With Week 4 of the NFL season progressing, we cannot overlook a captivating duel set to unfold this Sunday at Raymond James Stadium when the Philadelphia Eagles encounter the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This game will find the Eagles doing everything to continue their league while the Buccaneers will seek to balance their record and calm fraying nerves. This game has plenty of upside for those trying to get ahead of the betting, making it one of the best bets in NFL latest free picks today.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9/29/24 Game Info |
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When: | Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 1:00 PM ET |
Where: | Raymond James Stadium |
TV: | FOX |
Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-2)
The Philadelphia Eagles, holding a 2-1 record, have demonstrated resilience in their game strategy, particularly in their rushing attacks led by Saquon Barkley. Barkley’s 351 rushing yards across three games highlight his critical role in the Eagles’ offense. Additionally, tight end Dallas Goedert has been a significant receiving threat with 239 yards, although he has yet to secure a touchdown this season. Their last game against the Saints ended in a slim 15-12 victory, underscoring a potentially vulnerable offense that must be more clinical to dominate upcoming games.
On the other side, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 1-2 have had a rocky start, evident in their recent 7-26 loss against Denver. However, their performance history shows potential for recovery. Quarterback Baker Mayfield, with a 74.4% completion rate and 637 passing yards, has been finding rhythm with receivers like Chris Godwin, who already has three touchdowns. Their coordination will be essential to uplift the Bucs’ prospects against the defensively robust Eagles.
Jalen Hurts QB vs. Baker Mayfield QB
So far the season has been kind of a mixtape for Jalen Hurts putting up 772 passing yards and a 70.6 % completion rate. He has the ability to launch the football as well, making the longest throw of 67 yards, however, there are drawbacks, such as his poor decision making, resulting in interceptions and taking too many sacks. Hurts’ performance with the ball will have to improve facing the Buccaneers who have been able to take advantage of such comfort.
There is no denying that Baker Mayfield’s beginning with the Buccaneers is a story of adjustment. By succeeding in 74.4% of his throws and scoring 6 touchdowns so far, Mayfield looks to be adapting to the Tampa system rather well. For him, the only task ahead will be how to deal with the Eagles’ front line, which will put his pocket presence and decision-making to the test. How Mayfield performs, it’s safe to say, would affect the pace of the game largely.
The duel involving Hurts and Mayfield promises to be a key factor in the final outcome of the match. While both quarterbacks have their strong faces towards the match, it is their face to face engagement that is tactical, changing the tempo and strategies of the game.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia Eagles -3 (-120), Total Odds: 48
The betting lines suggest a modest bias toward the Eagles, as their current spread is -3. The over/under line set at 48 hints at a balanced score as both teams are expected to score a lot owing to their offensive prowess and defensive weakness so far.
Philadelphia Eagles Betting Trends
Analyzing Philadelphia’s recent form and ATS (2-8 in their last 10 games) is rather worrying as it depicts a team struggling to cover the point spread. Even though confidence on their ability to cover big margins should be tempered by this, there is also some history in such games ending under the point total.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends
On the other hand, the Buccaneers have a good ATS performance of 7-3 in their last 10 games and are accustomed to scoring low points too. This pattern might benefit those betting on the under in this contest, especially with the recent form of both teams.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9/29/24 Betting Picks
Considering the comprehensive study undertaken and the behaviour of the odds so far, this particular matchup appears more evenly matched than the odds suggest. Even though the Eagles are the favorites, they have not covered the set spread, suggesting that there could be underlying reasons for backing the Buccaneers. Since both teams want to take the Pole in lower scores, it is also wise to take the under on the total points.
For those more inclined to risk esoteric risk metrics, Tampa Bay at +3 is the healthier option. This and consideration for the under could also enhance the opportunities to exploit the market. For premium top picks, consider Saquon Barkley for an anytime touchdown, which offers a decent prop worth betting on.