Free NFL Picks For Today, Sunday 9/22/2024
LA Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Pick Prediction 9/22/2024
Chargers at Steelers 1PM ET—Los Angeles quarterback Herbert and receiver Palmer are questionable. On defense a safety and nickel back are questionable. Pittsburgh left guard is out with their right tackle questionable. Their defensive starters are healthy. LA improved to 2-0 following their 26-3 road win at Carolina. The Chargers put up 349 yards with 219 rushing for 5 yards per carry. On defense they held the Panthers to 156 yards with 69 passing on 26 attempts. Justin Herbert hit 14 of 20 for 130 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Pittsburgh sits at 2-0 with their 13-16 road win at Denver. The Steelers produced 251 yards with 141 rushing for 3.9 yards a carry. Defensively Pittsburgh held the Broncos to 295 yards with 231 passing on 35 attempts. Justin Field connected on 13 of 20 for 117 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh offensively struggled behind Fields. The team is running for only 3.6 yards a carry with 5.7 yards per pass attempt. LA run game is generating 5.6 yards per carry against weak opponents. Herbert has been accurate at 67.4% completions. The Chargers pass defense allows only 5 yards per pass attempt. The Steelers are banged up on the offensive line. The LA line on both sides are healthy. Herbert is expected to play despite the ankle. Play LA +3.
Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Pick Prediction 9/22/2024
Bears at Colts 1PM ET—Chicago receiver Allen with their fullback are out. Their right guard is questionable. The defensive starters are healthy. Inday receiver Pittman is questionable with their defensive starters healthy. Chicago fell to 1-1 after their 19-13 road defeat to Houston. The Bears put up 205 yards with 71 rushing for under four yards per run. On defense they allowed 310 yards to the Texans with 235 passing on 36 attempts. Caleb Williams went 23 of 37 for 174 yards and two interceptions. Indianapolis fell to 0-2 with their 16-10 road defeat at Green Bay. The Colts gained 338 yards with 140 rushing for over seven yards a carry. Defensively they surrendered 383 yards to the Packers with 261 rushing for 5-3 yards a carry. Anthony Richardson hit 17 of 34 for 204 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions.
The Pick:
Chicago has a significant injury advantage based on Dr Chao’s injury scores. The Colts have been hit hard with injuries defensively. The Bear’s defense has been strong holding opponents to 3.4 yards a carry and only 6.5 yards per pass attempt. The Colts are having issues with Anthony Richardson as he has been inaccurate with 49.1% completions. Indy defense has been poor by allowing 5.1 yards per run and 78.3% completions. Play Chicago +1.
Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Pick Prediction 9/22/2024
Texans at Vikings 1PM ET—Houston running back Mixon is doubtful with their center questionable. The defensive starters are healthy. Minnesota receiver Addison is out as is a linebacker on defense. Houston improved to 2-0 with their 19-13 home win to Chicago. The Texans produced 310 yards with 75 rushing for under four yards per rush. On defense they held the Bears to 205 yards with 134 passing on 37 attempts. CJ Stroud went 23 of 36 for 260 yards with a touchdown. Minnesota moves to 2-0 with their 23-17 home win to San Francisco. The Vikings posted 403 yards with 146 rushing for six yards per carry. On defense they allowed 396 yards to the 49ers with 294 passing on 36 attempts. Brock Purdy hit 28 of 36 for 319 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
The center and running back injuries for the Texans are a concern in this road game. Minnesota is getting solid play on both sides of the football. They run for 5.1 yards a carry plus complete 72% of their passes with 9.2 yards per pass attempt. On defense they are holding opponents to 3.8 yards per run and 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Houston on defense allowed 4 yards a carry and only 6.5 yards per pass attempt offensively. Play Minnesota +1.5.
NY Giants vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Pick Prediction 9/22/2024
Giants at Browns 1PM ET—New York offensive starters are healthy. On defense a corner is out with linebacker questionable. Cleveland on offense has their tight end out with left and right tackle questionable. On defense their starters are healthy. NY is fell to 0-2 with their 21-18 road defeat to Washington. The Giants gained 294 yards with 129 rushing for 5.9 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 425 yards to the Commanders with 215 rushing for 6.1 yards a carry. Daniel Jones hit 16 of 28 for 178 yards with two touchdowns. Cleveland is 1-1 after their 18-13 road win at Jacksonville. The Browns posted 297 yards with 125 rushing for 4.2 yards per run. On defense they allowed 323 yards to the Jaguars with 196 passing on 30 attempts. Deshaun Watson completed 22 of 34 for 186 yards.
The Pick:
Still no Nick Chubb at running back for Cleveland. The injury to the bookend tackles a concern. The Chao injury scores have a clear advantage for the Giants here. NY is rushing for 4.7 yards per carry. Cleveland is struggling with their passing game that is generating only 3.9 yards per pass attempt with inaccurate play. Their defense allows five yards a carry. Play NY +6.5.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Pick Prediction 9/22/2024
Eagles at Saints 1PM ET—Receiver AJ Brown is out for Philadelphia. On defense for the Eagles safety is questionable. New Orleans starters on offense are healthy. On defense a defensive tackle is out with a safety questionable. Philadelphia fell to 1-1 following their 22-21 home defeat to Atlanta on Monday Night. The Eagles put up 367 offensive yards with 186 rushing for 5 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 385 yards to the Falcons with 152 rushing for 5.4 yards a carry. Jalen Hurts hit 23 of 30 for 183 yards and a touchdown. New Orleans is 2-0 with their 44-19 road win at Dallas. The Saints put up 432 yards with 190 rushing for 4.9 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 353 yards to the Cowboys with 285 passing on 42 attempts. Derek Carr hit 11 of 16 for 243 yards with two touchdowns and a pick.
The Pick:
No injury advantage here. The Eagles are running for 4.4 yards a carry. They are getting good quarterback play with accuracy and 7 yards per pass attempt. Philadelphia is 6-0 to the over when lined at 49.5 or higher. They are 28-11 to the over. The Eagle’s defense is allowing 6.4 yards per run and big plays with 7.6 yards per pass attempt. New Orleans is running for 4.9 yards a carry with 75% completion rate with 11 yards per pass attempt. Play Philadelphia and New Orleans over 49.5.
Denver Broncos vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Pick Prediction 9/22/2024
Broncos at Buccaneers 1PM ET—Denver starters on offense are healthy. On defense a linebacker is out. Tampa Bay right tackle is out. On defense a defensive end is out with nose tackle doubtful. Free safety is out. Denver fell to 0-2 following their 13-6 home defeat to Pittsburgh. The Broncos gained 295 yards with 64 rushing for over three yards per run. On defense they held the Steelers to 251 yards with 110 passing on 20 attempts. Bo Nix hit 20 of 35 for 246 yards and two interceptions. Tampa Bay improved to 2-0 after their 20-16 road win at Detroit. The Bucs put up 216 yards with 70 rushing for three yards per carry. On defense they allowed 463 yards to the Lions with 324 passing on 56 attempts. Baker Mayfield hit 12 of 19 for 185 yards with a touchdown and pick.
The Pick:
Denver has a clear injury advantage here based on Dr. Chao’s injury scores. Bucs defense heavily injured here. The Broncos are running for 4 yards a carry. On defense they limit opponents to 6.3 yards per pass attempt. The Bucs run for only 3.4 yards are a carry. Their rush defense has been poor by allowing 4.9 yards a carry. Play Denver +6.
Green Bay Packers at Tennessee Titans NFL Pick Prediction 9/22/2024
Packers at Titans 1PM ET—Green Bay quarterback Jordan Love is questionable. Their starters on defense are healthy. Tennessee starters on offense and defense are healthy. Green Bay sits at 1-1 after their 16-10 home win to Indianapolis. The Packers offense produced 383 yards with 261 rushing for 4.9 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 338 yards to the Colts with 140 rushing for 7.8 yards per rush. Malik Willis hit 12 of 14 for 122 yards and a pick. He had 41 rushing yards. Tennessee fell to 0-2 with their 24-17 home defeat to NY Jets. The Titans put up 300 yards with 130 rushing for 4.6 yards per run. On defense they held the Jets to 265 yards with 164 passing on 30 attempts. Will Levis completed 19 of 28 for 192 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
Love may be pointing to the divisional game next week against Minnesota. Green Bay is getting great running with 212-yard average and 5.7 yards per rush attempt. They do average 7.6 yards per pass attempt. On defense the Packers are allowing 54.4% completions with 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Tennessee is getting poor quarterback play by averaging only 4.6 yards per pass attempt. Opponents are running for 4 yards a carry. Play Green Bay +3.
Carolina Panthers vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Pick Prediction 9/22/2024
Panthers at Raiders 4PM ET—Las Vegas starters on offense are healthy. On defense both ends are questionable with a linebacker out. Carolina starters are healthy on offense. On defense a defensive end is questionable with nose tackle doubtful. Carolina is 0-2 following their 26-3 home defeat to LA Chargers. The Panthers put up 159 yards with 90 rushing on 18 carries. On defense they allowed 349 yards to the Chargers with 219 rushing for five yards a carry. Bryce Young went 18 of 26 for 84 yards and an interception and was benched this week. Andy Dalton to start at quarterback. Las Vegas improved to 1-1 with their 26-23 road win at Baltimore. The Raiders gained 260 yards with 27 rushing for under two yards per carry. On defense they allowed 383 yards to the Ravens with 151 rushing for 5.6 yards per carry. Gardner Minshew completed 30 of 38 for 276 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
Las Vegas has a significant injury advantage based on Dr. Chao’s injury scores. The Panther’s defense is heavily injured. The switch to Dalton a plus for the Panthers offense. He is injury prone and capable of putting up points for the other team. Carolina defense is allowing 4.9 yards per run with 79.2% completion rate for 8.3 yards per pass attempt. Las Vegas run defense has been poor by allowing 6.1 yards per run attempt. Minshew has been accurate with the team completing 77.5% completions. Play Carolina and Las Vegas over 40.
Miami Dolphins vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Pick Prediction 9/22/2024
Dolphins at Seahawks 4PM ET—Tua hit the injury list. Their remaining starters on both sides of the football are healthy. Seattle running back Kenneth Walker is doubtful with a left tackle out. On defense a linebacker is out, doubtful and questionable. Miami fell to 1-1 following their 31-10 home defeat to Buffalo. The Dolphins produced 351 yards with 139 rushing for four yards per carry. Defensively they held the Bills to 247 yards with 139 passing on 19 attempts. Tua Tagovailoa is on the injured list with a concussion. Skylar Thompson relieved and completed 8 of 14 for 80 yards. Thompson starts on Sunday.
The Pick:
Both teams are battling injuries. There is an injury advantage for Seattle but that does not mean they are not having issues of their own. Their injury score is very low its just that Miami’s score is five points lower. Seattle is running for only 3.7 yards a carry and only averaging 6.8 yards per pass attempt. The Seahawk’s run defense is the concern where they allow 4.7 yards per rush. Walker’s injury for Seattle and their numerous injuries on defense makes it tough to lay this number. Play Miami +4.5.
Detroit Lions vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Pick Prediction 9/22/2024
Lions at Cardinals 4:25PM ET—The Lions guard is questionable. On defense a linebacker and corner are questionable. Arizona receiver Dortch is questionable as is their right tackle. Their defensive starters are healthy. Detroit fell to 1-1 after their 20-16 home defeat to Tampa Bay. The Lions put up 463 yards with 139 rushing for 5.1 yards per run. On defense the Lions held Tampa Bay to 216 yards with 146 passing on 19 attempts. Jared Goff hit 34 of 55 for 307 yards and two interceptions. Arizona moved to 1-1 with their 41-10 home win to LA Rams. The Cardinals put up 490 yards with 231 rushing for 5.8 yards per rush. On defense they allowed 245 yards to LA with 192 passing for 27 attempts. Kyler Murray hit 17 of 21 for 266 yards with three touchdowns.
The Pick:
No injury advantage here. Detroit is getting good balance on offense. They are running for 5.2 yards a carry and throwing for 262 yards. They defend well by allowing 3.3 yards per run hold opposing quarterbacks to 6.6 yards per pass attempt. The Arizona pass defense is the concern here as they are giving up 74% completion rate with 8.3 yards per pass attempt. Play Detroit -2.5.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Pick Prediction 9/22/2024
Ravens at Cowboys 4:25PM ET—The Ravens starters on offense and defense are healthy. Dallas starters on offense are healthy. On defense a defensive tackle is questionable. Baltimore fell to 0-2 with their 26-23 home defeat to Las Vegas Raiders. The Ravens put up 383 yards with 151 rushing for 5.6 yards per run. On defense they held Las Vegas to 260 yards with 27 rushing on 17 carries. Lamar Jackson went 21 of 34 for 247 yards with a touchdown and pick. Dallas fell to 1-1 following their 44-19 home defeat to New Orleans. The Cowboys posted 327 yards to the Cowboys with 285 passing on 42 attempts. Defensively they gave up 432 yards to the Saints with 190 rushing for 4.9 yards per carry. Dak Prescott completed 27 of 39 for 293 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.
The Pick:
The Ravens have a clear injury advantage here based on Dr Chao injury scores. Baltimore has been running effectively with 5.7 yards per run. Defensively they are holding teams to 2.7 yards per carry. Dallas run game is struggling and they are averaging only 5.1 yards per pass attempt. The Cowboys defense allows 4.9 yards per carry. Baltimore is a desperate 0-2 team so Lamar Jackson could be on the move with his feet in this game. Play Baltimore -1.
San Francisco 49ers vs. LA Rams NFL Pick Prediction 9/22/2024
49ers at Rams—Out for San Francisco is receiver Samuel with tight end Kittle doubtful. McCaffrey is on IR. On defense an end is questionable as is a linebacker. LA receivers Kupp and Nacua are out. Tight end Higbee out. On defense questionable are a nose tackle and cornerback. San Francisco fell to 1-1 with their 23-17 road defeat at Minnesota. The 49ers gained 396 yards with 102 rushing for four yards per rush. Defensively they allowed 403 yards to the Vikings with 257 passing on 26 attempts. Brock Purdy hit 28 of 36 for 319 yards with a touchdown and pick. LA drops to 0-2 with their 41-10 road defeat at Arizona. The Rams posted 245 yards with 53 rushing for under three yards per carry. On defense they allowed 489 yards to the Cardinals with 258 passing on 21 attempts. Matthew Stafford hit 19 of 27 for 216 yards.
The Pick:
Both teams have very low injury scores based on Dr. Chao ratings. The lowest score is with the Rams pass offense. The highest score is with the Rams defense. LA is running for only 3.2 yards a carry and averaging only 6.5 yards per pass attempt. Play San Francisco and LA under 43.5.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Pick Prediction 9/22/2024
Chiefs at Falcons 8:20PM ET—Kansas City running back Pacheco is out with their defense healthy. Atlanta fullback is out with their starters on defense healthy. KC moves to 2-0 with their 26-25 home win to Cincinnati. The Chiefs put up 286 yards with 149 rushing for 4.6 yards per run. On defense they held the Bengals to 320 yards with 246 passing on 36 attempts. Patrick Mahomes hit 18 of 25 for 151 yards with two touchdowns and two picks. Atlanta is 1-1 with their 22-21 road win at Philadelphia on Monday Night. The Falcons posted 385 yards with 152 rushing for 5.4 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 365 yards to the Eagles with 186 rushing for five yards a carry. Kirk Cousins hit 20 of 29 for 241 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick:
The Chiefs are down two running backs with Edwards-Helaire out. KC defense is allowing 4.8 yards per run. Atlanta is getting balanced on offense with 4.8 yards per run and accuracy at the quarterback position. The Falcons stop the run well and hold opponents to only 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Play Atlanta +3.