With the progress of the MLB season heading towards its last stretch, the Philadelphia Phillies go to Nationals Park to face the Washington Nationals in a match that will carry some weight, considering it concerns playoff spots. Since the Phillies are trying to hold on to their playoff places, and the Nationals want to spoil those plans, that is a crucial matchup. In this regard, today’s game is not an ordinary game; it is one with possible repercussions in the playoffs, which is why it comes first in the list of suitable selections for MLB daily free picks.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals 9/27/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Friday, September 27, 2024 at 6:45 PM ET |
| Where: | Nationals Park |
| Watch: | NBCS-PH, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Phillies odds: | -204 Moneyline |
| Nationals odds: | +172 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 7.5 |
Philadelphia Phillies (94-65) vs. Washington Nationals (69-90)
The Phillies are performing strongly this season, with a batting average of .258 and having secured 774 runs, 1405 hits, and 196 home runs. Their recent game performance, however, shows a mix of outcomes. They triumphed over the Chicago Cubs but faced a tough defeat the previous day. Their fluctuating road game outcomes, winning against the Cubs but losing to the New York Mets, highlight their inconsistency away from home.
| Philadelphia Phillies Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 25, 2024 | CHC | 9-6 | Win |
| Sep 24, 2024 | CHC | 4-10 | Lose |
| Sep 23, 2024 | CHC | 6-2 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | NYM | 1-2 | Lose |
| Sep 21, 2024 | NYM | 3-6 | Lose |
Conversely, the Nationals are struggling with a .241 batting average and only 638 runs. Their performance in recent games shows a troubling pattern: a series of losses against the Kansas City Royals, with scores like 4-7 and a painful 0-3 and 0-1 on the preceding days. Their only recent win came against the Chicago Cubs on September 21 with a score of 5-1.
| Washington Nationals Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 26, 2024 | KC | 4-7 | Lose |
| Sep 25, 2024 | KC | 0-3 | Lose |
| Sep 24, 2024 | KC | 0-1 | Lose |
| Sep 22, 2024 | CHC | 0-5 | Lose |
| Sep 21, 2024 | CHC | 5-1 | Win |
Ranger Suarez (12-7, 3.15 ERA) vs. Trevor Williams (5-1, 2.19 ERA)
Ranger Suarez has surely embraced his role as one of the primary starters of the Philadelphia team with a total of 148.2 innings and an impressive 3.15 ERA and 143 strikeouts added to his record. His precision was great as he only gave up 39 walks; however, he conceded 13 home runs. Suarez’s maintaining lower hits, encasing only 133, will be paramount in the game against the less ambitious Nationals.
Trevor Williams, on the other hand, has shown far less than Williams and pitched only 61.2 innings this season, but has sharp numbers of 2.19 earned run average and 1.04 WHIP. He has shown such superb accuracy and command that even at best he has allowed only three long balls. Williams gives good reasons to believe that the Nationals can indeed hope for better times with him soon.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-130), Total Odds: 7.5
The odds on the moneyline point to a Phillies victory considering they have had a better season and have a more comprehensive constitution than Farmers. Over/Under 7.5 indicates a low-scoring contest, based on reasoning statistical averages or projections as viewed in the last few games played by either team.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have had no issues scoring runs lately as they have gone OVER in 5 of the last 7 games and even more when playing divisional opponents as evidenced by the last 10 games where the OVER has hit 8 times in games involving the National League East teams over ten games. On the other hand, their away games may provide some concerns as they have a dismal 1-4 SU in their last 5 away games.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Nationals are slumping right now as they have gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 games which reinforces their inability to score. While all of their wins came at home against Philadelphia, this line of thinking does not help their cause in terms of future games.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals 9/27/24 Betting Picks
Based on the analysis and the recent trend, it is lean towards the Phillies, although they have been inconsistent on the road. They have won most of their recent matches against the Nationals, which makes them a safer bet. The total is complex especially due to trends diverging, but sticking with UNDER might be a good idea considering that neither offense has looked great in high-scoring games recently.
To wrap up, the argument for the Phillies to beat the spread is pretty sound because of how the teams’ roster has fared against the opposition and the current winless streak of the nationals. Also, for prop bets, featuring Ranger Suarez over strikeouts might pay off as he has shown to be consistent this season. These insights should always be viewed through the prism of a strategy focused on the premium analysis picks.