With the MLB season moving with full steam ahead, it is time for the last battles, which will be made by the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets at Citi Field. This premium matchup reviews a contest not simply of strategic importance for the two teams determining their respective postseason chances but an intriguing story, owing to the recent forms and history of the two teams. This game is positioned for primetime telecast and could also set the tone for their respective playoff fights.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 9/22/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Sunday, September 22, 2024, at 7:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Citi Field |
| Watch: | Fubo, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Phillies odds: | -161 Moneyline |
| Mets odds: | +136 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 6.5 |
The Philadelphia Phillies enter this game with a strong batting lineup, boasting a .258 average and significant slugging at .425, highlighted by 189 home runs this season. However, their road record recently shows some vulnerability, having won only 2 of their last 8 away games. A closer look at their last five matchups reveals a pattern of fluctuating performance. They faced the Mets and Brewers, securing two wins and three losses.
| Philadelphia Phillies Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 21, 2024 | NYM | 3-6 | Lose |
| Sep 20, 2024 | NYM | 12-2 | Win |
| Sep 19, 2024 | NYM | 6-10 | Lose |
| Sep 18, 2024 | MIL | 1-2 | Lose |
| Sep 17, 2024 | MIL | 5-1 | Win |
On the other side, the New York Mets have been formidable at home, with an 11-2 record in their last 13 games at Citi Field. Their recent form is impressive, with five wins in their last six games, underscoring their robust offensive and defensive plays. Their recent 10-0 and 10-1 victories against Washington show a team in fine form, capable of both offensive onslaughts and tight defensive plays.
| New York Mets Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 21, 2024 | PHI | 6-3 | Win |
| Sep 20, 2024 | PHI | 2-12 | Lose |
| Sep 19, 2024 | PHI | 10-6 | Win |
| Sep 18, 2024 | WSH | 10-0 | Win |
| Sep 17, 2024 | WSH | 10-1 | Win |
Zack Wheeler (16-6 W-L, 2.56 ERA) vs. Tylor Megill (4-5 W-L, 4.08 ERA)
Zack Wheeler remains the pillar of the Phillies’ rotation with impressive statistics of 2.56 ERA and 205 strikeouts in 186.2 innings pitched. He does not allow walks as evidenced by a 0.95 WHIP which attests to his effectiveness on any mound. Wheeler’s low home run rate of 18 will go a long way toward this tight contest.
The struggles of Tylor Megill in the last season include inconsistency where he posted a 4.08 ERA over the 68.1 innings pitched. Although he has threatened with 77strikeouts, his greater ERA and WHIP (1.26) were trouble areas that the Phillies would try to take advantage of. On the other hand, Megill’s home performances may benefit from the crowd and the hostile environment in which the Phillies overwhelm their opponents.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+113), Total Odds: 6.5
With the stronger win-loss records as well as pitching statistics, a bet on the Phillies seems ideal. However, given the Mets’ recent form especially at home, this game will be much more competitive as the odds suggest. As both teams are heading towards high scoring games, it can be predicted that the over on 6.5 runs could also elicit some action.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
Even though the Phillies have a solid record overall, they have had some disappointing recent away games and lack of success in head to head meetings with the Mets could pose some challenges. In the assessment of the spreads and moneyline, the gamblers might consider the aspects of their away game results.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have been in great form over the past few games at home and against good teams so they are worth a gamble as an underdog with a +136 money line. Do not underplay their ability and consistency in running up and winning scores at Citi Field in the gambling tables.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 9/22/24 Betting Picks
Considering the comparative analysis and recent developments, the Philadelphia Phillies look likely to edge the New York Mets in a tightly contested contest. Much as the Phillies have had their recent struggles especially on the road, their superior pitching and orange menace hitting gives them a slight edge. However, the Mets seem to do well at home as they score highly, which implies that they are also tough and therefore this contest is particularly interesting for the bettors.
When it comes to betting, one alternative interpretation might be predicting the over as the more conservative bet considering the attacking trends of both teams. In terms of odds, those waiting for more concrete circumstances can try to make a player’s prop bets on K or HRs. This free expert MLB preview further suggested looking for motions that can impact in-game bets.