Free MLB Picks For Today, Monday 9/9/2024
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/9/2024
Reds at Braves—Nick Martinez to start for Cincinnati. Martinez appeared in 38 games on the campaign with an ERA of 3.67 and WHIP of 1.15. The righthander strikes out 19.5% with 3.65 walks. Grounders are 37.3% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton has 26 starts this season with an ERA of 4.24 and WHIP of 1.32. The veteran fans 24.5% with 9.1% walks. Grounders served at 46.1% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Martinez in his past four starts allowed 16 runs in 18 1/3rd innings with five homers. Morton in his past five starts has an ERA of 3.25 with WHIP of 1.37. The Braves bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.72. But in their past seven games they are hitting .212. Atlanta is 33-10 when favored by -150 or higher. Play Cincinnati and Atlanta under 8.5.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 9/9/2024
Rays at Phillies—Tyler Alexander to be bulk pitcher for Tampa Bay. Alexander appeared in 19 games this year dealing with an ERA of 5.66 and WHIP of 1.35. The lefthander strikes out 19.5% with 5.5% walks. Grounders are 29.9% with 2.22 home runs per nine innings. Cristopher Sanchez will start for Philadelphia. Sanchez has 27 starts with an ERA of 3.45 and WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander fans 19.8% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 58.1% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Alexander in his past four starts has an ERA of 7.50 with WHIP of 1.61. Sanchez in his past four starts has an ERA of 2.60 and WHIP of 0.94. Both bullpens were in good form the past ten games. The Rays in their past seven games are hitting .222 with the Phillies at .302. Philadelphia is 9-5 to the run line facing AL teams with a .410 or lower slugging percentage with a +6-unit return. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at +105.
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 9/9/2024
Marlins at Pirates—Valente Bellozo to start for Pittsburgh. Bellozo has nine starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 3.78 and WHIP of 1.28. The righthander fans 16.3% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 23.3% with 1.70 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.44 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hole. Paul Skenes starts for Pittsburgh. Skenes has 19 starts on the season producing an ERA of 2.13 and WHIP of 0.98. The rookie righty has an elite 32% K rate with 6.8% walks. Ground balls served at 48.3% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Bellozo in his past three starts allowed 12 runs with nine walks and six homers in 14 2/3rd innings. Skenes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight. In their past ten games the Pirates are batting .189. Bellozo had a bounce back start last time out allowing no runs in six innings at home to the Nationals. Miami is 23-22 on the road against right-handed starters with a +17 unit return. Play Miami +218.
Kansas City Royals vs. NY Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 9/9/2024
Royals at Yankees—Brady Singer to start for KC. Singer in 28 starts on the year has an ERA of 3.35 with WHIP of 1.24. The righty posts a K mark of 22.6% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.8% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Rodon to start for NY. Rodon has 28 starts with an ERA of 4.19 and WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander strikes out 26.7% with 7.6% walks. Grounders are 32.2% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Singer has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Rodon very up and down the past four starts with an ERA of 4.29 and WHIP of 1.24. NY bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 6.21. KC is batting .262 against left-handed starters. The Yankees are 13-17 in their past 30 with a -17.8-unit loss. Play KC +160.
NY Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 9/9/2024
Mets at Blue Jays—Paul Blackburn to start for NY. Blackburn in 14 starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 4.66 and WHIP of 1.29. The righthander fans 18.7% with 6.6% walks. Ground ball rate of 45.7% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings. Chris Bassitt will start for Toronto. Bassitt has 28 starts with an ERA of 4.30 and WHIP of 1.43. The veteran strikes out 22.7% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.6% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Blackburn in his return to the rotation has an ERA of 5.52 and WHIP of 1.50 in six starts. Bassitt in his past five starts has an ERA of 6.00 and WHIP of 1.52. The NY bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.21 with the Blue Jays at 4.75. The Mets have won nine of ten. Play NY -118.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/9/2024
Orioles at Red Sox—Cade Povich to start for Baltimore. Povich in 12 starts on the year produces an ERA of 5.76 with WHIP of 1.60. The lefthander fans 17.3% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls are 37.6% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. Bryan Bello is the starter for Boston. Bello has 12 starts with an ERA of 4.75 with WHIP of 1.38. The righthander strikes out 22% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.7% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Povich in his four road starts allowed 20 earned runs with 13 walks in 14 1/3rd innings. Bello in his past three starts allowed nine earned runs in 18 1/3rd innings. The Red Sox bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 7.34 with the Orioles at 3.00. Boston in their past seven games is hitting .215 and putting up 2.6 runs per game. Baltimore is 14-6 on the road against the Division with a +8.3-unit return. The Red Sox are 3-9 at home facing an AL team putting up 4.9 runs per game or higher with a -6.7-unit loss. Play Baltimore +106.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/9/2024
Guardians at White Sox—Joey Cantillo to start for Cleveland. Cantillo in five appearances has an ERA of 7.71 with WHIP of 1.61. The rookie lefthander fans 18.1% with 10.8% walks. Grounders are 45.8% with 2.89 home runs per nine innings. Nick Nastrini will start for Chicago. Nastrini in eight starts on the year deals with an ERA of 7.79 and WHIP of 1.95. The righty is fanning 15% with 20% walks. Ground balls served at 31.1% with 1.95 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cantillo allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of five appearances. Nastrini at home has an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.13. The Guardians bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.19. In their past seven they are batting .235. The team is 13-8 to the under on the road against the division. The White Sox are 8-3 to the under facing teams with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or lower. Play Cleveland and Chicago under 8.5.
LA Angels vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 9/9/2024
Angels at Twins—Reid Detmers to start for LA. Detmers has 13 starts in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 5.87 and WHIP of 1.42. The lefthander fans 26.7% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls are 39.6% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.09 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. David Festa to start for Minnesota. Festa appeared in ten games with an ERA of 4.75 and WHIP of 1.20. The righty fans 29.1% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.9% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Detmers in his past nine starts has an ERA of 8.16 with WHIP of 1.64. He was hammered in the minors after getting demoted early this season. Festa has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of his past eight appearances. LA in their past seven games is batting .186 with the Twins at .212. Angels’ bullpen in good form. LA has gone under in 19 of 30. Play LA and Minnesota under 8.
Chicago Cubs vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 9/9/2024
Cubs at Dodgers—Kyle Hendricks to start for Chicago. Hendricks appeared in 25 games in 2024 putting up an ERA of 6.60 with WHIP of 1.51. The veteran fans 15.6% with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.3% with 1.67 home runs per nine innings. Walker Buehler will start for LA. Buehler has 12 starts with an ERA of 5.67 with WHIP of 1.61. The righthander strikes out 17.9% with 8% walks. Grounders dealt at 43% with 2.17 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Hendricks in his past four road starts allowed 18 runs with seven walks and three homers in 16 1/3rd innings. Buehler at home has an ERA of 3.94. Long cross-country trip for Chicago after playing at NY on Sunday. LA in their past seven games is hitting .276. The Dodgers are 27-19 to the run line at home against right-handed starters with a +11.6 unit return. Play LA on run line -1.5 runs at +105.