Free MLB Picks For Today, Friday 9/27/2024
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Reds at Cubs—Nick Martinez to start for Cincinnati. Martinez appeared in 41 games with an ERA of 3.22 and WHIP of 1.05. The righthander strikes out 20.8% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.7% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon has 27 starts with an ERA of 3.41 and WHIP of 1.14. The veteran fans 18.9% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.2% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Martinez in his past five starts has an ERA of 5.55 with WHIP of 1.60. Taillon in his past four starts has an ERA of 1.08 with WHIP of 0.84. The Reds bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.97. Cincinnati in their past seven games is hitting .205. Taillon in his home Day Games is 6-3 to the run line with a +3.5-unit return. Play Chicago on run line -1.5 runs at +150.
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
White Sox at Tigers—Garrett Crochet to start for Chicago. Crochet has 31 starts in 2024 puts up an ERA of 3.68 with WHIP of 1.06. The lefthander has an elite 35.1% K rate with 5.5% walks. Grounders are 45.1% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Casey Mize to start for Detroit. Mize in 20 starts has an ERA of 4.36 with WHIP of 1.44. The righthander strikes out 17.1% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.9% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Crochet in his past seven starts has an ERA of 6.08. He has not pitched greater than four innings in this period. Mize in his past six starts has an ERA of 4.20 with WHIP of 1.43. Detroit has won five straight against the White Sox with all five by two runs or greater. Detroit bullpen in good form in their past ten games. The White Sox pen in this period has an ERA of 3.28. The team is 0-3 to the run line with Crochet against division opponents on the road with a -3-unit loss. Detroit is 3-1 to the run line behind Mize at home against teams that average 0.9 home runs per game or fewer with a +2.4-unit return. Play Detroit on run line -1.5 runs at +128.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Phillies at Nationals—Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in 26 starts this season delivers an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP of 1.16. The lefthander strikes out 23.4% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls are 51.4% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. Trevor Williams will start for Washington. Williams started 12 games with an ERA of 2.19 with WHIP of 1.04. The righthander fans 22.3% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls served at 44.2% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Suarez in his return to the rotation has an ERA of 4.30 and WHIP of 1.53 in hist six starts. Williams has allowed one earned run or fewer in eight of his past nine starts. Philadelphia bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.03. The team record behind Suarez is 2-4 in his past six home games with a -2.2-unit loss. The team mark behind Williams is 4-0 at home with a +6.2-unit return. Play Washington +158.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. NY Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Pirates at Yankees—Jared Jones to start for Pittsburgh. Jones has 21 starts on the year dealing with an ERA of 4.14 and WHIP of 1.18. The righthander strikes out 25.8% with 7.6% walks. Grounders sit at 39.1% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Rodon will start for NY. Rodon in 31 starts has an ERA of 3.98 with WHIP of 1.21. The lefthander fans 26.6% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 33.8% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Jones in his past five road starts has an ERA of 7.86 with WHIP of 1.52. Rodon has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Pittsburgh bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.24. NY comes off a division clinching game on Thursday. Let down spot here. Play Pittsburgh +150.
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Marlins at Blue Jays—Adam Oller to start for Miami. Oller has seven starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 5.06 with WHIP of 1.47. The righthander strikes out 20.1% with 12.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.7% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios in 31 starts an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran fans 19.4% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.5% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oller in his past seven starts has an ERA of 5.06 with WHIP of 1.47. Berrios has allowed two earned runs or fewer in eight straight. Miami bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.53. The team record behind Berrios at home against the run line against a losing team is 7-0 with a +8.9-unit return. Play Toronto on run line -1.5 runs at +118.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Rays at Red Sox—Taj Bradley will start for Tampa Bay. Bradley in 24 starts on the year deals with an ERA of 4.30 with WHIP of 1.25. The righthander strikes out 26.4% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls served at 41.3% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta appeared in 26 starts with an ERA of 4.21 with WHIP of 1.14. The veteran fans 29.1% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 32.9% with 1.81 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Bradley in his past ten starts has an ERA of 7.29 with WHIP of 1.71. Pivetta has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Both bullpens are in good form in the past ten games. The team record behind Pivetta is 3-0 in his past three home starts. Play Boston -130.
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Astros at Guardians—Ronel Blanco to start for Houston. Blanco in 29 appearances deals with an ERA of 2.88 and WHIP of 1.10. The righthander strikes out 24.7% with 10% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.8% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.17 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Joey Cantillo will start for Cleveland. Cantillo appeared in eight games putting up an ERA of 4.63 with WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander strikes out 25.9% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.8% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Blanco has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Cantillo has allowed two earned runs in his past three starts working 16 1/3rd innings. Cleveland bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.05. Houston 8-5 to the under behind Blanco in his road games. The Astros are 47-28 to the under in their road games. Cleveland is 10-1 to the under this month at home. Play Houston and Cleveland under 8.
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Royals at Braves—Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer in 31 starts produces an ERA of 3.73 with WHIP of 1.28. The righthander strikes out 22.4% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.8% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Chris Sale to start for Atlanta. Sale has 29 starts with an ERA of 2.38 with WHIP of 1.01. The lefthander has an elite 32.1% K rate with 5.6% walks. Grounders are 44.8% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Singer in his past six starts has an ERA of 6.19 with WHIP of 1.56. Fried in his past five starts has an ERA of 3.09 and WHIP of 1.16. KC bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.56 to the Braves 5.63. But KC is batting .186 in their past seven games. Atlanta is 6-1 to the under behind Fried when a home favorite of -150 or higher. Play KC and Atlanta over 7.5.
NY Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Mets at Brewers—Sean Manaea will start for NY. Manaea has 31 starts on the year carrying an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.06. The lefthander fans 25.5% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls are 37.6% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Frankie Montas to start for Milwaukee. Montas in 29 starts has an ERA of 4.85 with WHIP of 1.37. The lefty is striking out 22.3% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.6% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Manaea in his past five starts has an ERA of 2.36 and WHIP of 0.70. Montas in his past six starts has an ERA of 5.85 with WHIP of 1.30 struggling with control. But Milwaukee has won nine of ten against the Mets. The Brewers bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.33. The team mark behind Manaea on the road is 12-3 with a +10.1-unit return. Milwaukee is 0-5 behind Montas when a home underdog of +100 or higher. Play NY -123.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Orioles at Twins—Case Povich to start for Baltimore. Povich in 15 starts delivers an ERA of 5.59 with WHIP of 1.50. The rookie lefthander strikes out 20.2% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.1% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings. Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez has 31 starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 4.11 and WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 25.5% with 5.1% walks. Grounders served at 43.1% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Baltimore has won seven straight against the Twins. Povich has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Lopez in his past four starts has an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.54. Minnesota bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.55. The Twins in their past seven games are hitting .216. The Twins are 18-22 at home against a winning team with a -8.8-unit loss. Play Baltimore +144.
LA Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Dodgers at Rockies—Tony Gonsolin to start for LA. Gonsolin makes his 2024 debut recovering from Tommy John surgery. He has a career ERA of 3.19 with WHIP of 105 striking out 349 batters in 375 2/3rd innings. Cal Quantrill will start for Colorado. Quantrill in 28 starts has an ERA of 4.72 with WHIP of 1.49. The righthander fans 17.2% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls are 43.5% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Gonsolin has gone no longer than three innings in his rehab. Quantril in his past three home starts allowed 9 earned runs with 13 walks in 13 innings of work. Colorado bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.79. Both teams are hitting in their past seven games. LA is 9-2 to the over in their past 11 road games. Play LA and Colorado over 11.5.
Texas Rangers vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Rangers at Angels—Jacob deGrom will start for Texas. deGrom in his two starts allowed one earned run with nine strikeouts in 6 2/3rd innings. The veteran has a career ERA of 2.52 with WHIP of 0.99 striking out 1661 batters in 1363 innings. Reid Detmers to start for LA. Detmers has 16 starts with an ERA of 6.67 with WHIP of 1.54. The lefthander fans 26.4% with 10.1% walks. Grounders are 39.3% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
LA bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.38. The Rangers pen sits at 5.05 in this span. Detmer has allowed 14 earned runs with six walks in his past two starts working 7 1/3rd innings. Texas is 14-9 to the over when lined on the road at -110 or higher. LA is 17-13 at home against a losing team. Play Texas and LA over 7.5.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Padres at Diamondbacks—Martin Perez to start for San Diego. Perez has 25 starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 4.25 with WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander strikes out 18.2% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.4% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in 12 starts has an ERA of 3.71 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander fans 20.1% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.1% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Perez in his past four road games has an ERA of 4.98 with WHIP of 1.38 getting hurt with the home run ball. Kelly in his past two home starts allowed 9 runs with four homers in 9 1/3rd innings. Arizona is batting .277 at home and the Padres .275 on the road. San Diego is 18-9 to the under when a road underdog of +100 to +150. Arizona is 33-14 to the over at home against the division. Play San Diego and Arizona over 9.
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Athletics at Mariners—JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears has 31 starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 4.43 with WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander strikes out 18.1% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 38% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. Luis Castillo starts for Seattle. Castillo in 30 starts deals with an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander fans 24.3% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 39.3% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Sears in his past two starts allowed 10 earned runs with four homers in 11 innings. Castillo has allowed two earned runs in each of his past three starts. Oakland is batting .211 in their past seven games and the Mariners at .278. Both bullpens are in great form. The Athletics are 16-8 to the under on the road when facing an AL pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or lower. Seattle is 14-5 to the under at home against a left-handed starter. Play Oakland and Seattle under 7.5.
St Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 9/27/2024
Cardinals at Giants—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in 31 starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 5.35 with WHIP of 1.27. The veteran fans 17% with 3.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.2% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.20 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Lande Roupp will start for San Francisco. Roupp appeared in 22 games delivering an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander strikes out 22.1% with 12.3% walks. Grounders sit at 46.8% with minimal home run damage.
The Pick:
Mikolas in his past four road starts has an ERA of 7.41 with WHIP of 1.65. San Francisco bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.39. St Louis is 23-29 on the road when an underdog of +100 or higher. Play San Francisco -129.