With the NCAAF season returning in the fall month, it is time for a showdown between the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-3) and the Texas Longhorns, who have remained undefeated so far in the 5th Week of the season. Capture this great battle that will be set on Saturday in the famous DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. Thirsty fans who wish to watch this even from the TV can switch on SECN. Looking at the NCAAF free expert prediction, it is evident that there are significant differences in the form and the confidence levels of the two sides, which makes it a sizzling affair.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns 9/28/24 Game Info |
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| When: | Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:15 PM ET |
| Where: | DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium |
| TV: | SECN |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-3) vs. Texas Longhorns (4-0)
Mississippi State comes into this season holding a discouraging record of 1-3. They might have had road bumps along the way, which explains the recent loss to Florida and the setback against Toledo. These performances highlight a team needing a turnaround, with the offense and defense looking disjointed. The Bulldogs opened their season with more or less similar results, leading to a 3-11-1 record against the number in the last fifteen games. The team has shown some rebounding abilities in the previous 7 games, scoring more than the total points line in 5 games, which means that some of their arguments for an offensive output can prove correct.
In contrast, the Texas Longhorns have been as consistent as they come and have a perfect 4-0 record. The victory at home has always been a king’s business for them, and winning 10 games in a row has turned DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium into a castle. The Longhorns decimated UL Monroe 51-3 and overwhelmed UTSA 56-7 in their last two games, showcasing a high-powered offense that relentlessly pressures opponents. As a result of this confident strategy, they have managed to cover the spread in 7 out of 8 games, with the total going OVER in 6 out of 7 games. The team from Texas looks ready to make further prospects for victory since their game looks strong enough to face any rival on their path.
Michael Van Buren Jr. QB vs. Arch Manning QB
Michael Van Buren Jr. is a quarterback at Mississippi State and has had a disappointing season judging from his statistics of 100 yards and 50% completion with a few games remaining. Seeing him being sacked for negative yards and failing to throw any completed touchdown passes has been quite worrying. Because of Van Buren’s struggles in executing the big plays, the offense of the Bulldogs has suffered from over-dependence on their sophomore defender Arch.
On the contrary, longhorn has one of the most dazzling progressions in the season with a passer rating of 205.3 and has passed for 576 yards and seven touchdowns. He can throw long passes as well, owing to the longest pass being 75 yards, and completing 61.7% of his passes making him a nightmare for any defender.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Texas Longhorns -34.5 (-115), Total Odds: 55.5
According to the betting line, the Texas Longhorns are a heavy favorite, as evidenced by the spread of -34.5 points. This broad spread speaks volumes regarding how ruthless Texas should be expected to be. At the same time, total score points over/under for the game are pegged at 55.5 points, which indicates probable high-scoring action that will be spearheaded by the Texas offense.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends
The Bulldogs’ betting trends do not inspire much confidence, with a poor track record ATS and a consistent inability to perform against strong teams. Their struggles on the road further complicate their prospects, making it challenging to back them even with a generous 34.5-point spread.
Texas Longhorns Betting Trends
The Longhorns’ betting trends have been favorable, particularly ATS, which aligns with their strong field performance. Their ability to consistently score high points totals makes betting the over an enticing option, despite the high line set by oddsmakers.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns 9/28/24 Betting Picks
Looking at the trend now and the historical data available, the Texas Longhorns are favored to extend their winning streak further, especially at home, which has been their stronghold. The -34.5 point spread is big, though, given how Texas has been so good against expectations and especially their offense, they should be comfortable in covering it.
Regarding handicappers’ picks and tips, Texas is a good betting option against the spread. In addition, considering the recent trends of both sides in high-scoring matches, there is a good chance of betting on OVER a total of 55.5 points, which would make the most of the Texas offense.