Week 5 in the NCAAF season is about to commence, and the Wisconsin Badgers (2-1) will battle the USC Trojans (2-1) in a game we shall all enjoy. Undoubtedly, there will be a heated competition between these two teams on Saturday at the United Airlines Field at LA Memorial Coliseum. In case one wishes not to breathe and feel every moment of suspense filled with Sofascore, streaming will be provided. Keep an eye out for daily updates and tips in our NCAAF daily free picks.
Wisconsin Badgers vs. USC Trojans 9/28/24 Game Info |
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| When: | Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET |
| Where: | United Airlines Field at the LA Memorial Coliseum |
| TV: | CBS |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Wisconsin Badgers (2-1) vs. USC Trojans (2-1)
With the promising fruit of winning two games out of three, the Wisconsin Badgers have had some ups and downs in the season’s early games. Clocking up 200 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns, overall rushing is solid, with running back Chez Mellusi getting most of the majority. Mellusi’s contributions have been particularly noted in the win over South Dakota. Still, The Badgers encountered a problem as they lost to powerhouse Alabama, which may pinpoint some areas where problems will be going against tough defenses. Also, with 191 receiving yards, wide receiver Will Pauling has also been reliable in tight situations.
On the other hand, the USC Trojans boast the same 2-1 record but exhibit more efficiency in passing defense. The last game against Michigan was close, but their win over Utah State was impressive. Quarterback Miller Moss in this regard has passed for 890 yards with five passing touchdowns which shows a very good passing game that might perforate the Badgers’ defense. With running back Woody Marks, who has rushed for 271 yards, the game against Wisconsin promises to be a tactical battle that runs most often with multiple strategies to minimize.
Braedyn Locke QB vs. Miller Moss QB
Braedyn Locke’s tenure with the Wisconsin Badgers has proven to be full of surprises. While playing for the Badgers, he has managed to maintain only a 50% completion rate and throw for a meager 125 yards in three games. Factors such as pressure on him, resulting in 2 sacks and having to speed up the release of the ball, have taken a toll on the athlete. The quarterback has been rather dull, but this will change against USC’s defense minus the considerable number of sacks they have recorded in the games, which has shown some weaknesses as well.
On the other hand, Miller Moss of USC has maintained a passer rating of 141.2 as opposed to Jones’s, which is a lower figure of 119, having completed 65% of his passes and thrown 890 yards during a more confident gameplay. It has been helpful for USC to play these close games, as he has shown during the game against Michigan. He has also been taken down on six occasions, which places him within Moses’s higher degree of vulnerability to being sacked, something that could prove a liability against Wisconsin’s strategic offense.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: USC Trojans -4.5 (-110), Total Odds: 53.5
The betting lines suggest a slight advantage to the USC Trojans with a -4.5 spread and the total set at 53.5. Considering USC’s powerful offense and their performance at home despite recent ATS struggles, the spread seems justified. However, Wisconsin’s strong defensive play and the trend of games going under might influence bettors to consider the under on the total points.
Wisconsin Badgers Betting Trends
Wisconsin’s recent games have predominantly gone under the point total, with a strong defensive display in most matchups. Their ATS record, however, reflects some inconsistency, particularly in games played in September where they are 2-5 ATS. Bettors should consider these trends closely, as Wisconsin’s ability to cover the spread against high-scoring teams like USC remains in question.
USC Trojans Betting Trends
USC, while having a solid SU record in September games (10-1), shows a worrying trend with a 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games against Big Ten opponents. This pattern indicates potential overvaluation by bookmakers in these inter-conference games. The Trojans’ propensity for high-scoring games also aligns with their OVER trend in 15 of their last 20 games.
Wisconsin Badgers vs. USC Trojans 9/28/24 Betting Picks
Taking into account the data analysis and the bets placed, the last advice is to stake on the winning of the USC Trojans by a margin of more than -4.5. Looking purely at the statistics, there is no way that the team will not come into this matchup without a lead after the first quarter due to their offensive capabilities, especially at home, and their past form. In addition, with the fact that Wisconsin managed to hold many of its games under, the under on the total also offers a good betting opportunity.
For those fans who want more exclusive sports picks, turning to player props for some USC key players does not seem like a bad option, since they are capable of making a difference and going beyond the total points seems like a safer bet.