As the Major League Baseball season is coming to an end, Tampa Bay Rays (78-81) take on Boston Red Sox (80-79) in a rain-soaked American League battle. Outlooking the playoff picture, this is a battle of nearly matched teams, with low playoff expectations. Today’s clash can be termed as special because of this recent form and a lot is at stake due to the postseason push. Check out the latest free MLB predictions so that you do not go wrong with your wagers on this game today.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox 9/27/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Friday, September 27, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET |
| Where: | Fenway Park |
| Watch: | NESN, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Rays odds: | +110 Moneyline |
| Red Sox odds: | -130 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 8.5 |
Tampa Bay Rays (78-81) vs. Boston Red Sox (80-79)
Despite a season filled with ups and downs, the Tampa Bay Rays come into this game with a need to stabilize their performance. Over their last five matchups, the Rays’ record has been less than stellar, registering losses in their recent series against the Detroit Tigers but pulling off narrow victories against the Toronto Blue Jays. This inconsistency has been a theme for the Rays, who have struggled to find their rhythm as they close the season.
| Tampa Bay Rays Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 26, 2024 | DET | 3-4 | Lose |
| Sep 25, 2024 | DET | 1-7 | Lose |
| Sep 24, 2024 | DET | 1-2 | Lose |
| Sep 22, 2024 | TOR | 4-3 | Win |
| Sep 21, 2024 | TOR | 3-2 | Win |
Conversely, the Boston Red Sox have shown a stronger form, boasting a 4-1 SU in their last 5 games. Their performance has been more convincing, with notable wins over the Toronto Blue Jays and Minnesota Twins, though they stumbled in their most recent game, losing 1-6 to Toronto. The Red Sox’s ability to score runs and capitalize on home-field advantage at Fenway Park will be critical as they aim to finish the season above .500.
| Boston Red Sox Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 25, 2024 | TOR | 1-6 | Lose |
| Sep 24, 2024 | TOR | 6-5 | Win |
| Sep 23, 2024 | TOR | 4-1 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | MIN | 9-3 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | MIN | 8-1 | Win |
Taj Bradley (7-11, 4.3 ERA) vs. Nick Pivetta (6-11, 4.21 ERA)
Taj Bradley of the Tampa Bay Rays has had a rough time on the mound this season with a 7-11 record and an ERA of 4.3. Even in such conditions, the fact that Bradley struck out 147 batters in 132 pitched innings means he may be capable of making an impact on the other teams. He however has a flaw in that he allows Homeruns (22 so far in this season) and this may be a problem against an in-form Red Sox team trending towards being power hitters.
In contrast, Nick Pivetta of the Boston Red Sox has a slightly better ERA average of 4.21 however he is also prone to giving up home runs 28 in 139 innings pitched. Pivetta is good when it comes to getting strikeouts recording 166 in total which may be important considering how Rays hitters have been going. There is no doubt that pitchers like that would always find ways to win games and as time goes by that would be one of the things that works for him.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+155), Total Odds: 8.5
Looking at the present gambling situation, the odds here show slight backing of the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park with a -130 money line owing to their recent form and the home factor. The total line is 8.5 which corresponds with past results of both teams where lower scoring games were the trend, especially when they are up against each other.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Rays tend the game totals going UNDER, as evidenced in 7 out of 8 of their most recent games. The team’s inside history with Boston’s squad, mainly when they play away, gives a mixed reaction. Boston’s struggles with them in the last games at Fenway Park are not apparent in their current away performance this season which suggests weaknesses that Boston might be able to exploit.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
Boston’s form at home of late, as well as their historical struggle against Tampa Bay in these settings (1-8 SU in their last 9 at Fenway against the Rays) delves into a complex narrative. Nevertheless, their better offensive stats and a notch better pitching metrics give them an advantage in this encounter.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox 9/27/24 Betting Picks
The recent forms of the Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox are distinctly different, as they stand a chance in this encounter. Considering the recent form of the Rays on away games, although they have the history at Fenway and the favorable recent home games by the Red Sox, one can say that the upturn is on the side of Boston. Considering the betting trends and performances of the teams, the game, despite being close, will still be low-scoring. Therefore betting on UNDER is advisable.
At the outset, concentrating on and betting on the total runs with the UNDER 8.5, forecasted for this game seems most logical because low scores are the trend of both teams. Premium sports predictions will help in this as there seems to be an overexposure about strikeout prop bets on both starting pitchers, particularly with their K rates for the current season.