This Friday in Target Field Baltimore Orioles (88-71) will play the Minnesota Twins (82-77) preparing for the last days of the MLB regular season. One of the teams, the Orioles, who finished stronger, are planning how to improve their chances in the postseason, while the other team struggling to find a way in the playoffs. This contest features high stakes as far as playoff spots are concerned and therefore a great matchup for those looking for MLB winning picks.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins 9/27/24 Game Info and Odds |
|
| When: | Friday, September 27, 2024, at 8:10 PM ET |
| Where: | Target Field |
| Watch: | BSN, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Orioles odds: | +146 Moneyline |
| Twins odds: | -172 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 8.5 |
Baltimore Orioles (88-71) vs. Minnesota Twins (82-77)
The Baltimore Orioles have a batting average of .249, 763 runs scored, and a significant 228 home runs, the Orioles have demonstrated their offensive prowess throughout the season. Their pitching staff also holds a commendable 3.95 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. The last five games for the Orioles show a bit of inconsistency but highlight their resilience, winning against strong teams like the Yankees and losing some tight games against the same team and the Detroit Tigers.
| Baltimore Orioles Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 26, 2024 | NYY | 1-10 | Lose |
| Sep 25, 2024 | NYY | 9-7 | Win |
| Sep 24, 2024 | NYY | 5-3 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | DET | 3-4 | Lose |
| Sep 21, 2024 | DET | 4-6 | Lose |
Conversely, the Minnesota Twins, despite a slightly lower batting average (.247) and fewer home runs (179), maintain competitive on-base (.316) and slugging percentages (.413). However, their recent form raises concerns, with only one win in their last five games, which includes losses to teams like Miami and Boston. The Twins have struggled, especially against the Orioles, making this upcoming game a challenging endeavor.
| Minnesota Twins Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 26, 2024 | MIA | 6-8 | Lose |
| Sep 25, 2024 | MIA | 8-3 | Win |
| Sep 24, 2024 | MIA | 1-4 | Lose |
| Sep 22, 2024 | BOS | 3-9 | Lose |
| Sep 22, 2024 | BOS | 1-8 | Lose |
Cade Povich (2-9, 5.59 ERA) vs. Pablo Lopez (15-9, 4.11 ERA)
Fitting into Baltimore’s starting rotation these days is Cade Povich, who has had a rather bizarre season of tragedies, as shown by his 2-9 record along with his 5.59 ERA. Coupled with a 1.5 WHIP over 74 innings pitched, one can gather this is a pitcher who has been unable to control the game and will be an asset to the Orioles only if the game is not tight at this stage.
However, the numbers for Pablo Lopez for the Twins are the very opposite. He holds a decent record of 15-9 while also holding a reasonable ERA of 4.11. He will be pivotal as he carries himself along with 190 strikeouts and 38 walks in 179.2 innings pitched, which is excellent game management given the men on board. Although the twins have been struggling lately, he and his superior control might be enough to tip the scales in favor of Minnesota.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota Twins -172, Total Odds: 8.5
The betting line indicates a very small edge to the Minnesota Twins because they play at home and because Lopez is pitching well. The total is a common 8.5 as per the trend followed by both teams with regards to scoring and conceding in fits and starts.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
According to Baltimore’s betting trends, the offense seems to be capable of scoring with the total going OVER in 5 out of 7 of their last matches. These guys are, however, on a 7-0 SU streak against the Twins. That is in itself a healthy psychological boost. Nonetheless, their away matches tend to be low-scoring, with UNDERs in 6 of their last 8 away encounters.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins bet has been beneficial in the last 5 games as they have gone over in 4 of those, putting them as a high-scoring offensive as well as – partially because, – a porous defense overall and particularly so at home where the OVER has happened in 7 of the last 8. Although they are a good home team against most teams, their recent performances against the orioles and more recently, the rest of the AL, provide some chinks that punters may want to look out for.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins 9/27/24 Betting Picks
Even if the Orioles assume an underdog role, they have enjoyed success over the Twins, making this encounter very interesting. A look into the recent performance of both sides and betting trends points towards a close contest. However, the Twins may hold the edge courtesy of the home court and Pablo Lopez’s arm.
For the bettors after the best value, the total going OVER 8.5 is a good option, considering the class of both teams going forward. Important player prop bets, preferably based on Lopez, can be pleasing. In case one looks for premium matchup reviews and turret gambling, this game has more than enough interesting betting strategies.