With the MLB season heading into its final stretch, a game on September 25th, 2024, at Citizens Bank Park will see the Chicago Cubs (81–77) face the Philadelphia Phillies (93–65). There are no such games that would turn out to be merely a fight of win-loss records rather, it would prove to be very beneficial in terms of MLB free picks as well, as both the teams are trying to retain their positions with the postseason coming closer. This match is bound to bring thrills and important moments for those in sports and gambling.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9/25/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 6:05 PM ET |
| Where: | Citizens Bank Park |
| Watch: | MARQ, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Cubs odds: | +146 Moneyline |
| Phillies odds: | -172 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 8.5 |
Chicago Cubs (81-77) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (93-65)
The Cubs, holding a batting average of .242 and an on-base percentage of .317, have shown resilience but inconsistency in their recent outings. Analyzing their last five games, the Cubs defeated the Phillies 10-4 on September 24, showing a potent offense that had been missing in their 2-6 loss the day prior. Their series against the Washington Nationals saw a mix of solid pitching and timely hits, leading to a 5-0 and a 3-1 victory, although they stumbled with a 1-5 loss sandwiched between these wins.
| Chicago Cubs Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 24, 2024 | PHI | 10-4 | Win |
| Sep 23, 2024 | PHI | 2-6 | Lose |
| Sep 22, 2024 | WSH | 5-0 | Win |
| Sep 21, 2024 | WSH | 1-5 | Lose |
| Sep 20, 2024 | WSH | 3-1 | Win |
In contrast, the Phillies, with a stronger batting average of .258 and a slugging percentage of .425, have faced some recent setbacks. Their record over the last five games includes losses to both the Cubs and the New York Mets, indicating potential vulnerabilities in their defense and bullpen management. Despite a 12-2 victory against the Mets on September 20, they’ve shown they can be bested, losing 6-2 and 2-1 in subsequent games.
| Philadelphia Phillies Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 24, 2024 | CHC | 4-10 | Lose |
| Sep 23, 2024 | CHC | 6-2 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | NYM | 1-2 | Lose |
| Sep 21, 2024 | NYM | 3-6 | Lose |
| Sep 20, 2024 | NYM | 12-2 | Win |
Javier Assad (7-5, 3.34 ERA) vs. Cristopher Sanchez (11-9, 3.25 ERA)
Cubs’ Javier Assad has established himself this season, boasting a 3.34 ERA in 142.2 innings, making it clear that he has composure even in the tightest situations with a WHIP of 1.37. With 121 Ks to his name, the Cubs can breathe easy thanks to the fact that Assad is able to come up with the goods in crucial moments and even more so, prevents walking too many batters.
Cristopher Sanchez, on the contrary, is the one who adds consistency to the work of the Phillies. He holds an 11-9 win-loss record with a lesser even ERA of 3.25, as he has been able to last 177 innings while striking out 149 batters. His WHIP ratio is also lower being 1.24 meaning that he has a better command of his pitches than Assad, hence, making him a threat on the mound.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -172, Total Odds: 8.5
In the presented betting lines, the Phillies are leading with a moneyline of -172. This implies that the Phillies are coming off a better season and playing at home. The over/under has been set at 8.5, which is understandable since both teams have been scoring heavily lately, pointing out a consensus among the oddsmakers that there will be some scoring.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Cubs have been able to win some games that were considered upsets against their opponent, such as their last game against the Phillies and their rather good performance against other clubs from the NL East Division. Even so, it is impossible to disregard their negative performance against Philadelphia in this aspect.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
This inconsistency is visible behind the Philadelphia home record (8-2 S/U last 10 home games) as well as matches with other teams, like Cubs and Mets, which have brought mixed results. The recent statistics of their games suggest that more games in the recent past have ended above the expected score.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9/25/24 Betting Picks
Based on the performance history of the two teams as well as the two teams’ performance in the current series, the Philadelphia Phillies are ready to capitalize on the home advantage and strong pitching. There was enough optimism in the air as the stronger offensive and defensive stats favored the Phillies, more so with Cristopher Sanchez on the mound.
Moreover, there are trends that show the teams have been scoring more, thus it might be prudent to bet for over 8.5 runs, and given how well the Phillies are at home, they are the better team to back for the win. Whatever the case, players looking for daily sports premium picks should start looking toward prop bets with some of the key hitters of the Phillies making the biggest of and more impacts.