With both the Arkansas Razorbacks and the Texas A&M Aggies sitting at a record of 3-1, it is easy to see why a showdown between the two is imminent in a crucial Week 5 matchup of the college football season. The iconic AT&T Stadium takes the center stage in this Saturday afternoon game of the week which will air on ESPN. Focusing on NCAAF top predictions then, it would be important to look into both teams’ form going into this crucial clash.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies 9/28/24 Game Info |
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| When: | Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET |
| Where: | AT&T Stadium |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Arkansas Razorbacks (3-1) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (3-1)
As a team, Arkansas has particularly thrived on its ground offense, which has accounted for its commendable 3-1 record at this stage. Ja’Quinden Jackson, the leading running back for Razorback, is on a roll, having already gained 472 yards and scored 8 goals out of 100 attempts. His average of 6.8 yards a carry was highly effective during the last games of the team against Auburn as well as UAB, indicating that he can break loose and turn the game around when needed. The receiving corps has Andrews Armstrong leading them with328 yards and 15.1 yards per catch, but has not scored through the air this season.
On the other hand, even though they played well against Bowling Green and Florida, Texas A&M also comes off a solid offensive footing. Marcel Reed, the QB for the Aggies, has performed well with 422 yards and 4 TDs and has paid attention to protecting the ball and recording no interceptions thus far in the season. Running the ball, Le’Veon Moss has accumulated 354 yards and 3 touchdowns, the best result among the team’s running backs, though still not as dynamic as his Razorback counterpart.
Taylen Green QB vs. Marcel Reed QB
For Arkansas, Taylen Green’s season has produced a cocktail of dramatic ups and downs. He has thrown for 957 yards and four touchdowns as well, but concerns arise in his accuracy and choice, as displayed by the 53.7 completion proportion with four interceptions. On the other hand, he should improve his deep throws, a typical shortcoming among many quarterbacks. He has to do that, otherwise, he will have the same fate of getting sacked nine times already.
Texas A&M’s Marcel Reed is one of those quarterbacks who plays a steady and smart game without taking too many risks. He shows improvement as his completion percentage leaves him at 56.1%, and unlike before, he has no interceptions. Reed’s patient approach will be necessary against Arkansas since he has no turnovers. His longest pass of the season was an impressive 73 yards, which reminds him that he also can go deep when called upon.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Texas A&M Aggies -6 (-110), Total Odds: 51.5
The current betting landscape sees the Aggies favored by six points, a testament to their perceived stability and Reed’s error-free football. The total set at 51.5, with a lean on the Over, reflects expectations of a high-scoring affair, potentially fueled by both teams’ offensive capabilities and recent trends in high totals.
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Trends
The Razorbacks have shown a penchant for high-scoring games with the total going OVER in 7 of their last 8 contests. Despite a strong 4-2 ATS record in their recent matchups against the Aggies, their historical struggles against Texas A&M and broader SEC competition cannot be overlooked. Their betting trends suggest potential value in the Over, but outright victories in tough matchups remain elusive.
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Trends
Texas A&M’s betting trends reveal some vulnerabilities, with a worrying 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games, indicating struggles to cover spreads despite outright wins. However, their unbeaten streak in September games (6-0 SU) highlights their ability to perform when it matters early in the season, suggesting a resilience that might see them through against a familiar foe.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies 9/28/24 Betting Picks
Considering the trends and current form, in the end, taking the side of Texas A&M against the spread in a game with many points is a good choice. Arkansas’s defense will most likely not be able to withstand the offensive onslaught of the Aggies. For the bettors, it also seems reasonable to consider the over on total points because both teams can score a lot, and the recent games have also exceeded the expected totals.
According to daily sports premium picks, placing a bet on Texas A&M to cover the -6 spread and favor the Over on 51.5 total points will be appropriate. The prop may be Taylen Green over passing yards, as the game would be a high-scoring one and there would be a need for passing the ball.