With regular season games about to end, the New York Mets (87-71) are poised to take on their significant rivals, Milwaukee Brewers (92-68), in a game that can prove useful in later playoff seedings. This clash between contenders is set for Saturday at American Family Field. The Mets are traditionally tough and would like to change the recent pattern of losing games against the Brewers hence making this game one of the (if not the most) significant games in their playoff blueprint making it a hot pick in MLB winning picks.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers 9/28/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Saturday, September 28, 2024, at 7:15 PM ET |
| Where: | American Family Field |
| Watch: | FOX, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Mets odds: | +102 Moneyline |
| Brewers odds: | -120 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 8 |
New York Mets (87-71) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (92-68)
The Mets, despite their strong overall season record, have found themselves struggling in direct confrontations with the Brewers. With recent losses, including a 4-8 defeat just the day before, the Mets’ resilience is under scrutiny. Their last five games show a wavering form, marked by losses to the Brewers and Atlanta Braves but salvaged by narrow victories over the Philadelphia Phillies.
| New York Mets Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 27, 2024 | MIL | 4-8 | Lose |
| Sep 24, 2024 | ATL | 1-5 | Lose |
| Sep 22, 2024 | PHI | 2-1 | Win |
| Sep 21, 2024 | PHI | 6-3 | Win |
| Sep 20, 2024 | PHI | 2-12 | Lose |
On the opposing side, the Brewers are entering this matchup with momentum, having won four of their last five games, including a commanding 8-4 win against these very Mets. Their recent performances against the Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks have showcased their offensive prowess and pitching stability, which will be critical in maintaining their upper hand in this series.
| Milwaukee Brewers Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 27, 2024 | NYM | 8-4 | Win |
| Sep 26, 2024 | PIT | 5-2 | Win |
| Sep 25, 2024 | PIT | 1-2 | Lose |
| Sep 24, 2024 | PIT | 7-2 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | ARI | 10-9 | Win |
Jose Quintana (10-9, 3.74 ERA) vs. Jared Koenig (9-4, 2.51 ERA)
Jose Quintana of the Mets comes in with a record that is encouraging without being awe inspiring. This season has seen him post a 3.74 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over 166 innings but they also tell of reliability but also through the pressure, he gives up 22 home runs. Quintana certainly will be needed with his experience and abilities to get batters out, but there are some concerns after watching him if he will be able to handle the Brewers’ offense.
In contrast Jared Koenig has been a pleasant surprise for the Brewers. Expectations were low for this rookie season but with a brilliant 2.51 ERA and 1.25 WHIP it’s hard not to be impressed. In 61 innings pitched, he looked like a pitcher who can be in control and efficient which is important against a Mets team that can hit at any time. Being able to keep the home runs down and with a good whip can assist in the process of facing the Mets lineup.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee Brewers -120, Total Odds: 8
Betting odds indicate a slight preference for the Brewers given their superior head-to-head record against the New York Mets, lately especially at their Miller Park. The total was set to be 8 runs and since most trends show fluctuations on both teams over their last few games, one could expect a close fight with a possibility of high score.
New York Mets Betting Trends
While the New York Mets have demonstrated the ability to score and claim victories, their recent losses include a 0-6 head-to-head losing streak versus the Milwaukee Brewers and a 1-4 away series.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
Bettors will still point to Milwaukee’s betting trends further cementing their claims as being a great closing team, especially at home. Such pitchers are highly effective at home within their division as they maintain consistent under against the Mets and an overall high winning percentage at home.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers 9/28/24 Betting Picks
Taking into account the fact that the Brewers have been historically strong and that they will be playing at their home ground, they should be able to carry on with their winning ways against the Mets. Leading advantages and unrelenting back-hitting support this assertion. It is prudent to take into consideration Milwaukee’s good form when placing your bets.
The most decisive option would favor the Brewers winning the game with a possibility of an Over on the total runs scored by either side due to the capability of both teams to put up runs. When it comes to prop bets, it would be reasonable to center on Koenig’s strikeouts and RBIs of certain key Milwaukee hitters. Most exclusive insights and tips are advice seeing the course of the game to spot such opportunities for in-play betting.