The scene is set for a decisive clash at Minute Maid Park on Wednesday, September 25, 2024, as the Seattle Mariners (81-77) are determined to spoil the party for the Houston Astros (86-72). With the regular season nearing its end, everything is on the line for both sides, hence the need to pile up as many victories as is within reach. This is not simply a competition to clinch victories but also a fight for total control of the court, which is the focus for MLB winning picks.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros 9/25/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Wednesday, September 25, 2024, at 2:10 PM ET |
| Where: | Minute Maid Park |
| Watch: | MLBN, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Mariners odds: | +124 Moneyline |
| Astros odds: | -147 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 8 |
Seattle Mariners (81-77) vs. Houston Astros (86-72)
The Seattle Mariners are showcasing resilience on the road, as evident from their recent performances, including a commanding 6-1 victory over the Astros. Their overall batting average is .224, with a modest slugging percentage of .375, which underlines a need for strategic hitting against the Astros’ pitching lineup. The Mariners have shown bursts of power with 177 home runs and crucial runs in tight games, reflected in their road game success rate, including notable wins against teams like Texas and the Yankees.
| Seattle Mariners Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 23, 2024 | HOU | 6-1 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | TEX | 5-6 | Lose |
| Sep 21, 2024 | TEX | 8-4 | Win |
| Sep 20, 2024 | TEX | 8-2 | Win |
| Sep 19, 2024 | NYY | 3-2 | Win |
In contrast, the Houston Astros have been formidable at home with a strong batting lineup boasting a .262 average and a higher slugging percentage of .419. Their performance has been more consistent, marked by a solid win-loss record in recent games despite a setback against the Mariners. The Astros have capitalized on their home-field advantage, which they’ll aim to leverage against Seattle’s aggressive road play. However, they got victory over the Angels three times in a row.
| Houston Astros Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 23, 2024 | SEA | 1-6 | Lose |
| Sep 22, 2024 | LAA | 8-9 | Lose |
| Sep 21, 2024 | LAA | 10-4 | Win |
| Sep 20, 2024 | LAA | 9-7 | Win |
| Sep 19, 2024 | LAA | 3-1 | Win |
George Kirby (13-11, 3.6 ERA) vs. Yusei Kikuchi (9-9, 4.19 ERA)
George Kirby has undeniably been a cornerstone for the Mariners this season with a 3.6 ERA in 185 innings. Perhaps, the fewest walks allowed this season (22) may be crucial in handling the strong batters of the opposing team, which are the Houston Astros. As for Seattle, George Kirby’s resoluteness and strikeouts will be crucial in the fight against Houston’s hitters.
Conversely, Yusei Kikuchi has an ERA of 4.19, indicating his moments of weakness as reflected in his WHIP of 1.21. However, Kissuki seems to have recorded quite a number of strikeouts that is 198 ks in contrast to 169.2 innings, which is pretty good. It will be difficult for him to deal with the Mariners’ hitters since they have been able to take advantage of opportunities and weaknesses presented to them, especially during critical moments.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Houston Astros -1.5 (+139), Total Odds: 8
The odds for this contest weigh slightly on the side of the Astros, considering their dominant home presence and batting. On the other hand, the more recent chart of the Mariners, especially away, allows them to at worst cover the spread or even win, which makes the +1.5 spread particularly juicy for punters.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
Recent Seattle’s uptrend, especially in road games against strong opponents backs their dependency and strategy, while their mettle under duress, as noted by a 7-2 record on the road against Houston, makes them an intriguing transformation in this matchup of the sleeper team.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
There is a tendency for Houston to perform strongly at home and for games to go UNDER on a Wednesday, which implies more of a defensive strategy. With their powerful lineup, they take advantage of any opportunities that Seattle’s pitchers may present.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros 9/25/24 Betting Picks
Having reviewed their recent forms, betting tendencies and exclusive matchup factors, it appears that in a very tight contest, the Mariners, who have shown great coping up and deep central orders especially on the away games, will also go to dispatch the Astros. Their tendency to be great on the road, particularly at Minute Maid Park pushes the prediction slightly towards their favour.
Bettors may be interested in Seattle covering the +1.5 which again is viable because of the team’s great away show and more recent defeats on the Houston turf. There is a possibility that this matchup falls under a premium matchup review as the total will likely go OVER as both teams have been known to score under duress.