As week four of the NFL season rolls around, another exciting week brings the focus to the historic Lambeau Field as the undefeated Minnesota Vikings (3-0) head to face-off against the Green Bay Packers (2-1) in another NFC North battle. This tussle will be live televised on CBS, scheduled for airing on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET and promises to enthrall the level and physical football games of its league. This particular game is highly anticipated by both fans and bettors which is why it features amongst the constantly covered NFL daily free picks.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers 9/29/24 Game Info |
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| When: | Sunday, September 29, 2024, at 1:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Lambeau Field |
| TV: | CBS |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Minnesota Vikings (3-0) vs. Green Bay Packers (2-1)
The Vikings come into this game riding high with an unbeaten record, showcasing a potent mix of strategic rushing and aerial attacks. Minnesota’s recent demolition of the Houston Texans 34-7 highlighted their offensive prowess, spearheaded by running back Aaron Jones and receiver Justin Jefferson. Jones, with an average of 76 rushing yards per game and 228 total rushing yards, has consistently pierced defenses. Meanwhile, Jefferson, accumulating 273 receiving yards from 14 receptions, poses a substantial threat on every down.
Conversely, the Green Bay Packers have displayed a robust form of their own, led by Josh Jacobs in the backfield. Jacobs, with 278 rushing yards across three games, has been a key component of the Packers’ offensive strategy, notably in their 30-14 victory over the Tennessee Titans. The receiving corps, led by Jayden Reed with 197 yards from 10 catches, has effectively complemented Green Bay’s ground game, contributing to a balanced and formidable offensive lineup.
Sam Darnold QB vs. Malik Willis QB
This season, Vikings’ quarterback Sam Darnold has been shocking, throwing for 657 yards with 8 touchdowns and 2 interceptions recording a passer rating of 117.3. Darnold’s long passes to receivers like Jefferson have contributed to Minnesota’s offense efficiently. His accuracy and choices are going to be very important as they face Green Bay’s defense who are weak at times.
On the flip side, Malik Willis for the Packers has not really thrown for as many yards but possesses a better passer rating of 122.7, considering he has played well and has not thrown any interceptions. He has 324 passing yards and 2 TD but lacks when it comes to playmaking as he will have a lot of pressure playing against the Vikings’ defense and can be a menace at times.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Green Bay Packers -5.5 (-120), Total Odds: 46
Betting odds for the game are heavily weighed in favor of the Packers -5.5 points as the spread warrants, considering that the Punters outmatch the Vikings. The over/under, which is placed at 46 over-under points, also suggests that many points will be scored because both teams have good offense.
Minnesota Vikings Betting Trends
When playing away from home, Minnesota’s betting trend shows they defend the spread as well and are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 away matches, on the downside, some less favorable past encounters at Lambeau (6-12 ATS). Given their recent games in which the total score has trend more on the UNDER side rather than OVER (12 out of their previous 18 series), it is likely that the public will bet UNDER the total more than the odds offer.
Green Bay Packers Betting Trends
The Packers have shown that they are a tough side to beat when playing in their backyard (they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games) and in any other field too (they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games). Scoring has always been the trend in most of their games (over in 9 of the last 12 games) which is the reverse case with Minnesota’s trends and hence presents a very fascinating picture for over/under wagers.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers 9/29/24 Betting Picks
The scene unfolding at Lambeau Field is being built into a fundamental encounter in the NFC North Division. Considering the good home form of the Packers and the Vikings’ poor away record against divisional opponents, placing a bet on Green Bay with a line of -5.5 seems reasonable. The total is set at 46 points, which, when viewed against the offensive capabilities on both sides, appears like there will be a high score outcome in the match. It may also be advisable to tip the over on the total, given that they have tended to go above the expected totals in recent matches.
Concerning premium top picks, it would be advisable to look for prop bets on players such as Aaron Jones or Justin Jefferson to go over their projected yardage, as this value has not yet reflected in their current forms. Bettors best are the Packers’ spread and games total to be over 46 points.