Free MLB Picks For Today 9/16/2024
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2024
Twins at Guardians—Pablo Lopez to start for Minnesota. Lopez at 29 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.88 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander strikes out 26.3% with 5% walks. Ground balls served at 43.9% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. Matthew Boyd to start for Cleveland. Boyd has six starts with an ERA of 2.18 and WHIP of 0.91. The lefthander fans 26.7% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.3% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Lopez in his past six starts has an ERA of 1.12 with WHIP of 1.07. Boyd has allowed one earned run in five of his six starts. Cleveland bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.51 with the Twins at 5.20. Minnesota hit .209 in their past seven games. Minnesota is 2-11 facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or lower with a -9.1-unit loss and 7-20 on the road against winning teams with a -13.5-unit loss. Play Cleveland -105.
Washington Nationals vs. NY Mets MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2024
Nationals at Mets—Jake Irvin to start for Washington. Irvin has 30 starts on the campaign dealing with an ERA of 4.19 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander strikes out 20.6% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls served at 43.6% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. Sean Manaea to start for NY. Manaea in 29 starts has an ERA of 3.35 with WHIP of 1.10. The lefthander fans 25.6% with 9% walks. Grounders are 36.6% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Irvin in his past eight starts has an ERA of 6.39 with WHIP of 1.49. Manaea in his past nine starts has an ERA of 2.64 with WHIP of 0.81. Both bullpens in over four ERA in their past ten games. The Mets in their past seven games are hitting .204. NY is 5-1 to the run line in their past six at home with a +3-unit return. Play NY on run line -1.5 runs at +115.
LA Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2024
Dodgers at Braves—Yoshinobu Yamamoto to start for LA. Yamamoto has 15 starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 2.77 with WHIP of 1.05. The righthander strikes out 29.1% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.3% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings. Max Fried gets the start for Atlanta. Fried in 26 starts has an ERA of 3.46 with WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander fans 22.6% with 8% walks. Ground balls come in at 58.8% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Yamamoto in his return to the rotation allowed no earned runs in four innings at home to the Cubs. Fried in his past eight starts has an ERA of 4.34. Atlanta bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 0.99. LA is 17-6 on the road against left-handed starters with a +10.5-unit return. The Braves are 11-15 at home when lined between -100 and -150 with a -8.3-unit loss. Play LA -109.
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2024
Tigers at Royals—Reese Olson will start for Detroit. Olson in 19 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.23 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 21.6% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls served at 51.2% with 0.52 home runs per nine innings. Seth Lugo to start for KC. Lugo has 30 starts with an ERA of 2.94 with WHIP of 1.09. The veteran strikes out 21.7% with 5.8% walks. Grounders are 44.6% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Olson returns from the 15-day IL with a shoulder. He has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five of his past six starts. Lugo has allowed one earned run or fewer in three straight starts. Both bullpens were in outstanding form in their past ten games. KC in their past seven games is hitting .227. They are 5-0 to the under in their past five at home and 15-7 at home against the division. Play Detroit and KC under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2024
Phillies at Brewers—Ranger Suarez is the starter for Philadelphia. Suarez has 24 starts on the year carrying an ERA of 3.05 with WHIP of 1.13. The lefthander strikes out 23.7% with 5.8% walks. Grounders are 51.6% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. Aaron Civale to start for Milwaukee. Civale in 28 starts has an ERA of 4.57 with WHIP of 1.32. The righthander fans 21.7% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.3% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Suarez in his past eight starts has an ERA of 6.02 with WHIP of 1.66. Civale in his past six starts has an ERA of 2.67 with a WHIP of 1.01. Both bullpens were in outstanding form in their past ten games. Each sit hit around .230 in their past seven games. Philadelphia is 14-20 facing winning teams on the road with a -8.4-unit loss. Play Milwaukee +104.
Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2024
Athletics at Cubs—Joey Estes to start for Oakland. Estes in 22 appearances has and ERA of 4.36 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander strikes out 18.1% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls served at 23.5% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Shota Imanaga to start for Chicago. Imanaga has 27 starts with an ERA of 3.03 with WHIP of 1.02. The left hander fans 24.8% with 3.9% walks. Grounders are 35.6% with 1.46 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Estes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his past five starts. Imanaga in his past six starts has an ERA of 2.92 with WHIP of 0.89. Chicago bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.90 with Athletics at 4.54. Chicago in their past seven games hitting .284. They are 6-4 to the run line when favored at home by -175 to -250 with a +2.1-unit return. Play Chicago on run line -1.5 runs at +115.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2024
Pirates at Cardinals—Paul Skenes to start for Pittsburgh. Skenes in 20 starts on the year delivers an ERA of 2.10 with WHIP of 0.99. The righthander has an elite 32.3% K rate with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 49.5% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Andre Pallante is the starter for St Louis. Pallante appeared in 26 games with an ERA of 4.13 and WHIP of 1.40. The righty is striking out 17.5% with 10.3% walks. Grounders are 61.6% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pallante in his past six starts has an ERA of 3.57 with WHIP of 1.44. Skenes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starters going six innings in three of those games and five in the other two. The Pittsburgh bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 4.14. They are in the better hitting form in their past seven games. The Pirates are 10-5 as a road favorite of -110 or higher. Play Pittsburgh -135.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2024
Diamondbacks at Rockies—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly has ten starts this season delivering an ERA of 4.26 with WHIP of 1.25. The righthander fans 18.7% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls served at 40.9% with 1.58 home runs per nine innings. Antonio Senzatela to start for Colorado. Senzatela makes his 2024 debut after Tommy John surgery. The righty has a career 4.87 ERA with WHIP of 1.44 in 679 2/3rd innings of work striking out 451 batters.
The Pick:
Kelly in his past five starts has an ERA of 6.26 with WHIP of 1.57. In their past ten games the Rockies bullpen ERA of 5.39 with the Diamondbacks at 4.39. Arizona in their past seven games is batting .328. Arizona is 32-19 on the road against right-handed starters with a +18.2-unit return. They are 6-3 on the road when favored by -125 to -174 with a +1.5-unit return. They have won eight of ten against the Rockies. Play Arizona -157.
Chicago White Sox vs. LA Angels MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2024
White Sox at Angels—Jonathan Cannon to start for Chicago. Cannon appeared in 20 games delivering an ERA of 4.56 with WHIP of 1.40. The righthander fans 16.3% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.5% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. Reid Detmers to start for LA. Detmers has 14 starts with an ERA of 5.64 and WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander strikes out 27.2% with 9.6% walks. Grounders dished at 40.3% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.04.
The Pick:
Detmers since called up from the minors allowed four earned runs with 18 strikeouts in 12 innings. Cannon in his past five starts has an ERA of 6.16 with WHIP of 1.70 and dealing with bad control. Both bullpens were in good form over their past ten games. LA is batting .220 in their past seven games. Chicago hits .205 against left-handed starters. The White Sox are 16-10 to the under on the road facing teams that average 4.4 runs per game or fewer. Play Chicago and LA under 8.
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 9/16/2024
Astros at Padres—Spencer Arrighetti to start for Houston. Arrighetti has 26 starts this season with an ERA of 4.72 and WHIP of 1.42. The righthander fans 27.4% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.2% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Yu Darviss gets the start for San Diego. Darvish in 13 starts has an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 1.14. The veteran strikes out 23.6% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.3% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Since returning to the rotation Darvish has allowed five earned runs with three homers in 7 2/3rd innings. Arrighetti in his past seven starts has an ERA of 2.72 with WHIP of 1.13. Both bullpens were in good form over their past ten games. Both teams hit over their past seven games with the Padres at .274 and Astros at .288. San Diego is 15-15 when favored at home between -125 and -175 with a -6.6-unit loss. Play Houston +120.