As we near the latter stages of the MLB season, a critical game for the postseason is being played at Citi Field on Friday with the Cincinnati Reds playing the New York Mets. According to the handicapper top insights, the Mets seem to be in a fierce competition in which they need to win and bury whoever remains in the playoff race. The Reds were slightly behind the pace but showed no sign of slowing down, which means that this match is equally important for both teams.
Reds vs. Mets Prediction 9/6/24 Game Info and Odds |
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| When: | Friday, September 6, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET |
| Where: | Citi Field |
| Watch: | SNY, ESPN, MLB.TV |
| Reds odds: | +137 Moneyline |
| Mets odds: | -161 Moneyline |
| Total Line: | 7.5 |
Reds (68-73) vs. Mets (76-64)
The Reds are coming into this series with some confidence after winning four out of the last five games. At the moment, that form saw the Reds wanting to spoil the six-game homestand that the Mets just commenced. The batting of the Reds’ has been about appoint with a team average of .234 in terms of percentage but they have been slugging with 162 home runs and most recently winning a nail-biter 1-0 against the Houston Astros. In this series, it may be helpful if they can step up in important moments.
| Cincinnati Reds Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 5, 2025 | HOU | 1-0 | Win |
| Sep 4, 2025 | HOU | 12-5 | Win |
| Sep 3, 2025 | HOU | 5-3 | Win |
| Sep 2, 2025 | MIL | 4-3 | Win |
| Sep 1, 2025 | MIL | 4-5 | Lose |
In contrast, the Mets seem to be on a five-game winning streak, where they seem to be on top of their game especially at home at Citi Field. Their solid play has also been evidenced by decisive wins against Boston and Chicago, where they not only won but registered score lines of 8 to 3 and 7 to 2 respectively.
| New York Mets Last 5 Games | |||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU |
| Sep 4, 2025 | BOS | 8-3 | Win |
| Sep 3, 2025 | BOS | 7-2 | Win |
| Sep 2, 2025 | BOS | 4-1 | Win |
| Sep 1, 2025 | CHW | 2-0 | Win |
| Aug 31, 2024 | CHW | 5-3 | Win |
Fernando Cruz (3-8, 4.99 ERA) vs. Sean Manaea (11-5, 3.35 ERA)
Reds’ starter Fernando Cruz is having a hard time this season and has an ERA of 4.99 and WHIP of 1.35 in 57.2 innings pitched. The high number of walks and home runs that Cruz allows could be worrisome against the Mets who are very aggressive and take advantage of errors. But of late, his strikeouts have picked up, making him some threat.
On the other hand, Mets’ ace Sean Manaea comes into this game with great form on the season as evidenced by his 3.35 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. The ability to minimize the number of hits and pitch deep into games has been important for the Mets as well. Making the necessary adjustments will be crucial for explaining the good performance of Manaea when the Reds find ways to deal out hits in an instant.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Mets -1.5 (+134), Total Odds: 7.5
The current odds favor the Mets significantly, reflecting their home advantage and recent form. The spread at -1.5 for the Mets with a total of over 7.5 runs suggests expectations for a relatively high-scoring game, which aligns with both teams’ recent offensive outputs.
Reds Betting Trends
Cincinnati’s disappointing performances of late show a kind of strength that can be appealing to numbers players as they won four out of five games straight-up. However, their performance against certain teams in particular the National League and in this case the Mets in their house (2-4 SU) cannot be promising.
Mets Betting Trends
Meanwhile, the Mets have squandered very few chances to win at home, in their last six games at Citi Field, they are 5-1 SU. The combination of great offense, and having kept runs allowed to a minimum over their last few outings (which has resulted in 5 under of 7 games), is likely to extend.
Reds vs. Mets 9/6/24 Betting Picks
Due to the current form of the Mets and the advantages in pitching with Manaea appearing on the mound, it is likely that the smart money will flow in for them to cover the spread. However, with the resurgence of the Reds’ form, it may be a closer game than expected hence making the over 7.5 a good bet to go for those who believe to Reds will score more.
Concerning the Top Picks for MLB today, the Mets are most likely going to win. Nevertheless, the most exciting part of this bet might be that it would be worth betting on the over of the total runs scored in the match.