiveness to exploit the defenses’ weak spots. When these two go into opposite huddles, the quarterback contest might be the factor that decides who walks out of the field as a dominant force.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Bowling Green Falcons -10.5, Total Odds: 51.5
Bowling Green enters the game as 10.5-point favorites, reflecting their higher potential to outmatch Old Dominion despite their rocky start. With a total over/under set at 51.5, the game anticipates a moderate scoring affair, suggesting both teams struggle to achieve lofty offensive outputs. Bettors should consider Bowling Green’s ability to cover the spread, given their stronger recent ATS performances and Old Dominion’s continued offensive inefficiencies.
Old Dominion Betting Trends
Old Dominion has underperformed against the spread, covering only once in their last five outings. This trend is tempered when they are on the road, where they have managed a 5-1 ATS record in recent games. Historical struggles in September with a 5-14 SU mark, along with a consistent week 5 underperformance at 0-5 SU in their last five, underline significant obstacles the Monarchs face in claiming an upset.
Bowling Green Betting Trends
In stark contrast, Bowling Green has been strong ATS, covering in six of their last seven games and four of their last six at home, indicating a promising trend for bettors. The total has tended to go over in games against Sun Belt conference opponents, suggesting a potential high-scoring outlook against Old Dominion’s defensive setup despite their generally low SU winning rate of two out of their last six.
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Bowling Green Falcons 09/28/24 Betting Picks
Both teams come into this matchup with motivations to define their season’s trajectory positively. The key for Old Dominion will lie in breaking through Bowling Green’s defensive hold and figuring out ways to shield Wilson from their aggressive pass rush. For Bowling Green, maintaining offensive efficiency under Bazelak’s guidance and capitalizing on Stewart’s rushing prowess will be crucial.
From a betting perspective, Bowling Green holds the upper hand, given the trends and stats. A recommendation would be to take the Falcons to cover the spread while also considering the potential for the total to edge over, given Bowling Green’s recent trends in high-scoring matchups. Prof sports analysis suggests keeping a watchful eye on how each quarterback manages their respective opportunities and how they adapt to in-game pressures.