The New Mexico Lobos (0-4) are set to take on the New Mexico State Aggies (1-3) in what promises to be a heated rivalry at Aggie Memorial Stadium. With both teams seeking to turn their seasons around, this matchup, airing on ESPN+ at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, September 28, 2024, provides an opportunity for redemption and a chance to gather crucial insights for betting enthusiasts. As both teams battle for state supremacy, bettors can look forward to today’s free college football tips for guidance on strategic wagering decisions.
New Mexico Lobos vs. New Mexico State Aggies 09/28/24 Game Info |
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| When: | Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Aggie Memorial Stadium |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
New Mexico Lobos (0-4) vs. New Mexico State Aggies (1-3)
The New Mexico Lobos are yet to record a win this season; however, they put scoring potential in their rushing and receiving units. Quarterback Eli Sanders has led the running game so far and has clocked in 217 rushing yards in 47 carries with a rushing average of 4.6 yards. Out of his longest run of 36 yards, one can easily tell that he can rush, given the right openings. However, goals will be an area of focus for Sanders as he must score to vitalize his account for the first time in the season. Concerning Michael, Luke Wysong is the leading receiver with 407 yards from 30 catches and an average of receiving 13.6 yards per catch. With a long of 53 yards, he can score big plays that will come in handy to the Lobos and hope they unleash it offensively against the Aggies, like the game today in which the Air Force vs Wyoming aimed at aggressive defensive penetration.
On the other hand, the Aggies take advantage of a good ground game spearheaded by Seth Mchowan. M. McGowan has rushed the ball 48 times for 260 yards with an average of 5.4 yards and scored two touchdowns. This is primarily because he is important for New Mexico State in helping them dictate the game’s flow. In addition, wide receiver Monte Watkins had limited targets for a limited number of receptions as he managed to record 2 receptions for 69 yards, averaging 34.5 yards per reception with a long of 64 yards. With this skill of turning some catches into ample yardage, he is like the just employed tactics against Old Dominion vs Bowling Green today, where incorporating maximum big plays can drastically change the outcome.
Devon Dampier QB vs. Parker Awad QB
Beginning as a quarterback for Lobos, Devon Dampier has had a few good moments, even during a rough start, which seems to be the reasonable limit for most players. Considering Dampier’s statistics as a quarterback, he completed 97 passes out of 165 attempts for 1,061 yards with six touchdowns and six interceptions; one can see a certain gap in his abilities. Nonetheless, a touch of improvement is necessary as Dampier’s completion percentage stands at 58.8% with a passer rating of 117.5, which can be elevated by reducing the number of turnovers. His deep ball upside, a 55-yard pass epitomizes this explosiveness, which translates to New Mexico’s chances of getting their first win of the season.
Parker Awad has also encountered challenges with the Aggies. Out of those attempts, Awad has only completed 20 out of 55 within humming and tossing 243 yards with a poor completion percentage of 36.4%. His passer rating stands at 78.2, indicating substantial room for improvement. Awad has two touchdowns and two interceptions in his stat sheet while suffering eight sacks for a loss of 59 yards. His center of focus will be on the achievement of the completion percentages and decreasing the number of sacks taken to enhance better offense.
It is a foregone conclusion that the battle between the number one quarterbacks will determine the match’s outcome, Dampier being eager to improve in terms of the important yardage and the completion percentage. At the same moment, Awad has been focused on smoothing out the inconsistencies in the offensive play. Besides that, successful protection and field awareness will be critical for both teams to help them cope with high-pressure situations.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: New Mexico Lobos -9, Total Odds: 54.5
The betting odds present the Lobos as 9-point favorites, a testament to their perceived superior offensive capability despite their winless status. The total over/under is set at 54.5, reflecting expectations for moderate defensive contributions from both teams, yet with the potential for explosive scoring. With the Lobos’ past games exceeding the 54.5 thresholds, the total over remains attractive, given both teams’ historical scoring dynamics.
New Mexico Betting Trends
Despite struggling this season, the Lobos have managed two wins against the spread, although this has yet to translate into SU victories. Their games have consistently seen combined scores exceed 54.5 points, stemming from high-impact offense or looseness in their defensive hold, necessitating strategic refinements going forward.
New Mexico State Betting Trends
The Aggies have secured just one ATS victory as a 9-point underdog or more, highlighting challenges in covering larger spreads. While their games have yet to surpass a 54.5 total score, opponents have exploited weaknesses, resulting in significant aggregate scores, emphasizing the need for defensive tightening.
New Mexico Lobos vs. New Mexico State Aggies 09/28/24 Betting Picks
Analyzing the team capabilities and trends, the Lobos possess a slight edge, propelled by superior offensive threats through Dampier’s arm and Wysong’s receiving prowess. If New Mexico State focuses on refining its aerial attack, it can mount a strong challenge, leveraging McGowan’s rushing ability to diversify offensive threats.
For bettors examining these dynamics, a recommendation leans towards the Lobos covering the spread through elevated scoring potential. Additionally, the over-on-point totals seem prudent, given both teams’ offensive explosiveness and defensive vulnerabilities. To maximize betting results, employing top premium picks could refine wagering strategies based on deeper team insights and adjustments.