With the MLB season coming to a conclusion, Boston and Toronto will headline a September action game today at Rogers Centre. Since the Red Sox are fighting for over .500 record and the Blue Jays are still trying to hold their ground, this match means more than just the rest of the season. This game gives a fresh turnover to the historical feud and affects the most recent free MLB pick and predictions. Let us analyze the situation and forecast what will happen on the field.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays 9/25/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 7:07 PM ET |
| Where: | Rogers Centre |
| Watch: | NESN, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Red Sox odds: | +121 Moneyline |
| Blue Jays odds: | -143 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 8.5 |
Boston Red Sox (80-78) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (73-85)
The Boston Red Sox are coming into this game with a slight edge in momentum, having secured victories in four of their last five matchups. Their recent performance on the road has been notably strong, highlighted by a series win over the Minnesota Twins where they showcased their offensive prowess by outscoring their opponents 21-5 in three games. This surge is a testament to their resilience and ability to clutch up late in the season.
| Boston Red Sox Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 24, 2024 | TOR | 6-5 | Win |
| Sep 23, 2024 | TOR | 4-1 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | MIN | 9-3 | Win |
| Sep 22, 2024 | MIN | 8-1 | Win |
| Sep 20, 2024 | MIN | 2-4 | Lose |
Conversely, the Toronto Blue Jays have struggled, losing their last five games, including a couple of close encounters against the Tampa Bay Rays. This slump reflects in their overall team stats, where they lag in both offensive and pitching metrics compared to the Red Sox. Their season stats reveal a team that struggles to close games, a factor that could heavily influence tonight’s game.
| Toronto Blue Jays Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 24, 2024 | BOS | 5-6 | Lose |
| Sep 23, 2024 | BOS | 1-4 | Lose |
| Sep 22, 2024 | TB | 3-4 | Lose |
| Sep 21, 2024 | TB | 2-3 | Lose |
| Sep 20, 2024 | TB | 0-1 | Lose |
Richard Fitts (0-0, 0 ERA) vs. Kevin Gausman (13-11, 3.91 ERA)
This evening’s interesting duel on the mound has Richard Fitts of the Red Sox going for his first ever start in Major League Baseball. Fitts has proven to be capable of overpowering major league batters, as he has not allowed a single run during 15.2 major league relief innings this season. The 1.15 WHIP shows that the Canadian Expos’ batters are in for a tough task if Gausman is around.
Kevin Gausman has been an economy for Blue Jays making 13-11 record in 175 innings of pitching with a 3.91 era. Gausman’s strikeout performance has been modest but an area that he has been notably weak is the home runs as he has given up 20 long bombs this season. If the Blue Jays hope to arrest the rot, his performance tonight will be crucial.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Toronto Blue Jays -143, Total Odds: Over/Under 8.5
The current betting lines indicate that the Toronto Blue Jays stand a good chance as the home team, regardless of their recent form. The most convenient total at 8.5 does not seem to be set for high scoring following the recent trends and probably has something to do with Fitts’ missed chances to concede runs and Gausman’s uneven but decent runs overall.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
Boston appears they are worth playing against the spread lately. They come into this game with a 4-1 SU record in their last five games and a notable 5-0 SU record on the road against Toronto. Because of their ability to play under pressure and in away games, they are an interesting team to bet on tonight.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The trends do not look good for the Blue Jays, going 0-5 SU in their last 5 games, and 1-5 SU at home against the Red Sox in their last 6 home games. This information shows their struggle and warns those awaiting the Blue Jays to bounce back today.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays 9/25/24 Betting Picks
Given recent events and the probable case of the starting pitching duel, betting on Red Sox to keep conquering the Blue Jays, especially at Rogers Centre, would be a good bet. The curiosity of Fitts’s commencing shot creates the contest flow, but his impressive numbers might level the power balance towards Boston.
Since the prop bets will be in sanctioned betting, look at the under on the total runs, given that both pitchers will control the game and the situation is a little tense. As for the premium picks today, the prediction of the Boston team covering the spread is a likable consideration due to receding trends and rivals’ history.