Free MLB Picks For Today, Wednesday 9/18/2024
Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Athletics at Cubs—Brady Basso will start for Oakland. Basso appeared in five games this season delivering an ERA of 1.23 with WHIP of 0.89. The lefthander strikes out 20% with 3.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.2% with 0.61 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 2.96 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Justin Steele to start for Chicago. Steele has 22 starts with an ERA of 3.09 and WHIP of 1.09. The lefty fans 24.9% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.7% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In his past two starts Basso allowed no runs in 11 1/3rd innings. Steele has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Chicago in their past seven games is hitting .330. In seven starts against the AL, Steele has an ERA of 0.86 with WHIP of 0.67. Play Chicago -142.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Diamondbacks at Rockies—Eduardo Rodriguez will start for Arizona. Rodriguez has seven starts on the year putting up an ERA of 5.50 with WHIP of 1.54. The lefthander strikes out 16.1% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.2% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber has 28 starts on the campaign with an ERA of 4.44 with WHIP of 1.28. The lefty is fanning 17% with 5.6% walks. Grounders are 38.1% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Rodriguez in his past four starts has an ERA of 6.87 with WHIP of 1.80 getting hurt with control. Gomber in his past six starts has an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.15. In their past ten games the Diamondbacks bullpen has an ERA of 6.02 with the Rockies at 3.29. The team mark behind Gomber as a home underdog of +125 to +175 is 9-7 with a +6.1-unit return. Play Colorado +130.
Chicago White Sox vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
White Sox at Angels—Jake Eder gets the start for Chicago. Eder is making his MLB debut here. He was drafted out of Vanderbilt. The left hander in two levels of the minor leagues this season has an ERA of 6.61 with WHIP of 1.68 striking out 122 batters in 109 innings. Jack Kochanowicz to start for LA. Kochanowicz has eight starts with an ERA of 5.08 with WHIP of 1.42. The righthander fans 8% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 55.5% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Kochanowicz in his past six games has an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.23. Both bullpens have been in great form in their past ten games. LA is batting .222 in their past seven games and Chicago .214 in Day Games. Chicago is 11-4 to the under facing the AL West on the road. Play Chicago and LA under 9.
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Giants at Orioles—Hayden Birdsong to start for San Francisco. Birdsong in 13 starts on the season deals with an ERA of 4.74 with WHIP of 1.42. The rookie righthander fans 27.2% with 14.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.3% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer has 22 starts with an ERA of 4.10 with WHIP of 1.26. The righty is striking out 22.2% with 9.6% walks. Grounders are 41.1% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Birdsong in his past five starts has an ERA of 3.54 with WHIP of 1.48 getting away with bad control in this span. Kremer in his past six starts has an ERA of 2.62 with WHIP of 1.17. Both hitting lineups are struggling. Orioles’ bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.21. Baltimore is 21-17 when favored at home by -150 or greater with a -11-unit loss. Play San Francisco +154.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Twins at Guardians—Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in 28 starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 3.90 with WHIP of 0.99. The righthander strikes out 26.3% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 33.2% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Bibee will start for Cleveland. Bibee has 29 starts with an ERA of 3.60 with WHIP of 1.14. The righty is fanning 26.6% with 6.2% walks. Grounders are 33.6% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Ober in his past four starts allowed 15 earned runs with four homers in 21 2/3rd innings. Bibee in his past ten starts has an ERA of 3.27 with WHIP of 1.16. After winning the opener of this series, Cleveland has 9 of 11 against the Twins. Cleveland bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.50 to the Twins 5.80. The team record behind Ober on the road against a winning team is 0-6 with a -6.7-unit loss. The team mark behind Bibee at home when lined between -100 and -150 is 9-1 with a +7.6-unit return. Play Cleveland -114.
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Braves at Reds—Spencer Schwellenbach to start for Atlanta. Schwellenbach has 18 starts on the year carrying an ERA of 3.73 with WHIP of 1.10. The righthander strikes out 26.7% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls served at 39.4% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Jakob Junis will start for Cincinnati. Junis appeared in 22 games with an ERA of 2.73 with WHIP of 0.89. The righthander fans 19.5% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 38% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Schellenbach in his past nine starts has an ERA of 2.89 with WHIP of 1.04. Junis has allowed one earned run or fewer in his past four starts. Atlanta in their past seven games is hitting .222 with the Reds at .235. The team is 14-4 to the under behind Schellenbach. The Reds are 4-0 to the under in Junis four starts. Play Atlanta and Cincinnati under 8.5.
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Astros at Padres—Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez in 26 starts on the season carries an ERA of 2.91 with WHIP of 1.09. The lefthander strikes out 24.5% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 60.5% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings. Dylan Cease to start for San Diego. Cease has 31 starts with an ERA of 3.58 and WHIP of 1.09. The righthander has an elite 30.2% K rate with 8.7% walks. Grounders are 39.7% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Valdez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Cease in his past six starts has an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP of 1.44. Both bullpens in good form in their past ten games and each are hitting well. The team record behind Valdez on the road when lined between -100 and -150 is 5-1. The team mark behind Cease when lined between +125 and -125 at home is 0-4 with a -4.8-unit return. Play Houston -106.
LA Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Dodgers at Marlins—Landon Knack is the starter for LA. Knack appeared in 12 games this season dealing with an ERA of 3.70 and WHIP of 1.09. The righthander has 23.3% Ks with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.3% with 1.93 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.99 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Ryan Weathers to start for Miami. Weathers has 13 starts with an ERA of 3.55 and WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander fans 22.5% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.5% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Knack in his past three starts on the road allowed nine earned runs with three homers in 10 1/3rd innings. Weathers last pitched since June 7th. In his past four home starts he has an ERA of 6.05 with WHIP of 1.34. He is 9-3 to the over in his career in night games. LA is 17-9 to the over facing teams that allow an average of 4.5 runs per game or greater. Play LA and Miami over 8.5.
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Red Sox at Rays—Tanner Houck to start for Boston. Houck in 28 starts has an ERA of 3.24 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander strikes out 21.1% with 6.6% walks. Grounders are 55.6% with 0.58 home runs per nine innings. Ryan Pepiot will start for Tampa Bay. Pepiot has 23 starts with an ERA of 3.76 with WHIP of 1.17. The righty is fanning 24.8% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.9% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Houck in his past five starts has an ERA of 4.25 with WHIP of 1.28. Pepiot has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 10 of his past 11 starts. The Red Sox bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.41. The team record behind Houck is 2-5 when lined between +100 or higher on the road with a -2.6-unit loss. The Red Sox have lost eight of nine on the road. Play Tampa Bay -120.
Washington Nationals vs. NY Mets MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Nationals at Mets—DJ Herz to start for Washington. Herz has 17 starts on the year posts an ERA of 3.70 with WHIP of 1.21. The lefthander fans 28.7% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.9% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Jose Quintana will start for NY. Quintana in 29 starts has an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.27. The lefty is striking out 18.1% with 8.8% walks. Grounders are 46.2% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Herz has allowed two earned runs or fewer in nine of ten games. Quintana has allowed one earned run in his past four starts. Past seven games Washington hitting .214 and Mets at .213. Herz is 4-1 to the under at home when facing teams that average seven or greater strikeouts per game. Play Washington and NY under 7.5.
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Tigers at Royals—Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit Skubal has 29 starts in 2024 carrying an ERA of 2.50 with WHIP of 0.94. The left hander has an elite 30.2% K rate with 4.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.9% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Alec Marsh to start for KC. Marsh appeared in 24 games with an ERA of 4.52 and WHIP of 1.23. The righthander fans 22.8% with 7.1% walks. Grounders are 37.7% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Skubal has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of seven starts. Marsh has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Both bullpens have been in good form in their past ten games. KC is 17-13 to the under at home facing AL teams that average 4.4 runs per game or fewer. Play Detroit and KC under 8.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Phillies at Brewers—Aaron Nola will start for Philadelphia. Nola has 30 starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 3.62 with WHIP of 1.20. The veteran strikes out 23.3% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.8% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Freddy Peralta is the starter for Milwaukee. Peralta in 30 starts with an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander fans 26.8% with 9.3% walks. Grounders are 36.6% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Nola in his past three starts allowed 13 runs with five homers in 15 innings of work. Peralta in his past six starts has an ERA of 2.25 with WHIP of 1.34. Both bullpens performing well in their past ten games. The team record behind Nola is 2-5 in his past seven on the road. The Brewers are 23-13 when favored at home by -100 to -150 with a +7.3-unit return. Play Milwaukee -115.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Pirates at Cardinals—Joey Wentz to get the start for Pittsburgh. Wentz has 41 appearances on the year delivering an ERA of 5.22 with WHIP of 1.56. The lefthander strikes out 23.8% with 10.8% walks. Grounders sit at 41.7% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. Sonny Gray is the starter for St Louis. Gray has 27 starts with an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP of 1.07. The veteran has an elite 30.2% strikeout rate with 6% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.1% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Wentz has not pitched greater than 2 2/3rd innings in seven straight starts. Gray has allowed one earned run in each of his past three starts. St Louis bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.89 with the Cardinals at 2.87. Pittsburgh is 14-27 facing a team on the road with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower with a -9.9-unit loss. Play St Louis -168.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Blue Jays at Rangers—Bowden Francis to start for Toronto. Francis appeared in 25 games on the year putting up an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP of 0.93. The righthander fans 22.5% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls served at 34.4% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. Cody Bradford to start for Texas. Bradford in 12 appearances has an ERA of 3.97 with WHIP of 0.96. The lefthander strikes out 23% with 3.8% walks. Grounders are 32.4% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Francis has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of his past eight starts. Bradford in his past two road starts allowed 10 runs with four homers in 9 2/3rd innings. Texas bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.58. Texas as this series began was hitting .197 in their past seven games. The team record behind Francis is 5-1 on the road when he faces a team that averages 7 strikeouts per game or greater with a +5.2-unit return. Play Toronto +110.
NY Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 9/18/2024
Yankees at Mariners—Nestor Cortes to start for NY. Cortes appeared in 30 games in 2024 with an ERA of 3.90 and WHIP of 1.15. The lefthander has 22.7% Ks with 5.2% walks. Ground balls dealt at 30.4% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Byrce Miller gets the start for Seattle. Miller in 29 starts on the year delivers an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP of 0.99. The righthander deals 24.1% strikeouts with 5.9% walks. Ground balls are 37.7% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cortes in his past six games has an ERA of 1.85 with WHIP of 0.85. Miller in his past six home starts carries an ERA of 2.00 with WHIP of 0.86. Both bullpens have been in excellent form over the past ten games. NY in their past seven games is hitting .220 with Seattle at .288. The team record behind Cortes is 1-7 on the road when lined between +125 and -125 with a -7-unit loss. Seattle behind Miller is 6-1 at home against winning teams. Play Seattle +105.