With barely a week left in the MLB regular season, it is time for the Oakland Athletics to represent themselves in another meeting with the Seattle Mariners this Friday night at T-Mobile Park. Both teams have experienced very different cases with the Athletics being very inconsistent through the season while the Mariners pushing for a good finish. As fans and bettors are in the mood to build up for this particular encounter, the scenarios this game has in store for playoff positioning only make it one of the best ones when it comes to MLB free picks today.
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners 9/27/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Friday, September 27, 2024 at 10:10 PM ET |
| Where: | T-Mobile Park |
| Watch: | NBCS-CA, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Athletics odds: | +144 Moneyline |
| Mariners odds: | -169 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 7.5 |
Oakland Athletics (69-90) vs. Seattle Mariners (82-77)
The Oakland Athletics have not had the season they hoped for, evident from their underwhelming win-loss record. Looking at their recent performances, Oakland has struggled significantly on the road and against division rivals. Their last five games show a lackluster pattern: winning narrowly against Texas but falling hard to the Yankees, signaling issues both at the mound and with batting consistency.
| Oakland Athletics Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 26, 2024 | TEX | 3-2 | Win |
| Sep 25, 2024 | TEX | 1-5 | Lose |
| Sep 24, 2024 | TEX | 5-4 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | NYY | 4-7 | Lose |
| Sep 21, 2024 | NYY | 0-10 | Lose |
Conversely, the Seattle Mariners are finishing stronger, having won three of their last five games, including a commanding victory over Houston. This stretch highlights Seattle’s ability to capitalize at crucial moments, especially at home, with a significant winning record. The Mariners’ consistency in pitching and hitting has seen them perform better against teams like Oakland, a trend they’ll hope to continue.
| Seattle Mariners Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 25, 2024 | HOU | 8-1 | Win |
| Sep 24, 2024 | HOU | 3-4 | Lose |
| Sep 23, 2024 | HOU | 6-1 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | TEX | 5-6 | Lose |
| Sep 21, 2024 | TEX | 8-4 | Win |
JP Sears (11-12, 4.43 ERA) vs. Luis Castillo (11-12, 3.64 ERA)
JP Sears tonight will head and pitch for Oakland, in a way living the same way as his team does. He has played 174.2 innings and struck out 133 batters, however, his earned run average is 4.43, indicating that he has had problems keeping the batters at bay. He must do that tonight as well, especially so versus a Mariners team that has shown, especially in the past week, the proclivity to take advantage of pitchers’ imperfections.
However, Castillo is one of the few bright spots for the Mariner side. Stronger than Yankee Castillo with an ERA of 3.64 and 175 strikeouts over 175.1 innings, this has been a much better year for this pitcher. He needs to be effective in pitching against Athletics that can score runs although they do not have consistent run production because of his 1.17 WHIP to support the other bullpen.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Seattle Mariners -169, Total Odds: 7.5
The Mariners are the betting odds favorites thanks to their home form and past matchups against the Athletics particularly in the last games played at T-Mobile Park. The total line around 7.5 also indicates a low finishing score due to Castillo’s pitching performance and both teams’ periodic attacking flashes.
Oakland Athletics Betting Trends
While most of Oakland’s betting trends are not practical with a lousy win on the road and specifically against Seattle, it is not a refreshing trend. For all their ups and downs, they have managed to cover some of the spread lines at least, as their recent matches indicate instability in their play, thus making it risky to bet on them, especially in a very important away fixture.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
Given the recent form of the Mariners and their historical performances at home against the Athletics, it would be safe to put their money on the Mariners. They can be backed due to their high levels of pitching and the supported solid hitting when necessary. The current trends regarding the totals in their last few games regarding the OVER would again give value on taking the game, expecting much scoring than anticipated for their matchup.
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners 9/27/24 Betting Picks
Given the facts and the observed trends, the Mariners are the better team, especially with Luis Castillo toeing the rubber, who has proven to be a difference maker. Provided the history and the recent form versus Oakland, it may be prudent to make a wager on Seattle to cover the spread. One might also consider betting on Castillo’s strikeouts and total runs in prop betting markets.
Those more adventurous would want to take OVER on 7.5 runs rather than looking at the unpredictable offensive displays produced by both teams and the rather volatile pitching with the Athletics. Nevertheless, the premium game analysis would point to the fact that taking the Mariners to win on the moneyline is the simplest yet probably most profitable bet.