With the MLB season-ending, the spotlight now shifts to the matchup between the San Diego Padres (91-68) and Arizona Diamondbacks (88-71), two teams of the National League division that will be important for playoff positions. This clash, which will take place on Friday at Chase Field, captures the essence of the battle as both teams are looking to clinch a position for the postseason. Because of the close records and the pressure to perform, this Melanie Anderson is worth tuning into, which is full of possibilities for those looking for MLB free best picks today.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 9/27/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Friday, September 27, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET |
| Where: | Chase Field |
| Watch: | MLBN, ARID, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Padres odds: | +100 Moneyline |
| Diamondbacks odds: | -118 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 9 |
San Diego Padres (91-68) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (88-71)
The San Diego Padres have demonstrated solid performance as they inch closer to the 100-win mark. Their offensive lineup remains formidable with a batting average of .264 and notable sluggers achieving 187 home runs. Their pitching staff, led by Yu Darvish, has maintained a strong 3.83 ERA, keeping opponents to a .238 batting average. Analyzing their last five games shows resilience and adaptability: they managed to secure victories against tough opponents like Dodgers, despite a recent slip against Dodgers with a close 3-4 loss.
| San Diego Padres Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 25, 2024 | LA | 3-4 | Lose |
| Sep 24, 2024 | LA | 4-2 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | CHW | 4-2 | Win |
| Sep 21, 2024 | CHW | 6-2 | Win |
| Sep 20, 2024 | CHW | 3-2 | Win |
In contrast, the Arizona Diamondbacks have also put up a strong fight with a slightly higher batting average of .263 and an impressive 207 home runs. Their offense has shown flashes of brilliance, especially in their last game against Giants, winning 8-2. However, their inconsistency is apparent as they suffered significant losses in three out of their last five games, indicating potential vulnerabilities that San Diego could exploit.
| Arizona Diamondbacks Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 25, 2024 | SF | 8-2 | Win |
| Sep 24, 2024 | SF | 0-11 | Lose |
| Sep 23, 2024 | SF | 3-6 | Lose |
| Sep 22, 2024 | MIL | 9-10 | Lose |
| Sep 21, 2024 | MIL | 5-0 | Win |
Yu Darvish (6-3, 3.18 ERA) vs. Merrill Kelly (5-0, 3.71 ERA)
Yu Darvish is one of the most important pitchers in the Padres’ rotation who has even been able to record an impressive ER of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.06 for 76.1 innings of pitching. He has 74 strikeouts and walks only 19 batters demonstrating his command on the pitching mound. Who knows the moments of cooling pressure in the games, Darvish’s importance could be critical in countering the hot hitters of the Diamondbacks.
Unlike the rest of his teammates, Merrill Kelly is still undefeated this season but claims to have an average ERA of 3.71. In over 68 innings, he has been steady, posting a superb 1.13 WHIP and 55 strikeouts. Kelly will need to be able to strike out the same amount of home runs as Darvish will be vital while pitching against the good offensive Padres team.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: San Diego Padres +100, Total Odds: 9
The match wagers signify a narrow victory since these two teams face each other in the same division. The only reason some people will place bets on the Padres with a positive moneyline is that they were expected to upset the Diamondbacks who are slightly favored.
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The last few games statistics of the Padres show a decreasing trend, which is quite favorable to the UNDER in totals, in 8 out of the last ten games. Their poise under pressure is also illustrated by their streak of an impressive 9-3 SU in their last 12 games, and even more impressively, 9-4 SU in their last 13 away games against the Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The same cannot be said for the Diamondbacks, who have averaged more than allowed in many games, scoring more than in the last 20 matches against NL teams. This trend implies that most high-scoring games especially being at home, encourage the OVER to be placed with more stakeholders monitoring the trends.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 9/27/24 Betting Picks
Having considered the statistics as well as the recent match results, my final thoughts shift towards the San Diego Padres as the potential outsiders. Perhaps their pitching, even with Darvish and the age curve, can outlast actually whomever Arizona’s highly erratic bullpen places out. For those who are interested in not just win-loss numbers, but in the specifics of the parameters, there is always action on the total number of strikeouts made or on certain innings.
To summarize the results, thus in this case ever more securely one may bet on the Diamondbacks at home, however, the odds are on the way for the Padres beating the spread meaning this may just be one of those exclusive predictions today with the underdog winning in a close contest.