With the end of the MLB season drawing nearer, the clash between the Philadelphia Phillies (90-60) and the Milwaukee Brewers (87-63) at the American Family Field this Tuesday is mesmerizing. The stadium is exciting as both teams have performed remarkably well this season. Naturally, this game has been highly awaited because the playoffs are in the picture now. Notable handicapping expert selections focus on details that could prove crucial in this very tight match.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers 9/17/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Tuesday, September 17, 2024 at 7:40 PM ET |
| Where: | American Family Field |
| Watch: | TBS, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Phillies odds: | Moneyline -139 |
| Brewers odds: | Moneyline +118 |
| Total Line: | O/U 7.5 |
Philadelphia Phillies (90-60) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (87-63)
The Philadelphia Phillies arrive at this game hitting an impressive .258 and they have hit 180 home runs, which shows exactly how dangerous this team can be offensively. In the last five games however, the team is mostly in form as they have claimed wins against tough opponents like New York Mets and Tampa Bay. It should be emphasized that their latest loss to Milwaukee (2-6) may have been a temporary glitch or a sign of weaknesses that fans will explain the team may have that can be taken advantage of by the Brewers.
| Philadelphia Phillies Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 16, 2024 | MIL | 2-6 | Lose |
| Sep 15, 2024 | NYM | 2-1 | Win |
| Sep 14, 2024 | NYM | 6-4 | Win |
| Sep 13, 2024 | NYM | 3-11 | Lose |
| Sep 11, 2024 | TB | 3-2 | Win |
Again looking at the other side of the spectrum, despite being a bit lower down the ranks in the standings, Milwaukee Brewers have not lagged behind with a batting average of .250 and a bit of a stingy pitching staff as noted with a better ERA of 3.66. What stands out is the balance-pounding wins and stinging losses in their recent games. How the Brewers manage to lose a midweek match and bounce back with a massacre over the Arizona Diamondbacks (15-8) presents intriguing prospects for the next game against the Phillies.
| Milwaukee Brewers Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 16, 2024 | PHI | 6-2 | Win |
| Sep 15, 2024 | ARI | 10-11 | Lose |
| Sep 14, 2024 | ARI | 15-8 | Win |
| Sep 13, 2024 | ARI | 2-1 | Win |
| Sep 12, 2024 | SF | 3-0 | Win |
Zack Wheeler (15-6, 2.60 ERA) vs. Frankie Montas (7-10, 4.49 ERA)
Zack Wheeler has established himself as one of the key parts in the Phillies pitching rotation, posting a highly impressive 2.60 ERA along with 199 strikeouts. This is unsurprising as he has been able to hold opponents to a meager .241 BA and WHIP less than one. Wheeler is not only precise but also patient when it comes to pitching and this will come in handy when facing the hitters of the Brewers at the production line, especially when pressure is piled up.
On the other hand, Frankie Montas has had his fair struggles this year; the 4.49 ERA is quite reflective of this and so is his WHIP of 1.34. Although Montas has faced these obstacles, there have been some moments where he has shone, and he can be that guy who disrupts the hitting of the Phillies. His contribution will be essential if the Brewers want to defend their home turf and bag an additional victory over Philadelphia.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -139, Total Odds: 7.5
The current betting odds favor the Phillies slightly, though the Brewers’ recent win against them might sway some opinions. The total set at 7.5 reflects expectations for a moderately high-scoring game, considering the offensive capabilities of both teams and recent trends.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
From Philadelphia’s recent results, they have discovered how to win on the road and score easily, making them an appealing option. Their last 15 games have seen them achieve a remarkable record of 11-4 SU, with only a handful of teams able to resist their push, even more so in their last five outings against the Brewers, where they were a 4-1 SU team.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
In most of Milwaukee’s recent games, there has been a streak of unders, which, combined with the fact that the team must be good at home, might provide an edge. They have had a good record against the NL over the past few matches, winning 5 out of their last 7 SU games against the league.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers 9/17/24 Betting Picks
Having examined everything, including the recent betting trends, one gets the impression that the Philadelphia Phillies have a good chance of winning, as they have a powerful roster and have performed well in away games. But one must not forget Milwaukee’s fighting spirit, especially when playing in their arena, and this may shift the betting in their favor.
If you are looking for a good value bet, focus on the under on total runs as runs are hard to come by in hindsight. On the other hand, since this is a betting game, another option would be prop bets on the number of strikeouts by an individual player. For a no-cost MLB prediction, the picky fans would expect a Phillies win; however, they lean in close.