Free College Football Picks Week 4 Part 2-9/21/2024
Kent vs. Penn St College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Kent at Penn St 3:30PM ET—Kent is 0-2 after a 71-0 road defeat at Tennessee. The Golden Flashes put up 112 yards with 54 rushing for under two yards per run. On defense they allowed 740 yards to the Volunteers with 456 rushing for nearly 8 yards per run. Devin Kargman hit 9 of 15 for 58 yards. Penn St is 2-0 following their 34-27 home win to Bowling Green. The Nittany Lions gained 438 yards with 234 rushing for 6.3 yards per run. On defense they allowed 375 yards to the Falcons with 121 running for over 4.5 yards per rush. Drew Allar completed 13 of 20 for 204 yards with two touchdowns and a pick.
The Pick:
This is a rebuilding Kent St team. They lost 31 to Pittsburgh and dropped a six-point game at home to an FCS team. The Golden Flashes are running for 1.7 yards a carry and allowing 6.4 per run to opponents on defense. Their pass defense allows 8.9 yards per pass attempt. Penn St rushes for 5.9 yards a carry and passes for 11.6 yards per pass attempt. Play Penn St -49.
Buffalo vs. Northern Illinois College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Buffalo at Northern Illinois 3:30PM ET—Buffalo improved to 2-1 following their 34-3 home win to Massachusetts. The Bulls put up 314 yards with 129 rushing for over three yards per carry. On defense they allowed 193 yards to the Minutemen with 121 passing on 29 attempts. CJ Ogbonna went 14 of 22 for 185 yards with a touchdown. Northern Illinois is 2-0 after their 16-14 road win at Notre Dame. The Huskies put up 388 yards with 190 rushing for 4.2 yards per run. On defense they held the Fighting Irish to 286 yards with 163 passing on 33 attempts. Ethan Hampton hit 10 of 19 for 198 yards with a touchdown.
The Pick:
The Fighting Illini is running for 5.8 yards a carry and getting efficient passing this year with 67.3% completions and 12.1 yards per pass attempt. They are holding opponents to 3.8 yards a carry. Buffalo is struggling with accuracy in their passing game. Play Northern Illinois -14.
Georgia Tech vs. Louisville College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Georgia Tech at Louisville 3:30PM ET—Georgia Tech is 3-1 following their 59-7 home win to FCS VMI. Two weeks ago, they were beaten at Syracuse 31-28. In their first loss the Yellow Jackets gained 378 yards with 112 rushing for 4.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 515 yards to the Orange with 381 passing on 46 attempts. Haynes King hit 29 of 39 for 266 yards and a touchdown. Louisville is 2-0 following their 49-14 home win to Jacksonville St. The Cardinals produced 610 yards with 233 rushing for 6.5 yards per run. On defense they held the Gamecocks to 290 yards with 130 rushing for over four yards per run. Ryler Shough went 21 of 33 for 349 yards with two touchdowns.
The Pick:
Georgia Tech pass defense is allowing 66% completions and 7 yards per pass attempt. The Cardinals numbers impressive early with 8.4 yards per run and 72.5% completion rate with 9.5 yards per pass attempt. The Cardinals hold opponents to 2.5 yards per run and 4.5 yards per pass attempt. Louisville is 10-2 to the spread as a home favorite. The Yellow Jackets pass defense in their road game at Syracuse a concern. Play Louisville -10.
Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Rutgers at Virginia Tech 3:30PM ET—Rutgers is 2-0 following their 49-17 home win to Akron. The Scarlet Knights produced 515 yards with 285 rushing for 6.5 yards per carry. On defense they gave up 307 yards to the Zips with 156 rushing for 6.1 yards per run. Athan Kaliakmanis hit 14 of 23 for 230 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Virginia Tech is 2-1 with their 37-17 road win at Old Dominion. The Hokies gained 465 yards with 289 rushing for over 5.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 293 yards to the Monarchs with 50 passing on 14 attempts. Kyron Drones completed 15 of 26 for 176 yards with a touchdown and interception.
The Pick:
Rutgers ground game is producing 6.8 yards a carry. They are defending well limiting opponents to 4.9 yards a carry and 4.5 yards per pass attempt. The Hokies are running for only 4.3 yards a carry. The Scarlet Knights are 2-0 to the spread when a road underdog of +3.5 to +10 points. Virginia Tech is 1-4 to the spread at home in the non-conference. Play Rutgers +3.5.
Arkansas vs. Auburn College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Arkansas at Auburn 3:30PM ET—Arkansas is 2-1 following their 37-27 home win to UAB. The Razorbacks put up 427 yards with 266 rushing for 7 yards per run. On defense they allowed 354 yards to the Blazers with 235 passing on 32 attempts. Taylen Green went 11 of 26 for 161 yards. Auburn is 2-1 with their 45-19 home win to New Mexico. The Tigers gained 513 yards with 268 rushing 4.2 yards per carry. Defensively they allowed 448 yards to the Lobos with 291 passing on 44 attempts. Hank Brown hit 17 of 25 for 235 yards and four touchdowns.
The Pick:
Arkansas is getting good offensive production with 6.4 yards per run and 9.9 yards per pass attempt. They are strong defending the run and allowing 53.5% completion rate. Auburn pass defense the concern here. The Razorbacks are 10-4 to the spread in their past 14 road games. Auburn is 3-6 to the spread at home in their past nine September games. Play Arkansas +3.5.
Arizona St vs. Texas Tech College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Arizona St at Texas Tech 3:30PM ET—Arizona St improved to 3-0 following their 31-28 road win at Texas St. The Sun Devils gained 347 yards with 101 rushing for under three yards per run. On defense they allowed 400 yards to the Bobcats with 268 passing on 44 attempts. Sam Leavitt completed 19 of 30 for 246 yards with a touchdown and interception. Texas Tech is 2-1 with their 66-21 home win to North Texas. The Red Raiders posted 586 yards with 232 rushing for 6.3 yards per carry. On defense they allowed 253 yards to the Mean Green with 135 rushing for nearly four yards per run. Behren Morton hit 15 of 19 for 273 yards and four touchdowns.
The Pick:
ASU gets good production from their ground attack with 4.8 yards a carry. They are getting plays downfield in the passing game with 8 yards per pass attempt. The Suns Devils are holding opponents to 2.3 yards per run. The Red Raiders allow 280 passing yards per game with 8.4 yards per pass attempt and 4.7 yards per rush. ASU is 7-3 as a road underdog. Play Arizona St +3.
USC vs. Michigan College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
USC at Michigan 3:30PM ET—USC is 2-0 with their 48-0 home win to Utah St. The Trojans put up 544 yards with 249 rushing for 6.7 yards per run. On defense they held the Aggies to 190 yards with 87 rushing for under four yards per run. Miller Moss completed 21 of 30 for 229 yards with a touchdown. Michigan improved to 2-1 with their 28-18 home win to Arkansas St. The Wolverines gained 435 yards with 301 rushing for 6.8 yards per rush. On defense they allowed 280 yards to the Red Wolves with 58 rushing for 2.2 yards per run. Davis Warren is benched. Junior Alex Orji starts at quarterback. He has thrown seven passes as a backup since 2022.
The Pick:
USC put up a good balanced attack with 5.6 yards per run and 72% completions with 8.6 yards per pass attempt. On defense the Trojans are allowing 4.2 yards per and 6.3 yards per pass attempt getting good tackling from their secondary. Michigan run game is generating 5-3 yards per carry. On defense they hold opponents to 2.7 yards per run and 6.1 yards per pass attempt. The Trojans first test against a stout defensive team and they are on the road to this one. Play Michigan +5.5.
Miami Ohio vs. Notre Dame College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Miami Ohio at Notre Dame 3:30PM ET—Miami Ohio is 0-2 following their 27-16 home defeat to Cincinnati. The Red Hawks gained 380 yards with 24 rushing for just over one yard per carry. On defense they allowed 401 yards to the Bearcats with 215 rushing for 6.3 yards a carry. Brett Gabbert hit 23 of 35 passes for 339 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Notre Dame improved to 2-1 with their 66-7 road win at Purdue. The Fighting Irish gained 578 yards with 362 rushing for 8.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 222 yards to the Boilermakers with 38 rushing for 1.5 yards per run. Riley Leonard completed 11 of 16 for 112 yards.
The Pick:
The Redhawks are living off the arm of Brett Gabbert as they are throwing for 291 yards and 7.7 yards per pass attempt. This was a program that was hit with departing players in the transfer portal but efficient in the passing game. On defense they hold opponents to 5.7 yards per pass attempt. Miami Ohio is 12-6 to the spread in their road games. Notre Dame is 1-4 to the spread in their past five home September games. Play Miami Ohio +28.
Memphis vs. Navy College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Memphis at Navy 3:30PM ET—Memphis is 3-0 following their 20-12 road win at Florida St. The Tigers gained 337 yards with 65 rushing for two yards per run. On defense they held the Seminoles to 238 yards with 37 rushing for 1.5 yards per run. Seth Henigan completed 25 of 38 for 272 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Navy is 2-0 with their 38-11 home win to Temple. The Midshipmen put up 409 yards with 297 rushing for nearly six yards per run. On defense they allowed 312 yards to the Owls with 277 passing on 45 attempts. Blake Horvath went 5 of 9 for 112 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick:
Navy has faced a weak schedule as they met Temple and FCS Bucknell at home. The Tigers defense is holding opponents to 2.3 yards per rush along with only 5.5 yards per pass attempt. Memphis is an experienced team with 17 starters back with ten on offense. Their passing game is averaging 67.7% completions with 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Navy allows 60% completions and 6.4 yards per pass attempt against weak competition. Play Memphis -9.
UCLA vs. LSU College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
UCLA at LSU 3:45PM ET—UCLA is 1-1 after their 42-13 home defeat to Indiana. The Bruins gained only 238 yards with 96 rushing for under four yards per run. On defense they allowed 430 yards with 307 passing on 33 attempts. Ethan Garbers hit 14 of 23 for 137 yards and an interception. LSU is 2-1 following their 36-33 road win at South Carolina. The Tigers put up 417 yards with 132 rushing for over four yards a carry. On defense they allowed 398 yards to the Gamecocks with 243 rushing for 5.9 yards a carry.
The Pick:
The LSU defense allows 4.5 yards per run and 68.4% completion rate with 8.6 yards per pass attempt. The Tigers run for only four yards per carry. UCLA defense is holding opponents to 3.1 yards per run. The Bruins are 3-0 to the spread on the road against bad defensive teams that allow 5.9 yards per play or greater. LSU defense makes it tough to lay this bundle of points. Play UCLA +24.
Utah vs. Oklahoma St College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Utah at Oklahoma St 4PM ET—Utah improves to 3-0 following their 38-21 road win at Utah St. The Utes gained 460 yards with 221 rushing for seven yards per rush. On defense they allowed 385 yards to the Aggies with 245 passing on 35 attempts. Cameron Rising is set to return as starting quarterback. He played in Week 2 going 8 of 14 for 92 yards and two touchdowns. Oklahoma St sits at 3-0 after their 45-10 road win at Tulsa. The Cowboys gained 560 yards with 129 rushing for under four yards per run. On defense they allowed 352 yards to the Golden Hurricane with 236 passing on 37 attempts. Alan Bowman went 24 of 31 for 396 yards with five touchdowns and a pick.
The Pick:
Utah is not that elite run stopper as they are surrendering 4.1 yards per rush and 140 rushing yards a game. Opponents are averaging 7 yards per pass completion. The Cowboy’s passing game is averaging 8.5 yards per pass attempt with 66% completions. The Utes are 1-4 to the spread in their past five road games on field turf. The Cowboys are 5-0 to the spread in their past five home games as an underdog. Play Oklahoma St +2.
Duke vs. Middle Tennessee St College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Duke at Middle Tennessee St 4PM ET—Duke improved to 3-0 with their 26-21 home win to Connecticut. The Blue Devils put up 419 yards with 142 rushing for 3.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 314 yards to the Huskies with 179 rushing for 4.8 yards per run. Maalik Murphy hit 28 of 43 for 267 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Middle Tennessee St fell to 1-2 with their 49-21 home defeat to Western Kentucky. The Blue Raiders gained 516 yards with 58 rushing for 2.5 yards per run. On defense they allowed 631 yards to the Hilltoppers with 481 passing on 37 attempts. Nicholas Vattiato went 24 of 31 for 456 yards with three touchdowns and an interception.
The Pick:
The Blue Raiders are rushing for only 2.5 yards per run. Their defense is playing very poorly as they are giving up 4.9 yards per run and 77% completion rate with 10.2 yards per pass attempt. The Blue Devils are defending well holding opponents to 3.1 yards per rush and only 4.4 yards per pass attempt. They are 4-1 to the spread on the road in the non-conference. The Blue Raiders are 1-3 to the spread as a home underdog. Play Duke -14.5.
Vanderbilt vs. Missouri College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
Vanderbilt at Missouri 4:15PM ET—Vanderbilt drops to 2-1 with their 36-32 road defeat to Georgia St. The Commodores put up 380 yards with 11 rushing for 3.2 yards per run. Defensively they allowed 426 yards to the Panthers with 269 passing on 41 attempts. Diego Pavia hit 18 of 33 for 270 yards and two touchdowns. Missouri is 3-0 after their 27-21 home win to Boston College. The Tigers put up 430 yards with 176 rushing for 4.1 yards per rush. On defense they allowed 298 yards to the Eagles with 249 passing on 28 attempts. Brady Cook hit 21 of 30 for 264 yards and a touchdown.
The Pick:
The Commodores are rushing for only 3.2 yards a carry. The passing has been inaccurate with 54.5% completion rate. Missouri is defending well by limiting opponents to 2.4 yards per rush and only 46% completions with 5.3 yards per pass attempt. The Tigers are 8-4 to the under as a home favorite. Play Vanderbilt and Missouri under 54.
UTEP vs. Colorado St College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
UTEP at Colorado St 5PM ET—UTEP is 0-3 following their 28-10 road defeat at Liberty. The Minors gained 335 yards with 91 rushing for three yards a carry. On defense they allowed 407 yards to the Flames with 179 rushing for 4.2 yards a carry. Skyler Locklear hit 26 of 43 for 244 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Colorado St fell to 1-2 after their 28-9 home defeat to Colorado. The Rams gained 440 yards with 131 rushing with 4.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 419 yards to the Buffaloes with 310 passing yards on 49 attempts. Brayon Fowler Nicolosi went 22 of 39 for 209 yards with two interceptions.
The Pick:
The Minors run for just three yards a carry. Colorado St is getting inefficient quarterback play. On defense they hold opponents to 4.3 yards a carry. The Rams are 9-4 to the under at home. Play UTEP and Colorado St under 50.
TCU vs. SMU College Football Pick Prediction 9/21/2024
TCU at SMU 5PM ET—TCU is 2-1 following their 35-34 home defeat to UCF. The Horned Frogs gained 460 yards with 58 rushing for 3.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 519 yards to the Knights with 289 rushing for 5.4 yards per run. Josh Hoover completed 35 of 52 for 402 yards with four touchdowns. SMU is 2-1 with their 18-15 home defeat to BYU. The Mustangs gained 261 yards with 117 rushing for 3.3 yards per run. On defense they held the Cougars to 336 yards with 202 passing on 29 attempts. Kevin Jennings hit 15 of 32 for 140 yards and an interception.
The Pick:
The Horned Fros struggle in run defense by allowing 4.6 yards per carry. They are running for only 3.7 yards per attempt. The Mustangs rush for 4.7 yards per carry and average 7.2 yards per pass attempt. Their defense has been solid by holding opponents to three yards per carry. SMU has been strong in defending the pass by allowing 48.8% completions with 5.7 yards per pass attempt. The Horned Frogs are 6-8 to the spread on the road. The Mustangs are 8-5 to the spread at home. Play SMU +3.