In the last stages of the MLB season, the stakes are raised, and the playoff race is heating up. The Milwaukee Brewers will play against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. With the Brewers aiming to secure better playoff positioning and the Pirates tending to upset the competition, this will be an exciting encounter. As such, there are good prospects for selecting the premium top picks towards the new inclusion of the statistics of the more profitable Brewers, but any experienced baseball power knows something else.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 9/24/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Tuesday, September 24, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET |
| Where: | PNC Park |
| Watch: | SportsNet PT, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Brewers odds: | -137 Moneyline |
| Pirates odds: | +116 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 7.5 |
Milwaukee Brewers (89-67) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (73-83)
The Brewers enter this game looking to solidify their playoff position, backed by a robust team performance despite recent hiccups. Analyzing their last five games, Milwaukee showed resilience with a notable 10-9 victory against the Diamondbacks but struggled in other matchups, as evidenced by losses against the same team and the Phillies. Their ability to bounce back from adverse situations will be crucial as they face the Pirates.
| Milwaukee Brewers Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 22, 2024 | ARI | 10-9 | Win |
| Sep 21, 2024 | ARI | 0-5 | Lose |
| Sep 20, 2024 | ARI | 4-7 | Lose |
| Sep 19, 2024 | ARI | 1-5 | Lose |
| Sep 18, 2024 | PHI | 2-1 | Win |
Conversely, the Pirates have had a roller-coaster of performances with recent games against the Reds and Cardinals reflecting a mix of solid defensive play and occasional lapses. Despite their sub .500 record, Pittsburgh has demonstrated they can be formidable at home, winning 5 of their last 7 games at PNC Park, a stat that might play in their favor against the visiting Brewers.
| Pittsburgh Pirates Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 22, 2024 | CIN | 2-0 | Win |
| Sep 21, 2024 | CIN | 1-7 | Lose |
| Sep 20, 2024 | CIN | 3-8 | Lose |
| Sep 19, 2024 | STL | 3-2 | Win |
| Sep 18, 2024 | STL | 5-10 | Lose |
Justin Steele (8-6, 3.05 ERA) vs. Bailey Falter (8-8, 4.15 ERA)
Taking the hill for the Brewers is Justin Steele with a remarkable 3.05 ERA and a WHIP of 1.19 over 130 innings pitched. He strikes out batters efficiently, a feat which adds to his threat potential, 120 so far this season. He has struck 36 batters through walks, Steele’s control and consistency will be important in containing the Pirates hitters who are going to make use of any pitching errors.
Reversely, Bailey Falter for the Pirates comes across as a more difficult puzzle with an average ERA of 4.15 and WHIP of 1.27 in over 134.1 innings pitched. But even against high-caliber offenses, Bailey Falter could be prone to attack lately – which the Brewers’ offense almost seems built to do. Despite showing some strength, Falter has the potential problem of giving up too many hits and home runs that could be beneficial to the Brewers.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+113), Total Odds: 7.5
At present, the betting odds point towards the Brewers being cleared up by a margin of -1.5 which is justified based on their season performance and attacking capabilities. The over-under stood on 7.5 and must be leaning towards the over as there are takers looking at the recent scoring trends of the teams while the book sets the bar high, especially, on the games, the two teams play inside PNC Park.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The last few matches played by the Brewers have mostly had the total go under in most matches except when playing away against the Pirates showing that yes, they are capable of scoring, but their matches tend to be more of a defensive battle. They could be formidable on the offensive end of their road game. They won 7 of the last 10 games played away from home.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
Trends for Pittsburgh show that they also have a bias for under bets in the latest games with but not when it comes to games played with Milwaukee as the totals there have been over. This has been done at home, despite the wins, pointing to better performance at home which will likely affect betting markets.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 9/24/24 Betting Picks
Milwaukee displays resilience and ambition at making the playoffs and is quite likely to defeat the Pirates in their home stadium PNC Park. Looking at the trends, the Brewers can be rated as favorites considering their form and being a successful road team. That said, Pirates’ home threat has to be taken into consideration because this is why this game is exciting as well.
In terms of spread betting, the most preferred safe bet would be to look under the total runs, judging by the recent forms of the two sides. Steele’s knack for strikeouts also makes him a viable target for prop bets. Top MLB free picks suggest that there is good value to be had in betting on the Brewers’ moneyline.