Free MLB Picks For Today, Monday 9/23/2024
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2024
Cubs at Phillies—Hayden Wesneski to be primary pitcher for Chicago. Wesneski in 26 starts on the year carries an ERA of 3.82 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander fans 23% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.8% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola has 31 starts with an ERA of 3.54 and WHIP of 1.17. The veteran strikes out 23.7% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.9% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Wesneski returns from a forearm injury in late July and pitched two scoreless innings on Saturday. Nola in his past seven starts has an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.27. Chicago bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.30. Chicago is 6-1 to the over in their past seven road games. In their past ten games the Cubs bullpen has an ERA of 5.30 with the Phillies at 4.01. Both teams hitting over their past seven games. Play Chicago and Philadelphia over 8.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2024
Red Sox at Blue Jays—Tanner Houck will start for Boston. Houck in 29 starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 3.21 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander fans 21.2% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 55.7% with 0.57 home runs per nine innings. Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt has 30 starts with an ERA of 4.16 with WHIP of 1.43. The veteran strikes out 22.6% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls served at 40.6% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Houck in his past four starts has an ERA of 4.71 with WHIP of 1.24. Bassitt has allowed one earned run in three of his past four starts. Boston in their past seven games is hitting .193. The team mark behind Houck on the road as an underdog of +100 or higher is 2-5 losing -2.6 units. Play Toronto -113.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2024
Mariners at Astros—Bryce Miller will start for Seattle. Miller in 30 starts this season delivers an ERA of 3.06 with WHIP of 0.99. The righthander strikes out 24.4% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.1% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown appeared in 30 games with an ERA of 3.57 and WHIP of 1.28. The righty is fanning 24.8% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.5% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miller has allowed one earned run in four of his past five starts. Brown has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of his past eight starts. Seattle bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.16. In their past seven games the Mariners are batting .293. Play Seattle +130.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 9/23/2024
Giants at Diamondbacks—Hayden Birdsong to start for San Francisco. Birdsong has 14 starts in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 4.74 with WHIP of 1.39. The righthander strikes out 26% with 13.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.8% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Eduardo Rodriguez will start for Arizona. Rodriguez in eight starts has an ERA of 5.09 with WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander fans 20% with 7.8% walks. Grounders are 35.7% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.09 does suggest a drop in ERA should form hold.
The Pick:
Birdsong in his past five road starts has an ERA of 7.20 with WHIP of 1.65. Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs in each of his past two starts. Arizona in their past seven games is batting .270 to the Giants .270. San Francisco is 1-6 on the road against an NL team with a .430 or higher slugging percentage with a .4.3-unit loss. Arizona is 25-6 when favored at home by -150 or higher with a +13.1 unit return. Play Arizona -165.