Free MLB Picks For Today, Saturday 9/21/2024
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Pirates at Reds—Jared Jones to start for Pittsburgh. Jones in 20 starts carries an ERA of 3.85 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander fans 26.1% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.5% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Rhett Lowder to start for Cincinnati. Lowder has four starts with an ERA of 1.74 with WHIP of 1.26. The rookie righty fans 20.2% with 10.7% walks. Grounders are 42.1% with no homers allowed.
The Pick:
Since returning to the rotation, Jones has an ERA of 5.06 with WHIP of 1.31 in four starts. Lowder at home allowed one earned run with nine strikeouts in 10 1/3rd innings. In their past ten games the Reds bullpen ERA of 7.30. The Pirates are 4-10 on the road facing starters who allow 0.5 home runs per start with a -4.3-unit loss. In their past seven games the Reds are batting .256. Play Cincinnati -121.
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Nationals at Cubs—MacKenzie Gore to start for Washington. Gore in 30 starts this season provides an ERA of 4.17 with WHIP of 1.49. The lefthander strikes out 23.8% with 8.9% walks. Grounders are 38.6% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks appeared in 27 games with an ERA of 6.25 with WHIP of 1.49. The veteran fans 16.1% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.5% with 1.60 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Gore in his past five starts has an ERA of 1.85 with WHIP of 1.05. Hendricks in his past three starts allowed two earned runs or fewer. Chicago has won seven straight against the Nationals. In their past seven games the Nationals are hitting .204 with the Cubs at .322. The team record behind Gore is 2-7 on the road when an underdog of +100 or higher with a -4.2-unit loss. Washington is 27-42 when a road underdog of +100 or higher with a -11-unit loss. Play Chicago -133.
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Tigers at Orioles—Reese Olson to start for Detroit. Olson has 20 starts this year delivering an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP of 1.21. The righthander strikes out 21.7% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 50.7% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings. Cade Povich will start for Baltimore. Povich in 14 starts carries an ERA of 5.74 with WHIP of 1.54. The lefthander fans 19.2% with 9.6% walks. Grounders are 37.8% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Olson in his past seven starts has an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP of 1.05. Povich in his past five starts has an ERA of 5.68 with WHIP of 1.46. Baltimore in their past seven games is hitting .200. The Tigers bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.11 to the Orioles 6.67. Play Detroit +112.
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Twins at Red Sox—Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez in 30 starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 3.84 and WHIP of 1.15. The righthander strikes out 25.9% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls served at 43.2% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. Kutter Crawford to start for Boston. Crawford has 31 starts with an ERA of 4.19 with WHIP of 1.10. The righty is fanning 23% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.4% with 1.73 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Lopez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of seven starts. The Red Sox in their past seven games are batting .179. The team record behind Lopez is 7-2 when favored on the road by -110 or higher with a +4.3-unit return. The team mark behind Crawford is 4-12 at home. Play Minnesota -136.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. NY Mets MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Phillies at Mets—Ranger Suarez will start for Philadelphia. Suarez has 25 starts on the year dealing with an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander strikes out 23.6% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 51.3% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings. Sean Manaea gets the start for NY. Manaea in 30 starts has an ERA of 3.26 with WHIP of 1.08. The lefthander strikes out 25.5% with 8.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.5% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Suarez in his past five starts has an ERA of 4.44 with WHIP of 1.52. Manaea in his past four starts has had an ERA of 1.98 with WHIP of 0.77. In their past seven games NY is hitting .295 with the Phillies at .224. The team mark behind Manaea is 9-4 at home when facing teams that strikeout seven or greater per game with a +4.2-unit return. Play NY -105.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Braves at Marlins—Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in 27 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.49 with WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander strikes out 22.9% with 8.2% walks. Grounders are 58.8% with 0.73 home runs per nine innings. Adam Oller is the starter for Miami. Oller has six starts with an ERA of 5.40 with WHIP of 1.42. The righthander fans 19% with 13.1% walks. Grounders served at 41.1% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Fried in his past six starts has an ERA of 3.08 with WHIP of 1.05. Oller in his past three starts allowed 13 earned runs in 15 1/3rd innings. Miami bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.95 with the Braves at 4.84. The Braves are hitting .278 in their past seven games. The Marlins are 54-19 to the over at home. Play Atlanta and Miami over 8.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Blue Jays at Rays—Yariel Rodriguez will start for Toronto. Rodriguez in 19 starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.29 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander strikes out 23.4% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.8% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Taj Bradley is the starter for Tampa Bay. Bradley has 23 starts with an ERA of 4.39 with WHIP of 1.24. The righty is fanning 26.8% with 8.3% walks. Grounders dealt at 41% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Rodriguez has allowed one earned run or fewer in three straight. Bradley in his past four home starts allowed 22 earned runs with seven home runs in 18 2/3rd innings. The team is 1-4 in Bradley’s past five home starts with a -4.8-unit loss. Play Toronto +118.
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Mariners at Rangers—Emerson Hancock to start for Seattle. Hancock in 10 starts on the year delivers an ERA of 4.83 with WHIP of 1.33. The righthander strikes out 14.9% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.9% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings. Max Scherzer will start for Texas. Scherzer has nine starts with an ERA of 3.95 with WHIP of 1.15. The veteran has seen his Ks plummet to 22.6% with 5.6% walks. Grounders are 32% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle has won eight of nine against the Mariners. Hancock has allowed three earned runs or fewer in seven of eight starts. Scherzer in his return allowed two earned runs in four innings. Texas bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.95 to the Mariners 2.48. The Rangers are 8-13 in their past 21 home games against winning teams with a -6.1-unit loss. Play Seattle +124.
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Giants at Royals—Landen Roupp to start for San Francisco. Roupp appeared in 21 games on the campaign delivering an ERA of 3.02 with WHIP of 1.25. The rookie righthander strikes out 23% with 12.1% walks. Ground balls served at 46.8% with minimal home run damage. Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer has 30 starts with an ERA of 3.53 with WHIP of 1.27. The righty is fanning 22.3% with 7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 47.8% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Roup in his past three appearances allowed two earned runs in 14 innings. Singer in his past five starts has an ERA of 5.40 with WHIP of 1.57. The team record behind Singer at home in his past six starts is 2-4 with a -2.3-unit loss. KC in their past seven games is hitting .231. Play San Francisco +144.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Diamondbacks at Brewers—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly in 11 starts this season delivers an ERA of 4.00 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander strikes out 19.1% with 7% walks. Grounders served at 41.9% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. Aaron Civale to start for Milwaukee. Civale has 29 starts with an ERA of 4.48 with WHIP of 1.33. The righty is fanning 22% with 7.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 35.2% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Kelly in his past three starts has an ERA of 3.18 with WHIP of 0.94. Civale in his past five starts carries an ERA of 3.08 with WHIP of 1.14. In their past seven games the Diamondbacks are hitting .278 with the Brewers at .236. Arizona is 31-16 on the road with a +16.5-unit return. Play Arizona -105.
LA Angels vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Angels at Astros—Reid Detmers to start for LA. Detmers in fifteen starts delivers an ERA of 6.05 with WHIP of 1.43. The lefthander strikes out 26.9% with 9.75 walks. Ground balls dished at 39.9% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.43 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Ronel Blanco to start for Houston. Blanco appeared in 28 games with an ERA of 2.88 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander strikes out 24.4% with 10.1% walks. Grounders are 39.1% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Detmers since his return to the rotation allowed 11 earned runs with four homers in 17 1/3rd innings. Blanco in his past three starts allowed no runs in 13 innings. In their past seven games the Angels are batting .183. Houston has won seven of eight against the Angels covering the run line in each win. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at -115.
Cleveland Guardians vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Guardians at Cardinals—Matthew Boyd to start for Cleveland. Boyd in seven starts on the campaign puts up an ERA of 2.52 with WHIP of 1.07. The lefthander has 27.2% Ks with 6.8% walks. Ground balls served at 32.6% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. Miles Mikolas will start for St Louis. Mikolas in 30 starts posts an ERA of 5.49 with WHIP of 1.29. The righthander fans 16.9% with 3.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.2% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Boyd has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Mikolas in his past eight starts has an ERA of 6.98 with WHIP of 1.49. The Guardians bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 0.79. The Cardinals in their past seven games are hitting .231. The team mark behind Mikolas in his home night games is 2-6 with a -4.6-unit loss. Play Cleveland -132.
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
White Sox at Padres—Chris Flexen to start for Chicago. Flexen has 31 appearances in the season delivering an ERA of 5.09 with WHIP of 1.53. The righthander strikes out 17.1% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 36% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Martin Perez will start for San Diego. Perez in 24 starts has an ERA of 4.36 with WHIP of 1.47. The lefthander fans 17.9% with 8% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.3% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Flexen in his past six road starts has an ERA of 9.25 with WHIP of 2.14 with horrible control and getting crushed by the home run ball. Perez has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his past four starts. Chicago bats .206 against left-handed starters. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs at -128. The team mark behind the run line with Flexen is 1-5 when facing a team on the road that outscores their opponents by -0.5 runs per game or greater with a -4.2-unit loss. Play San Diego on run line -1.5 runs at -128.
NY Yankees vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Yankees at Athletics—Carlos Rodon will start for NY. Rodon in 30 starts on the year posts an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander strikes out 26.8% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.3% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. JP Sears gets the start for Oakland Sears has 30 starts with an ERA of 4.24 and WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander fans 17.9% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.1% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Rodon has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his past five starts. Sears in his past five starts has an ERA of 4.71 with WHIP of 1.29. NY in their past ten games are hitting .210. The team is 8-3 to the under behind Rodon when favored by -110 or higher. Oakland is 4-1 to the under behind Sears at home against a winning team. Play NY and Oakland under 8.
Colorado Rockies vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Rockies at Dodgers—Cal Quantrill to start for Colorado. Quantrill has 27 starts on the campaign dealing with an ERA of 4.68 and WHIP of 1.47. The righthander strikes out 17.1% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.6% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Walker Buehler will start for LA. Buehler in 14 starts with an ERA of 5.54 and WHIP of 1.62. The righty is fanning 18% with 8.7% walks. Grounders are 43.6% with 2.08 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Quantrill in his past five starts has an ERA of 5.64 with WHIP of 1.88. Buehler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. LA in their past seven games hitting .267. Colorado bats .217 on the road. LA is 7-3 at home to the run line when favored by -250 to -330 with a +2.6 unit return. Play LA on run line -1.5 runs at -130.