With the end of the 2024 MLB season drawing near, the atmosphere is positive since each game counts against gaining playoff spots. For instance, the Philadelphia Phillies, which registered 91 wins and 62 losses, battle with the New York Mets at 85 wins and 68 losses. Both teams have had some solid positives during the season. However, the result of this match could greatly influence their destiny as far as the playoffs are concerned. This duel is a premium sports prediction, full of bet providers’ anticipations and alluring peculiarities for customers and bettors alike.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 9/20/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Friday, September 20, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET |
| Where: | Citi Field |
| Watch: | ATV+, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Phillies odds: | -130 Moneyline |
| Mets odds: | +110 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 7 |
Philadelphia Phillies (91-62) vs. New York Mets (85-68)
The Phillies have been displaying a robust offensive lineup, boasting a .258 batting average and a powerful slugging percentage of .424. With 184 home runs to their credit this season, their ability to convert hits into runs has been a key component of their success. Analyzing their last five games reveals a mixed bag of results. Despite losses against the Brewers with scores of 1-2 and 2-6, they bounced back in other games, notably against the same Mets they face tonight, winning 2-1 and 6-4.
| Philadelphia Phillies Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 18, 2024 | MIL | 1-2 | Lose |
| Sep 17, 2024 | MIL | 5-1 | Win |
| Sep 16, 2024 | MIL | 2-6 | Lose |
| Sep 15, 2024 | NYM | 2-1 | Win |
| Sep 14, 2024 | NYM | 6-4 | Win |
In contrast, the Mets have shown tremendous prowess at home, evidenced by a stellar 10-1 SU record in their recent games at Citi Field. While slightly lower at .248, their batting average is compensated by their home run count at 194. Recent games against Nationals have been particularly dominant with landslide victories of 10-0 and 10-1, demonstrating their capacity to capitalize on pitching and defensive errors by their opponents.
| New York Mets Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 18, 2024 | WSH | 10-0 | Win |
| Sep 17, 2024 | WSH | 10-1 | Win |
| Sep 16, 2024 | WSH | 2-1 | Win |
| Sep 15, 2024 | PHI | 1-2 | Lose |
| Sep 14, 2024 | PHI | 4-6 | Lose |
Cristopher Sanchez (10-9, 3.24 ERA) vs. David Peterson (9-2, 2.85 ERA)
This season, Christoper Sanchez has proved to be dependable for the Phillies. For 172 IP, he has a 3.24 ERA and 1.23 WHIP, which brings out a very important aspect of Sanchez’s pitching — he is capable of striking out quite many batters (142 in this season), yet does not walk many (only 38) highlighting great control. It would be imperative for Sanchez to help the Phillies quite well, especially in away games.
For the Mets, David Peterson has an outstanding ERA of 2.85 and has managed to pitch efficiently in a limited number of innings (110.1), showing great resolve in the process. Although on paper, he has a worse WHIP of 1.31, his biggest strength is the fact that he concedes more than 8 home runs in total. In addition, his control of the ball in important games, specifically in the home ones, makes him one of the best players on the mound.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -130, Total Odds: 7
According to the current betting odds, Phillies are slightly favored, yet considering that the total score line is low and both teams have played well at home indicates the matchup is going to be fierce. As both sides have gone to the OVER in the most recent fixtures, punters will be having a system above the line set by the odds.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have shown time and again that they can head into the losing units and return outperforming the previous performance, 12-6 SU being their record in the last 18 regular-season games. Nevertheless, their road game woes (their last 6 games on the road, 1-5 SU) could present a problem going up against the Mets at their home.
New York Mets Betting Trends
With 16 wins and only 4 losses over the last 20 matches, the Mets are one of the dominant teams in this encounter, each of these games showcasing their impressive home record of 10 wins and a single loss in the last eleven games. More recently, facing divisional teams has been a rather fruitful engagement as evidenced by their landside victories.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 9/20/24 Betting Picks
In light of the detailed examination and current matches, it can be said that the upcoming duel between the Phillies and the Mets will be intense since both teams are in good seasonal form. The hitting strength of the Phillies and the Mets’ winning run at home indicate that the match will be rather keenly contested. Based on the statistical issues as well as trends, the Mets would appear to have a slight advantage owing to their impeccable home record and steady pitching that complements their offense.
Bettors looking to place a good bet would consider the Mets at home. The Over on the total is equally appealing considering the running scores of both teams in their past games. Moving onto prop betting, one may find value in prop bets on starting pitchers’ performances. This MLB free prediction puts the maximum bet on the Mets winning and going over the total we are given.