Free MLB Picks For Today, Saturday 9/28/2024
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. NY Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Pirates at Yankees—Paul Skenes will start for Pittsburgh. Skenes in 22 starts on the season carries an ERA of 1.99 with WHIP of 0.96. The rookie righthander has an elite 32.9% K rate with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.2% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings. Luis Gil will start for NY. Gil has 28 starts with an ERA of 3.27 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander fans 27.1% with 12.4% walks. Grounders are 36.8% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Skenes has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts. Gil in his past four starts has an ERA of 2.53 with WHIP of 1.17. The Pirates in their past seven games are hitting .214. NY bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.12. The team is 5-1 to the under in Skenes past six road starts. NY is 4-2 to the under in Gil’s past six home starts. Play Pittsburgh and NY under 7.5.
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Whites Sox at Tigers—Sean Burke to start for Chicago. Burke appeared in three games with an ERA of 1.93 with WHIP of 1.00. The righthander strikes out 28.1% with 7% walks. Ground balls dished at 32.4% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.59 suggests a rise in ERA based on form. Brant Hurter to start for Detroit. Hurter appeared in nine games with an ERA of 2.61 with WHIP of 0.92. The lefthander fans 23% with 3.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 54.8% with 0.65 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
As this series began the Tigers had won five straight against the White Sox and covering the run line in each game. Hurter has allowed one earned run in each of his past four starts. Chicago bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.77. They are batting .202 in their past seven games. Play Detroit on run line -1.5 runs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Reds at Cubs—Rhett Lowder will start for Cincinnati. Lowder has five starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 1.40 with WHIP of 1.29. The rookie righthander strikes out 19.6% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.5% with no homers allowed. Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks appeared in 28 games with an ERA of 6.28 with WHIP of 1.51. The veteran fans 15.7% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.5% with 1.53 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Lowder has averaged five or greater innings in his past four starts. Hendricks in his past six starts has an ERA of 6.00 with WHIP of 1.81. The team record behind Hendricks in his past six home games is 1-5 with a -4.8-unit loss. Play Cincinnati +110.
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Marlins at Blue Jays—Darren McCaughan will start for Miami. McCaughan appeared in 11 games in 2023 dealing with an ERA of 6.87 with WHIP of 1.71. The righthander strikes out 13.3% with 7.8% walks. Grounders are 33.1% with 2.13 home runs per nine innings. Yariel Rodriguez to start for Toronto. Rodriguez has 20 starts with an ERA of 4.41 with WHIP of 1.32. The righty is fanning 23.1% with 11% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.1% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
McCaughan in his past six appearances has an ERA of 5.64 with WHIP of 1.43. Rodriguez in his past seven starts has an ERA of 5.87 with WHIP of 1.37. The Marlins bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.79. The Blue Jays are 33-24 at home against right-handed starters. Play Miami and Toronto over.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Phillies at Nationals—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in 31 starts on the year puts up an ERA of 2.56 with WHIP of 0.96. The veteran fans 27.9% with 6.5% walks. Grounders dealt at 42.7% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore has 31 starts with an ERA of 4.04 with WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander strikes out 24.2% with 9% walks. Ground balls are 39.2% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Wheeler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in ten straight starts. Gore has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. But he was pounded for five earned runs with nine hits in his start at Philadelphia on August 17th. Both bullpens are struggling over their past ten games. Philadelphia is batting .271 in their past seven games. Philadelphia is 7-2 to the over in their past nine road games against losing teams. Play Philadelphia and Washington over 7.5.
St Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Cardinals at Giants—Andre Pallante to start for St Louis. Pallante appeared in 28 games this year posting an ERA of 3.71 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander strikes out 18.4% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 62% with 0.62 home runs per nine innings. Blake Snell will start for San Francisco. Snell has 20 starts on the year with an ERA of 3.12 and WHIP of 1.05. The lefthander has an elite 34.7% K rate with 10.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42% with 0.52 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pallante in his past three starts has an ERA of 1.89 with WHIP of 1.00. Snell has allowed one earned run or fewer in seven of his past eight starts. The Giants bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.39. St Louis is 5-1 to the under behind Pallante when he faces an NL team on the road with a .400 or lower slugging percentage. The Giants are 6-1 to the under in Snell’s past seven starts at home. Play St Louis and San Francisco under 7.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Rays at Red Sox—Shane Baz to start for Tampa Bay. Baz in 13 starts in 2023 puts up an ERA of 3.07 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander strikes out 20.9% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.9% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Kutter Crawford to start for Boston. Crawford has 32 starts with an ERA of 4.17 and WHIP of 1.10. The righty is fanning 22.9% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 33% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Baz has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six straight starts. Crawford in his past three starts allowed ten earned runs with four homers in 18 1/3rd innings. Both bullpens are in good form in their past ten games. Boston is batting .226 in their past seven games. The team record behind Crawford at home is 4-15 in his career when favored at home by -110 or higher losing -17.2 units. Play Tampa Bay +110.
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Astros at Guardians—Justin Verlander to start for Houston. Verlander in 16 starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 5.55 with WHIP of 1.40. The veteran fans 18.6% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 28.5% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. Ben Lively to start for Cleveland. Lively has 28 starts with an ERA of 3.80 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander strikes out 18.7% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls are 42.1% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Verlander in his past eight starts has an ERA of 8.44 with WHIP of 1.74 pitching to high contact. Lively in his past three starts has allowed one earned run in 12 innings. The Guardians bullpen in their past ten games is 1.05 to the Astros 6.75. The team mark behind Verlander on the road against a winning team is 1-4 with a -3.5-unit loss. Play Cleveland -115.
NY Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Mets at Brewers—David Peterson to start for NY. Peterson in 20 starts this season posting an ERA of 3.08 with WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander strikes out 19.1% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls are 49.7% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings. Colin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea appeared in 31 games with an ERA of 4.17 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander fans 19% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls served at 38.9% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Peterson in his past six road starts has an ERA of 2.65 and WHIP of 1.18. Rea in his past seven starts has an ERA of 7.42 with WHIP of 1.61 getting crushed by the home run ball. NY in their past seven games is hitting .263. The team mark behind Peterson on the road is 8-3 with a +5.1-unit return. Play NY.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Orioles at Twins—Albert Suarez to start for Baltimore. Suarez in 31 appearances in 2024 puts up an ERA of 3.74 with WHIP of 1.32. The righthander strikes out 19.2% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.9% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Zebby Matthews to start for Minnesota. Matthews has eight starts with an ERA of 5.71 and WHIP of 1.50. The rookie righty is fanning 24.1% with 5.1% walks. Grounders are 40.9% with 2.34 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Suarez in his past four starts has an ERA of 7.23 with WHIP of 1.61. Matthews at home has an ERA of 8.22 with WHIP of 1.70 getting crushed by the home run. As this series began the Orioles had won seven straight against the Twins. Minnesota is 1-8 at home. facing a team that averages 1.25 home runs per game or greater with a -7.2-unit loss. Play Baltimore.
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Royals at Braves—Seth Lugo to start for KC. Lugo in 32 starts this season carries an ERA of 3.03 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander strikes out 21.5% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls served at 43.8% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings. Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton has 29 starts with an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.32. The veteran fans 24% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.9% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Lugo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five of his past six starts. Morton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his past eight starts. KC bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.56. KC in their past seven games is hitting .186. Atlanta is 25-10 to the under in their past 35 home games. Play KC and Atlanta under.
LA Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Dodgers at Rockies—Yoshinobu Yamamoto to start for LA. Yamamoto in 17 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 2.96 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander strikes out 28.3% with 6.3% walks. Grounders dealt at 48.9% with 0.64 home runs per nine innings. Antonio Senzatela to start for Colorado. Senzatela in his two starts allowed three earned runs with four walks and two homers in eight innings. He has missed much of the past two seasons with Tommy John surgery. The righthander has a career ERA of 4.86 with WHIP of 1.45 working 687 2/3rd innings and 455 strikeouts.
The Pick:
Yamamoto has allowed one earned run or fewer in five of his past six starts. Senzatela faced the Dodgers and Diamondbacks in his return with good results. LA bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.70. LA is 5-2 to the under behind Yamamota on the road. Colorado is 23-15 to the under in their past 38 home games. Play LA and Colorado under 11.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Padres at Diamondbacks—Martin Perez to start for San Diego. Perez in 25 starts on the campaign deals with an ERA of 4.25 and WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander strikes out 18.2% with 8.2% walks. Grounders are 44.4% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Eduardo Rodriguez will start for Arizona. Rodriguez has nine starts with an ERA of 5.56 with WHIP of 1.52. The lefthander fans 21.6% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.3% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Perez in his past four road starts has an ERA of 4.98 with WHIP of 1.38 getting hurt by the home run ball. Rodriguez in his past six starts has an ERA of 6.44 with WHIP of 1.67 with poor control and giving up the home run. Arizona bats .277 at home. San Diego is hitting .275 on the road. Arizona is 25-8 to the over in their past 33 at home. Play San Diego and Arizona over.
Texas Rangers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Rangers at Angels—Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney appeared in 31 games this season carrying an ERA of 3.98 and WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander strikes out 23.2% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.2% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Griffin Canning to start for LA. Canning appeared in 31 games with an ERA of 5.24 with WHIP of 1.40. The righthander fans 17.5% with 8.9% walks. Grounders served at 40.7% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Heaney in his past three starts allowed 11 runs with three homers in 16 2/3rd innings. Canning in his past seven starts has an ERA of 5.68 with WHIP of 1.42 having issues with control. Texas bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.50. The team record behind Heaney on the road is 3-12 with a -9-unit loss. LA is 8-5 behind Canning at home as a +100 underdog or higher with a +5.6-unit return. Play LA +129.
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 9/28/2024
Athletics at Mariners—Joey Estes will start for Oakland. Estes appeared in 24 game sin 2024 putting up an ERA of 4.99 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander strikes out 17.3% with 4.8% walks. Grounders are served at 24.4% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings. Luis Castillo to start for Seattle. Castillo appeared in 30 games with an ERA of 3.64 and WHIP of 1.17. The veteran fans 24.3% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.3% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Estes in his past four starts allowed 18 runs with six homers in 15 2/3rd innings. Castillo has allowed two earned runs in each of his past three starts. Both bullpens in good for the past ten games. Oakland is 7-0 to the over on the road behind Estes. Seattle is batting .278 in their past seven games. Play Oakland and Seattle over.