With the MLB regular season in its closing stages, the intensity of playoff races rises especially in games such as the Milwaukee Brewers (90-68) facing the Pittsburgh Pirates (74-84). For those who are looking for top baseball tips, in this particular game, the Brewers will be eyeing to cement their place in the playoffs while the Pirates are looking to finish the season with a win.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 9/26/24 Game Info and Odds |
|
| When: | Thursday, September 26, 2024 at 12:35 PM ET |
| Where: | PNC Park |
| Watch: | BSWI, SNP, MLB.TV |
| Brewers odds: | -125 |
| Pirates odds: | +105 |
| Total Line: | 7.5 |
Milwaukee Brewers (90-68) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (74-84)
The Brewers, with a solid 90-68 record, have shown both consistency and recent struggles. Their road trips included a series split with the Pirates, a 1-2 series loss against the Colorado Rockies, and losing two of three games to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Despite some late-season fatigue, key victories like their 7-2 win over Pittsburgh and a tight 10-9 victory against Arizona highlight their resilience and ability to win crucial games.
| Milwaukee Brewers Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 25, 2024 | PIT | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 24, 2024 | PIT | 7-2 | W |
| Sep 22, 2024 | ARI | 10-9 | W |
| Sep 21, 2024 | ARI | 0-5 | L |
| Sep 20, 2024 | ARI | 4-7 | L |
The Pirates, with a record of 74-84, have experienced a fluctuating season. Their recent outings have been unpredictable, including a series against the Kansas City Royals where they dropped two games before clinching a narrow 4-3 victory. Alongside mixed results against Milwaukee and a strong win against Cincinnati, these performances underline a team capable of occasional upsets but generally lacking consistency. Their notable 2-1 win over the stronger Milwaukee team particularly highlights their potential to disrupt favored opponents.
| Pittsburgh Pirates Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 25, 2024 | MIL | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 24, 2024 | MIL | 2-7 | L |
| Sep 22, 2024 | CIN | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 21, 2024 | CIN | 1-7 | L |
| Sep 20, 2024 | CIN | 3-8 | L |
Aaron Civale (7-9, 4.53 ERA) vs. Mitch Keller (11-11, 4.21 ERA)
For Milwaukee, Aaron Civale has a dismal record of 7-9 with an ERA of 4.53. His record was not a surprise as he did have odds against him, including twenty-nine home runs given up in a period of one hundred fifty-five innings. Yet, one has to consider the fact that the player prides himself on experience and has 144 Ks on his record. By all standards, his numbers and recent performances have some discrepancies but it is that experience that might be vital come crunch time.
On the other hand, it is Keller who has an 11-11 record with a 4.21 era for Pittsburgh. His most important asset this season as well has been the strikeouts (160 Ks in 173 innings) and since he has had a bit more control than Civale, it may help the Pirates if had taken the mound.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee Brewers -125, Total Odds: 7.5
The odds favor the Milwaukee Brewers as slight road favorites with a -125 on the moneyline and a -1.5 run spread offering a +140 return. The game’s total is pegged at 7.5, with the over at -125 suggesting anticipations of a higher-scoring affair, aligning with the trends of both teams.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Brewers have demonstrated strong road performance, being 10-5 SU in their last 15 games away from home. However, their recent slump (2-4 SU in their last 6 games) could worry some bettors. Historically, Milwaukee tends to perform well against Pittsburgh, particularly on the road, with the total going OVER in 13 of their last 19 games at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
Pittsburgh’s recent form shows a trend towards the UNDER in total points, with 8 of their last 11 games going below the line. They have struggled to maintain a consistent winning form, reflecting a 4-8 SU record in their last 12 games, which may raise concerns about their ability to handle pressure situations.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 9/26/24 Betting Picks
Since the current style and historical trends indicate that the Milwaukee Brewers would have a slight advantage, considering their recent favorable record while playing away from home. Civale may get into a groove against a Pirates batting order that has not been very punchy this year, despite his ERA. For betting nitty-gritty, one may want to consider the Milwaukee Brewers to win by -1.5, as it may yield better returns since it depicts how dominant the Brewers can be when closing games.
With regards to the prop bets, it is likely prudent to take the OVER on 7.5 runs, as these two teams have a tendency to indulge in high-scoring contests, particularly at Pittsburgh. Additionally, more than one starter in the pitching duel posses a weak spot so there is reason to believe hitters are set for a good day. For discerning betters looking for premium sports picks, this game presents an opportunity to exploit the betting markets as a high-scoring event.