The Major League Baseball season is almost wrapping up, and at this time, bettors are interested in the matchup between Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates. This matchup is crucial for the Brewers as they seek to strengthen their likely playoff positioning, whereas the Pirates want to play spoiler and finish the season on a high. If you look for MLB tips and picks, you will find that this match is remarkable because two completely different teams have completely different goals this season.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 9/25/24 Game Info and Odds |
|
| When: | Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET |
| Where: | PNC Park |
| Watch: | SportsNet PT, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Brewers odds: | -149 Moneyline |
| Pirates odds: | +126 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 7.5 |
Milwaukee Brewers (90-67) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (73-84)
The Milwaukee Brewers have been showcasing their offensive prowess throughout the season, evident from their impressive .249 batting average and 750 runs scored. Their last five games have been a mixed bag, however, with recent wins against Pittsburgh (7-2) and Arizona (10-9), despite losing the series against Arizona earlier. These games highlight Milwaukee’s ability to bounce back and their resilience in face of adversity.
| Milwaukee Brewers Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 24, 2024 | PIT | 7-2 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | ARI | 10-9 | Win |
| Sep 21, 2024 | ARI | 0-5 | Lose |
| Sep 20, 2024 | ARI | 4-7 | Lose |
| Sep 19, 2024 | ARI | 1-5 | Lose |
Conversely, the Pittsburgh Pirates struggle to find consistency, marked by their .236 batting average and only 642 runs scored. Their recent form indicates the challenges they’ve faced all season, managing only two wins in their last five outings, including a loss to Milwaukee and mixed results against Cincinnati and St. Louis.
| Pittsburgh Pirates Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 24, 2024 | MIL | 2-7 | Lose |
| Sep 22, 2024 | CIN | 2-0 | Win |
| Sep 21, 2024 | CIN | 1-7 | Lose |
| Sep 20, 2024 | CIN | 3-8 | Lose |
| Sep 19, 2024 | STL | 3-2 | Win |
Freddy Peralta (11-8, 3.69 ERA) vs. Luis Ortiz (6-6, 3.43 ERA)
Freddy Peralta has proved once again that he has deliveries in the bag as far as pitching to the game is concerned. He has posted a decent ERA of 3.69 through 168.1 innings pitched and clinched 193 strikeouts for the Milwaukee Brewers this season. His hits allowed a total of just 141 is commendable and could prove helpful in today’s game. Nonetheless, the 66 walks and 26 home runs surrendered also point out certain weaknesses some Pirates would seek to break into.
On the other hand, Ortiz of the Pirates has a very respectable ERA of 3.43, a statistic that shows his effectiveness as a pitcher, although he holds a balanced record of 6 wins and 6 losses. He has a better WHIP (1.13) than Peralta, though he has pitched lower (128.2) innings than Peralta because Ortiz is efficient in getting batters out. His performance will be important in neutralizing the aggressive Brewers batting order.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee Brewers -149, Total Odds: 7.5
The wagering odds indicate that the Brewers, assuming superiority based on their rankings and trends, are the better team. However, the total is more indicative of a fight than a blowout, which is in keeping with the spirit of their head-to-head clashes in the recent past.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Brewers have recently shown positive forms, especially winning 6 out of their last 9 meetings against the Pirates and registering a 10-4 win-loss ratio over the last fourteen Wednesdays in the calendar. The ability to handle situations in a clutch, especially in away games of which they have won 4 out of their last 5, makes them a very tough side in this particular matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
Regarding betting trends, Pittsburgh has performed mediocre with a 2-6 SU in the last eight games played. Pittsburgh has been going OVER total points many times, especially against Milwaukee, showing there may be an option for an OVER the total as a more favorable option even with this pitching matchup given the offensive prowess of the Brewers more guttered out than stroke they have been.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 9/25/24 Betting Pick
Looking at the current standings, the performance indicators, and the betting trends, it appears that the Milwaukee Brewers are in a strong position to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Milwaukee Brewers showed toughness and good offensive strength on the road that is suited to the betting line.
For today’s game, the safer bet is for the Brewers to cover the spread. Most of the tournaments played in the past have recorded a considerable number of points, especially in PNC Park hence an OVER on the total points is advised for this matchup. The premium pick today should also be a prop bet on Freddy Peralta strikeouts considering that he is having a good season.