As the MLB season begins to come to an end and stretch into its all-important last legs, a rather captivating Eastern face-off is on the offing at Citi Field as the Philadelphia Phillies, armed with a 91-61 record, take on the New York Mets, 84-68, on this Thursday night. The Phillies are out to enhance their chances of making the playoffs, even as the Mets fight to improve their position in the table. Sensing the stakes involved, both teams have churned out some impressive performances of late, making it clear that this is not just a regular season fixture but a probable win-or-go-home type of contest. Prepare yourselves for thrilling, manipulative evening baseball with top multi-handicapper prediction insights.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 9/19/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Thursday, September 19, 2024 at 7:15 PM ET |
| Where: | Citi Field |
| Watch: | WWOR, FOX, MLB.TV |
| Phillies odds: | +120 |
| Mets odds: | -142 |
| Total Line: | 8 |
Philadelphia Phillies (91-61) vs. New York Mets (84-68)
Entering this important series, the Philadelphia Phillies have a decent record but have been shaky on the road lately, which may factor into the making of this particular contest. The last five games saw them recording wins over the Milwaukee Brewers and their present-day opponents, the Mets, a resilient side able to bounce back from losses quite quickly. As a result, their road game challenges might be a point of emphasis since they have been unable to replicate that success on the road.
| Philadelphia Phillies Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 18, 2024 | MIL | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 17, 2024 | MIL | 5-1 | W |
| Sep 16, 2024 | MIL | 2-6 | L |
| Sep 15, 2024 | NYM | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 14, 2024 | NYM | 6-4 | W |
On the other hand, the New York Mets have been very difficult to defeat at Citi Field, with 9 of their last 10 home games winning. This home-ground advantage could be significant, considering they have done excellently in their last league and are playing at home except for their matches against the Phillies, who have matched their performance both offensively and defensively. The recent meetings of the NY Mets with the Washington Nationals showed that the team is not only strong in defense but bright on the offensive as well – they managed to score 20 runs in only two games, which the Phillies’ pitchers would have to think about.
| New York Mets Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 18, 2024 | WSH | 10-0 | W |
| Sep 17, 2024 | WSH | 10-1 | W |
| Sep 16, 2024 | WSH | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 15, 2024 | PHI | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 14, 2024 | PHI | 4-6 | L |
Taijuan Walker (3-6, 6.29 ERA) vs. Luis Severino (10-6, 3.77 ERA)
Taijuan Walker goes to the hill for the Phillies, and he has had quite a season full of ups and downs with a high ERA and WHIP showing trouble in giving up hits and keeping runs off the base. His propensity to give up home runs could be worrying, especially at Citi Field which is known for its bandbox properties. It is clear that Walker will be assumed to take charge against the Mets when he is required to be the one with outstanding control so that the big hitters will not have any more chances.
Luis Severino has been one of the most dependable pitchers in the rotation for the Mets, as he has been performing on the mound in a more solid and controlled manner. Severino is responsible for a low ERA and a good walk ratio relative to strikeouts, offering valuable performance in limiting the options for the opponents to hit and score. It will be important for him to help minimize the damage from the batters for the Phillies, who have displayed tendencies to be able to score quick, massive runs.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: New York Mets -142, Total Odds: 8
The betting lines have a small edge towards the Mets, given their good record at home and how battered it will turn out to be. The total of 8 runs indicates that both teams are able to score a reasonable sum of runs in a moderately high-scoring encounter.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
Apart from the Phillies’ overall strength, they seem to vulnerable when playing away. Their propensity to go OVER in divisional games indicates that high-scoring affairs are commonplace, but one cannot rule out the overarching dominance that they have over the Mets.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have played well at home, and with their recent outburst on the plate, they should be solid favorites in this matchup. However, the sad theory is that the Mets have lost their last two meetings at Citi Field against the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 9/19/24 Betting Picks
Based on the present conditions and past history of these teams, this contest should be close, but perhaps the Mets will have an edge because they are at home, and that their pitching, led by Severino, would be more effective than that of the Phillips. However, one cannot rule out the fact that the Phillips has the capacity and guts to snatch important matches, hence making it an interesting fixture for the bettors.
A more prudent proposition that one would make looking at the odds would be that perhaps the Mets may utilize the home ground and their overall pitched strength to the fullest. Also, value can be found in Prop bets, especially regarding particular performances like strikeouts by Severino and group ones like Bryce Harper for the Phillies’ hitters. The over/under total went well, considering how both squads have been scoring a lot in their previous encounters. Taking into account the nature of this game as well as previous encounters would aid in devising betting plans such as more MLB tips and picks.