Free MLB Picks For Today, Tuesday 9/24/2024
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Reds at Guardians—Jakob Junis to start for Cincinnati. Junis appeared in 23 games this season and carries an ERA of 2.61 with WHIP of 0.84. The righthander strikes out 20.4% with 3% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.3% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Bibee to start for Cleveland. Bibee has 30 starts with an ERA of 3.56 with WHIP of 1.13. The righty is fanning 26.3% with 6.1% walks. Grounders served at 33.8% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Junis has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight. Bibee in his past four starts has an ERA of 3.04 with WHIP of 1.10. The Guardians bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 0.89. Both teams have been struggling at the plate in their past seven games. The team is 6-1 to the under at home against the NL behind Bibee. Play Cincinnati and Cleveland under 7.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Rays at Tigers—Ryan Pepiot will start for Tampa Bay. Pepiot in 24 starts on the year deals with an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander fans 26.3% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.3% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal has 30 starts with an ERA of 2.48 and WHIP of 0.94. The left hander has an elite 30.3% K rate with 4.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.5% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pepiot has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 11 of his past 12 starts. Skubal has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of eight starts. Both bullpens have been in great form in their past ten games. Each team hit under .240 in their past seven games. The team is 8-0 to the under behind Pepiot when he faces an AL team that has a .410 or lower slugging percentage. Skubal is 10-1 to the under at home against the AL East at home. Play Tampa Bay and Detroit under 7.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Cubs at Phillies—Justin Steele gets the start for Chicago. Steele has 23 starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 3.03 with WHIP of 1.10. The lefthander strikes out 24.5% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.7% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. Taijuan Walker to start for Philadelphia. Walker in 18 appearances with an ERA of 6.91 with WHIP of 1.67. The veteran has seen his Ks fall to 15.4% with 9.2% walks. Grounders sit at 38.5% with 2.63 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Steele has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six straight starts. Walker in his past six starts has an ERA of 10.62 with WHIP of 2.16 getting crushed by the home run ball. Chicago in their past seven games is hitting .274. The team mark behind Walker at home against a winning team is 5-8 on the year with a -3.1-unit loss. Chicago is 10-5 on the road behind Steele in his past 15 starts with a +5.3-unit return. Play Chicago -118.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Brewers at Pirates—Tobias Myers to start for Milwaukee. Myers appeared in 25 games on the year delivering an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander strikes out 22.3% with 6.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 38.2% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. A FIP Of 4.06 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Bailey Falter to start for Pittsburgh. Falter in 26 starts has an ERA of 4.15 with WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander fans 16.7% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.1% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Myers since the All-Star Break has an ERA of 2.95 with WHIP of 1.28. Falter in his past five starts has an ERA of 4.67 with WHIP of 1.33. Both bullpens were in good form over their past ten games. The team mark behind Myers as a road favorite of -110 or higher is 1-5 with a -5-unit loss. Pittsburgh is 10-5 behind Falter in home night games. The Brewers in their past seven games are hitting .222. Play Pittsburgh +128.
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Royals at Nationals—Cole Ragans to start for KC. Ragans in 31 starts this season carrying an ERA of 3.24 with WHIP of 1.15. The lefthander strikes out 29.4% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls are 40% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Mitchell Parker to start for Washington. Parker has 28 starts with an ERA of 4.44 with WHIP of 1.30. The lefty fans 20.5% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.8% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Ragans has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Parker in his past four starts allowed 15 runs in 19 1/3rd innings. KC bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.15. Washington in their past seven games is hitting .216. The team record behind Parker at home against a winning team is 3-6 with a -2.6-unit loss. KC is 16-7 as a road favorite of -110 or higher with a +5.3-unit return. Play Kansas City -165.
Baltimore Orioles vs. NY Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Orioles at Yankees—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer in 23 starts to the season carries an ERA of 4.19 with WHIP of 1.25. The righthander strikes out 22.5% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls are 41.6% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Clarke Schmidt will start for NY. Schmidt has 14 starts with an ERA of 2.37 and WHIP of 1.17. The righty is fanning 26% with 8% walks. Ground balls sit at 41.9% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Kremer in his past seven starts has an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP of 1.17. Schmidt has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven straight starts. The NY bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.02. The Orioles in their past seven games are hitting .227. The team mark behind Schmidt when favored at home by -150 or higher is 8-2 with a +5-unit return. Play NY -152.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Red Sox at Blue Jays—Brayan Bello will start for Boston. Bello has 29 starts on the year carrying an ERA of 4.49 with WHIP of 1.37. The righthander strikes out 21.7% with 9% walks. Ground balls are 50.6% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Bowden Francis is the starter for Toronto. Francis appeared in 26 games with an ERA of 3.47 with WHIP of 0.93. The righty is fanning 22.6% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.3% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Bello has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Francis has allowed two earned runs or fewer in eight of nine starts. Boston bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.92. Both teams struggled at the plate the past seven games. Boston is 7-3 to the under in their past ten on the road. Play Boston and Toronto under 7.5.
NY Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Mets at Braves—Luis Severino to start for NY. Severino has 30 starts in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander strikes out 21.1% with 8% walks. Ground balls served at 45.7% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Spencer Schwellenbach to start for Atlanta. Schwellenbach in 19 starts on the campaign deals with an ERA of 3.61 and WHIP of 1.10. The rookie righty is fanning 26.3% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls are 39.3% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Severino in his past seven starts has an ERA of 2.64 with WHIP of 1.11. Schellenbach in his past six starts has an ERA of 2.65 with WHIP of 1.18. Both bullpens have ERA over five in their past ten games. Each team has been hitting well over their past seven games. The team behind Severino is 1-6 when a road underdog of +100 or higher with a -4.7-unit loss. The team record behind Schellenbach at home in night games is 5-2 with a +2-unit return. Play Atlanta -140.
LA Angels vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Angels at White Sox—Jack Kochanowicz to start for LA. Kochanowicz has nine starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 4.56 with WHIP of 1.32. The rookie righthander strikes out only 9.3% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls are 55.1% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Jonathan Cannon to start for Chicago. Cannon appeared in 21 games with an ERA of 4.61 and WHIP of 1.36. The righty has a K mark of 16.9% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls served at 38.5% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Kochanowicz in his past seven starts has an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP of 1.15. Cannon in his past four home starts allowed 15 earned runs with 12 walks in 19 innings. The Angels bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.79. Chicago in their past seven games is hitting .185. The team mark behind Cannon in his past five home starts is 0-5 with a -5-unit loss. Play LA -120.
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Marlins at Twins—Ryan Weathers to start for Miami. Weathers has 14 starts this year dealing with an ERA of 3.94 with WHIP of 1.18. The lefthander fans 22.5% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 49.8% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in 29 starts on the season delivers an ERA of 3.84 with WHIP of 0.97. The righthander strikes out 27.1% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.3% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Weathers in his past three starts allowed 12 runs with four homers in 12 2/3rd innings. Ober in his past eight starts has an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 0.94. Both bullpens have been in poor form in their past ten games. Minnesota is 11-3 to the run line at home when by -200 or greater with a +7.3 unit return. Play Minnesota on run line -1.5 runs at -116.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Mariners at Astros—Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert in 31 starts this season has an ERA of 3.24 with WHIP of 0.90. The righthander strikes out 27.2% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls served at 44.8% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez has 27 starts this year carries an ERA of 2.85 with WHIP of 1.08. The lefthander fans 24.4% with 7.8% walks. Grounders are 60.5% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Gilbert in his past six starts has an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.00. Valdez has allowed one earned run or fewer in six of his past seven starts. Houston bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.93 with the Mariners at 2.67. Seattle in their past seven games hitting .283 with the Astros at .280. The team record behind Gilbert in his past seven road starters is 1-6 with a -6.2-unit return. The team mark behind Valdez at home is 7-0 in his past seven starts. Play Houston -135.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Cardinals at Rockies—Michael McGreevy to start for St Louis. McGreevy appeared in two games allowing one earned run with seven strikeouts in 10 innings. A first round pick out of UC Santa Barbra who had an ERA of 4.02 with WHIP of 1.32 in 27 starts in Triple A. Ryan Feltner gets the start for Colorado. Feltner in 28 starts has an ERA of 4.73 with WHIP of 1.37. The righthander fans 19.9% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.7% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Feltner has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five of six starts. St Louis is 6-11 in their past 17 on the road against losing teams with a -5.5-unit loss. Colorado is 25-22 at home as an underdog of +100 to +150 with a +11.3-unit return. Play Colorado +108.
Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Rangers at Athletics—Nathan Eovaldi will start for Texas. Eovaldi in 27 starts on the season puts up an ERA of 3.96 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran fans 24% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.1% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. Mitch Spence to start for Oakland. Spence appeared in 33 games with an ERA of 4.30 with WHIP of 1.36. The righthander strikes out 19.6% with 6.9% walks. Grounders are 49.1% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Eovaldi in his past two starts allowed 11 earned runs with four homers in 9 2/3rd innings. Spence has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The Rangers bullpen in their past ten starts has an ERA of 6.18. They are hitting .225 in their past seven games. The team record behind Spence is 4-1 at home facing an AL team with an OBP of .330 or lower. Play Oakland +105.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Giants at Diamondbacks—Logan Webb to start for San Francisco. Webb in 32 starts on the year deals with an ERA of 3.58 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander strikes out 20.6% with 6% walks. Ground balls dished at 56.5% with limited home run damage. Brandon Pfaadt to start for Arizona. Pfaadt in 30 starts has an ERA of 4.66 with WHIP of 1.23. The righty is fanning 23.8% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.9% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.57 does suggest a drop in ERA should form hold.
The Pick:
Webb in his past five starts has an ERA of 6.58 with WHIP of 1.58. Pfaadt in his past four home starts has an ERA of 9.95 with WHIP of 1.95. Arizona bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.10. They are batting .279 at home. The team is 4-1 to the over behind Webb on the road against the division. The Diamondbacks are 7-1 to the over behind Pfaadt in night home games. SF is 31-14 to the over as a road underdog of +100 or greater. Arizona is 48-20 to the over in their past 67 games. Play San Francisco and Arizona over 8.5.
San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 9/24/2024
Padres at Dodgers—Michael King to start for San Diego. King appeared in 30 games on the season producing an ERA of 3.04 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander fans 28% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 41% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. Landon Knack to start for LA. Knack has 13 starts with an ERA of 3.39 with WHIP of 1.07. The rookie righty strikes out 24.3% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.8% with 1.77 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
King has allowed two earned runs or fewer in their past seven games. Knack at home has an ERA of 3.00 and WHIP of 0.87. LA in their past seven games is hitting .288. LA is 9-2 at home when lined between +125 and -125. Play LA -108.