Free MLB Picks For Today, Wednesday 9/25/2024
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Mariners at Astros—George Kirby to start for Seattle. Kirby has 32 starts on the season delivering an ERA of 3.60 with WHIP of 1.08. The righthander fans 22.9% with 2.9% walks. Ground balls are 40.5% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Yusei Kikuchi to start for Houston. Kikuchi in in 31 starts an ERA of 4.19 with WHIP of 1.21. The lefthander strikes out 27.8% with 6% walks. Grounders sit at 42.2% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Kirby has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Kikuchi in his past six starts has an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP of 0.94. The Mariners bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.48. The Astros pen in this period an ERA of 7.18. Both teams are hitting. The team record behind Kirby on the road is 15-8 in their past 23 games with a +4.8-unit return. Kikuchi is 2-4 in his past six road day games with a -2.9-unit loss. Play Seattle +124.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Cubs at Phillies—Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad in 28 starts this season deals with an ERA of 3.34 with WHIP of 1.37. The righthander strikes out 19.7% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls served at 43.1% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.38 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Cristopher Sanchez to start for Philadelphia. Sanchez has 30 starts with an ERA of 3.25 with WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander fans 20.4% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 58.1% with 0.51 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Assad in his past five starts has an ERA of 4.25 with WHIP of 1.38. Sanchez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The team record behind Assad as a road underdog of +150 or greater is 2-0 with a +2.7-unit return. Philadelphia is 4-4 behind Sanchez at home against winning teams with a -2-unit loss. Play Chicago +165.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Reds at Guardians—Jakob Junis to start for Cincinnati. Junis in 23 appearances carries an ERA of 2.61 with WHIP of 0.84. The righthander strikes out 20.4% with 3% walks. Ground balls are 37.3% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Joey Cantillo to start for Cleveland. Cantillo appeared in eight games with an ERA of 4.63 with WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander fans 25.9% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.8% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Junis has allowed one earned run in five straight appearances. Cantillo has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts. Cleveland bullpen in their past ten starts has an ERA of 0.89. Each team hitting under .240 in their past seven games. Cleveland is 8-1 to the under in their past nine road September games. Play Cincinnati and Cleveland under 8.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Rays at Tigers—Zack Littell to start for Tampa Bay. Littell in 28 starts on the year delivers an ERA of 3.56 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander fans 21.1% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls are 34.2% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Keider Montero to start for Detroit. Montero has 17 starts with an ERA of 4.86 and WHIP of 1.29. The righty is fanning 19.1% with 7.3% walks. Grounders are 40.1% with 1.75 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Littell on a contract year has allowed one earned run or fewer in seven of his past eight starts. Montero in his past five starts has an ERA of 4.18 with WHIP of 1.21 getting hurt with the home run ball. The team record behind Littell is 7-2 at home with a +7.1-unit return. Play Tampa Bay +101.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Brewers at Pirates—Freddy Peralta to start for Milwaukee. Peralta in 31 starts on the campaign puts up an ERA of 3.69 with WHIP of 1.23. The veteran strikes out 27.4% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls served at 36.2% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Luis Ortiz to start for Pittsburgh. Ortiz appeared in 36 games with an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander fans 19.2% with 7.7% walks. Grounders sit at 39.4% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Peralta in his past seven starts has an ERA of 2.19 with WHIP of 1.27. Ortiz in his past three starts allowed 13 runs with three homers in 15 2/3rd innings. Both bullpens are in good form the past ten starts. The team mark is 6-2 in Peralta’s road night games with a +4.3 unit return. Pittsburgh is 2-5 in his past seven home starts with a -2.8-unit loss. Play Milwaukee -148.
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Royals at Nationals—Michael Lorenzen to start for KC. Lorenzen appeared in 24 games in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.25. The righthander strikes out 17.7% with 11.2% walks. Grounders dished at 41.3% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.92 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. DJ Herz to start for Washington. Herz in 18 starts has an ERA of 4.30 with WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander fans 28.5% with 9.1% walks. Grounders are 37.8% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Lorenzon returns from the injured list with a hamstring having last pitched on August 27th. He allowed one earned run or fewer in five of six appearances. Herz in his past four starts allowed 13 runs with nine walks in 18 innings. KC bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.15. The team record behind Herz is 2-6 in his past eight home games. Play KC -118.
Baltimore Orioles vs. NY Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Orioles at Yankees—Zach Eflin will start for Baltimore. Eflin has 27 starts this season carries an ERA of 3.53 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran fans 20.1% with 2.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.9% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. Nestor Cortes to start for NY. Cortes appeared in 31 games posts an ERA of 3.77 with WHIP of 1.15. The lefthander has a K mark of 22.8% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 31.1% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Eflin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his past seven starts. Cortes has allowed one earned run or fewer in six of his past seven starts. NY bullpen in their past seven games has an ERA of 1.02. The Orioles in their past seven games are hitting .227. The Yankees are 33-19 at home against right-handed starters. Play NY -138.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Red Sox at Blue Jays—Richard Fitts to start for Boston. Fitts has three starts on the campaign delivering an ERA of 0.00 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander strikes out 11.1% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.2% with no homers allowed. Kevin Gausman will start for Toronto. Gausman in 30 starts delivers an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.22. The veteran strikes out 21.8% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls are 38.3% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Gausman has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his past five starts. Both bullpens in good form the past ten games. Boston in their past ten games is hitting .197 with the Blue Jays at .236. Play Boston and Toronto under 8.
NY Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Mets at Braves—David Peterson to start for NY. Peterson in 20 starts on the year produces an ERA of 3.08 with WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander strikes out 19.1% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.7% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings. Chris Sale is the starter for Atlanta. Sale has 29 starts with an ERA of 2.38 and WHIP of 1.01. The veteran has an elite 32.1% K rate with 5.6% walks. Grounders are 44.8% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Peterson in his past three starts allowed 11 runs in 15 2/3rd innings. Sale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 17 straight starts. Both bullpens have ERA near 5.5 in their past ten games. And each team hits well. The team record behind Peterson in his past six road games has an ERA of 2.65 with WHIP of 1.18. The Mets are 11-4 on the road when lined between +125 and +175 with a +11.2-unit return. Play NY +160.
LA Angels vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Angels at White Sox—Jose Suarez will start for LA. Suarez appeared in 21 games carrying an ERA of 6.08 with WHIP of 1.63. The lefthander fans 23.4% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls are 40.6% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Davis Martin to start for Chicago. Martin appeared in 20 games with an ERA of 4.27 with WHIP of 1.40. The righthander strikes out 21.3% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.3% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Suarez has allowed no earned runs in his past three appearances working 12 innings. Martin in his past four starts has an ERA of 6.16 with WHIP of 1.37. LA bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.79. Chicago in their past seven games is hitting .185. Play LA -112.
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Marlins at Twins—Edward Cabrera to start for Miami. Cabrera has 19 starts in 2024 produces an ERA of 5.12 with WHIP of 1.39. The righthander strikes out 25.8% with 12.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.8% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Simeon Woods Richardson to start for Minnesota. Woods Richardson in 27 starts with an ERA of 4.00 with WHIP of 1.25. The righty is fanning 20.6% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 35.1% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cabrera has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts. Woods Richardson in his past eight starts has an ERA of 4.34 with WHIP of 1.31. Minnesota in their past seven games is hitting .207. Miami is 6-1 to the under against the AL Central. Play Miami and Minnesota under 8.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Cardinals at Rockies—Erick Fedde to start for St Louis. Fedde in 30 starts in 2024 puts up an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander strikes out 20.5% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Austin Gomber will start for Colorado. Gomber has 29 starts with an ERA of 4.67 and WHIP of 1.31. The lefthander fans 16.8% with 5.6% walks. Grounders are 37.6% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Fedde in his past six starts has an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.22. Gomber in his past seven starts has an ERA of 3.95 with WHP of 1.27. The team record behind Fedde on the road is 4-13. The team mark behind Gomber in home night games is 5-3 with a +4.1-unit return. Play Colorado +118.
Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Rangers at Athletics—Cody Bradford to start for Texas. Bradford has 13 starts with an ERA of 3.59 with WHIP of 0.94. The righthander fans 23% with 3.5% walks. Grounders served at 34.6% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Brady Basso to start for Oakland. Basso appeared in six games with an ERA of 2.33 with WHIP of 1.09. The lefthander strikes out 20.8% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.6% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Bradford has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his five starts. Basso in his past three starts has an ERA of 1.69 with WHIP of 1.13 working 16 innings. Both teams struggling at the plate in their past seven games. Oakland is 18-12 to the under at home against a losing team. Play Texas and Oakland under 7.5.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Giants at Diamondbacks—Mason Black to start for San Francisco. Black appeared in eight games delivering an ERA of 5.88 with WHIP of 1.51. The righthander is striking out 18.4% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 30% with 1.87 home runs per nine innings. Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen in 27 starts has an ERA of 3.74 with WHIP of 1.29. The righty is fanning 24.2% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.7% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Black in his past seven starts has an ERA of 5.76 with WHIP of 1.36. Gallen in his past two starts allowed seven earned runs with four homers in ten innings. The Diamondbacks bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.28. San Francisco is 31-14 to the over as a road underdog of +100 or higher. Arizona is 25-10 to the over at home when lined at 8 of 8.5. Play San Francisco and Arizona over 8.5.
San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 9/25/2024
Padres at Dodgers—Dylan Cease to start for San Diego. Cease has 32 starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 3.42 with WHIP of 1.05. The righthander has 29.8% Ks with 8.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.3% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. Jack Flaherty will start for LA. Flaherty in 27 starts has an ERA of 3.10 with WHIP of 1.06. The righty has an elite 30.1% strikeout rate with 5.6% walks. Grounders are 39.3% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cease in his past three road starts allowed seven earned runs with nine walks in 15 1/3rd innings. Flaherty in his past five home starts carries an ERA of 2.64 with WHIP of 1.04. LA in their past seven games is hitting .288. The Dodgers are 16-5 at home when lined between -100 and -150 with a +9.7-unit return. Play LA -135.