This Thursday, September 19, 2024, the Arizona Diamondbacks (84-68) will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (88-64) in the crucial last stretch showdown that is bound to stir up the standings. A crucial clash for playoff seedings due to the importance of the game is set to take place at American Family Field at 7:15 PM ET with broadcasting on FOX & MLB.TV. This indeed is a great contest as both teams are fighting for their playoff positions, nevertheless, this matchup flies much under the radar of the handicapping top services, as both teams are trying to cement their places in the postseason.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers 9/19/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Thursday, September 19, 2024 at 7:15 PM ET |
| Where: | American Family Field |
| Watch: | FOX, MLB.TV |
| Diamondbacks odds: | -118 |
| Brewers odds: | -102 |
| Total Line: | 8 |
Arizona Diamondbacks (84-68) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (88-64)
The Diamondbacks have managed to hit very well, as evidenced by their combined .264 batting average and the 197 homers hit by the team. However, their recent form leaves a lot to be desired. They have gone 2-3 over their last five games, winning and losing heavily in games against the Colorado Rockies and squeezing a win over the Brewers (11-10). The importance of these bouts on offensive output was proved on the very first day of such matches when the side released effective scoring in their last meeting with Houston and scored enough in the final innings to register a win.
| Arizona Diamondbacks Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 18, 2024 | COL | 9-4 | W |
| Sep 17, 2024 | COL | 2-8 | L |
| Sep 16, 2024 | COL | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 15, 2024 | MIL | 11-10 | W |
| Sep 14, 2024 | MIL | 8-15 | L |
On the other side, the Brewers currently rank lower than their opponents with a team batting percentage of .249 but have relied even more on their pitching staff a fact that is seen when the team’s ERA stands at 3.64. The recent matches of Milwaukee against the Philadelphia Phillies and the San Francisco Giants were mostly hard-fought wins interspersed with a few clear-cut ones where the tactical skills were equally impressive. Defensively pleased for them, their pitchers have only allowed a few runs in wins and this is critical when facing high-scoring teams like Arizona.
| Milwaukee Brewers Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 18, 2024 | PHI | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 17, 2024 | PHI | 1-5 | L |
| Sep 16, 2024 | PHI | 6-2 | W |
| Sep 15, 2024 | ARI | 10-11 | L |
| Sep 14, 2024 | ARI | 15-8 | W |
Brandon Pfaadt (9-9, 4.81 ERA) vs. Tobias Myers (8-5, 3.07 ERA)
When choosing a starter for the Arizona Diamondbacks, it was Brandon Pfaadt who took the mound for the team this time, and this season, he has a mediocre record of 4 and earned 4.81 over 166.2 innings pitched. Given his home run propensity (He has given 21 home runs), such an army bomb may come in handy, especially against a Brewers offense that is able to hit any pitcher. So, while he still remains in danger because of his strikeouts (160 Ks), his contribution in this particular game will depend on his command and decision-making regarding which pitches to throw.
On the other hand, which is not the complete opposite but quite different is the description of Tobias Myers for Milwaukee due to his statistics having what looks like a terrific 3.07 Era with fewer hits given up per innings pitched. It will be very essential for pitching to the Diamondbacks as allowing him to possess control of the game and limiting giving away home runs (I think he has given out 18 HRs allowed) will be key in weathering the storm that is the Diamondback’s storming bats. Myers also never shied away from the pressure and, if anything, relished it, and if he can produce for Milwaukee late in the game, indeed, the balance of power shifts entirely in favor of Milwaukee.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks -118, Total Odds: 8
Despite the Brewers’ more favorable record and home advantage, moneyline odds still slightly favor the Diamondbacks, indicating that this would be a tightly contested matchup. Both teams have strong offensive capabilities but in different aspects (batting for Arizona and pitching for Milwaukee, which is why the total line is set at 8, and it is understood that this will be a high-scoring game considering both teams as of late.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
Arizona’s preference to play high-match scoring games is well known and supports the total going over in 13 of their last 18 games. Still, the poor performance on the road (2-5 SU last 7 games) and the inability to win at home as well as in the latest matches may be serious issues for the punters depending on them.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers boast a good home defense which has enabled the total going UNDER in 6 of their last 7 games at American Family Field. They had to win close games in many of their recent games, which shows their toughness and smart play, thus making them a good team to bet on and even more with value the odds.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers 9/19/24 Betting Picks
This matchup reveals the true picture of both teams’ strengths and weaknesses. The offensive power of Arizona and the defensive prowess of Milwaukee clash in what is sure to be an exhilarating game. Considering the recent patterns and the shape of the teams, a rather low-scoring game can be anticipated, but Milwaukee with their pitching as well as the advantage of playing at home, could wrap it in their favor.
For the gamblers, the more cautious options would probably include betting at +1.5 for Milwaukee and the total going UNDER because of the Brewers’ great home defense. Most probably, the prop bets will include strikeout totals for Tobias Myers based on his current season performance. Those who seek out expert free MLB game tips on baseball should study the pitchers’ duel and the overall defensive capacity very carefully to derive useful betting predictions.