The next game of the New York Mets against the Philadelphia Phillies is among the best textbook events you can ever find in this MLB season. The two vigorous teams will meet at Citi Field this Saturday. With the regular season coming to an end, the tension cannot get any more than how it is now. In particular, the Phillies look well aware that they are leading their division with a record of 92-62 against the Mets’ impressive standing of 85-69. This type of matchup warrants the best handicapper insights into the probability stakes being raised with what could be the emergence of postseason intrigue.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 9/21/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Saturday, September 21, 2024, at 4:10 PM ET |
| Where: | Citi Field |
| Watch: | MLBN, SNY, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Phillies odds: | -120 Moneyline |
| Mets odds: | +102 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 7 |
Philadelphia Phillies (92-62) vs. New York Mets (85-69)
The Philadelphia Phillies are showing solid performance with a batting average of .258 and a strong pitching staff boasting a 3.78 ERA. Analyzing their last five games reveals some fluctuations in their road game performance but an overall strong standing. They managed a decisive 12-2 win against the Mets just yesterday, although they had mixed results against them and the Milwaukee Brewers earlier in the week. This streak includes significant wins and tough losses, indicating a somewhat unstable momentum as they face their city rivals again.
| Philadelphia Phillies Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 20, 2024 | NYM | 12-2 | Win |
| Sep 19, 2024 | NYM | 6-10 | Lose |
| Sep 18, 2024 | MIL | 1-2 | Lose |
| Sep 17, 2024 | MIL | 5-1 | Win |
| Sep 16, 2024 | MIL | 2-6 | Lose |
Conversely, the Mets carry a slightly lower batting average of .249 but compensate with a robust slugging performance, highlighted by 198 home runs this season. Their last five games showcase a resurgence in form, particularly at home, where they’ve won 10 of their last 12 games. This includes a recent 10-6 victory over the Phillies and a series of impressive wins against the Washington Nationals, underscoring their readiness to take on the challenge at Citi Field.
| New York Mets Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 20, 2024 | PHI | 2-12 | Lose |
| Sep 19, 2024 | PHI | 10-6 | Win |
| Sep 18, 2024 | WSH | 10-0 | Win |
| Sep 17, 2024 | WSH | 10-1 | Win |
| Sep 16, 2024 | WSH | 2-1 | Win |
Ranger Suarez (12-7, 3.13 ERA) vs. Sean Manaea (11-5, 3.26 ERA)
Phillies pitcher Ranger Suarez enters this contest with a great season record as it is marked with an ERA of 3.13 over 143.2 innings pitched. He is a strong starter thanks to his control and strikeout ability where he has punched out 139 but limited walks to 36 this season. It is also important to examine Suarez’s performance in particular against tough opposition such as the Mets as where he can be of great use is when the opposing team has power hitters to tackle with.
Meanwhile, Sean Manaea is on the hill for the Mets with a somewhat higher ERA of 3.26 but with a commendable 177 strikeouts across 171 innings pitched. He has been prone to walks due to his command problems, but his ability to give up only 124 hits will help him neutralize the batters-for-hire of the Phillies. Generally, he has performed well at Citi Field and it will be crucial to carry on that form in this game which is of high stakes.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -120, Total Odds: 7
Looking at the head to head statistics and form, the Phillies are slight favorites. But the way Mets have fought back at home plus their recent offense explosion backs the claim, which makes the odds quite appealing as well. Both teams have had the total go OVER, meaning that this is likely to be a contest with lots of score.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The overall season record of Philadelphia leaves only a small fraction of the struggle due to the recent road game losses. On the other hand, their ability to beat the Mets away as well as their power hitting gives them a very good edge especially with the over trends over their last few encounters.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets’ capacity to recover from considerable losses this season, as well as their strong home record this season, demonstrate their tenacity. Furthermore, their recent trends of overs and their recent offensive statistics make them a risky but high potential underdog especially given the easy spread.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 9/21/24 Betting Picks
Based on the performances, assessing the trends and the odds, the conclusion is for another fast-paced, high-scoring game owing to the form of the teams and their offense. As for betting tendencies and matchup information, both teams are described as heavy-scorers which suggests that a potential over bet on the total runs might pay off, more so with the fact that the opposing pitchers are prone to giving up home runs at crunch time.
With the Mets performing well at home and the Phillies struggling a bit on the road, there is a good opportunity to place a bet on the Mets as the underdogs. In today’s free daily MLB picks, the suggested bet would put the Mets as the winners of the game with the total points being above the cutoff.