Free MLB Picks For Today, Friday 9/6/2024
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Yankees at Cubs—Luis Gil to start for NY. Gil has 24 starts on the season dealing with an ERA of 3.39 and WHIP of 1.20. The righthander strikes out 27.5% with 12.6% walks. Ground balls served at 37.3% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. Javier Assad will start for Chicago. Assad has 25 starts with an ERA of 3.21 and WHIP of 1.36. The righty is fanning 19.6% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.7% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.53 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Gil in his past four starts allowed 10 earned runs in 17 1/3rd innings. Assad in his past six starts has an ERA of 3.16 with WHIP of 1.37. New York has lost six of eight. Chicago has won 10 of 13. Both bullpens struggled in their past ten games with an ERA near seven. Each team is hitting over this span. NY has gone over in six straight and the Cubs in 11 of 13. Play NY and Chicago over 7.
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Rockies at Brewers—Ryan Feltner to start for Colorado. Feltner in 25 starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 5.11 and WHIP of 1.43. The righthander fans 20% with 7.3% walks. Grounders are 45.6% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Frankie Montas to start for Milwaukee. Montas has 25 starts with an ERA of 4.70 and WHIP of 1.39. The veteran strikes out 19.9% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.5% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Feltner in his past ten starts has an ERA of 3.68 with WHIP of 1.36. Montas in his past nine starts has an ERA of 5.51 with WHIP of 1.51 getting hurt with bad control. The Brewers bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.31 with the Rockies at 4.79. Colorado has lost 11 of 14 on the road. Brewers coming off a day off. Play Milwaukee on run line -1.5 runs at +100.
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Nationals at Pirates—DJ Herz to start for Washington. Herz in 15 starts on the season deals with an ERA of 4.09 and WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander fans 28.9% with 8.6% walks. Grounders are 37.2% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Luis Ortiz is the starter for Pittsburgh. Ortiz appeared in 33 games on the year putting up an ERA of 3.19 and WHIP of 1.10. The righthander strikes out 19.1% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls served at 39.1% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Herz has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of eight. Ortiz has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. Pittsburgh has won six of seven against the Nationals. Washington has lost five of six. In their past ten games they are batting .237. Play Pittsburgh -125.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Rays at Orioles—Shane Baz will start for Tampa Bay. Baz in nine starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 3.49 and WHIP of 1.29. The righthander strikes out 19.9% with 9.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.3% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Cole Irvin to start for Baltimore. Irvin appeared in 24 games with an ERA of 4.74 and WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander fans 15.7% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls are 38.8% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Baz in his past six starts has an ERA of 3.31 and WHIP of 1.10. Kremer in his past six starts has an ERA of 5.28 with WHIP of 1.47. The Orioles bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 2.62. Tampa Bay in this span is hitting .220. Baltimore has won four of six at home. Tampa Bay has dropped five of seven on the road. Play Baltimore -135.
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
White Sox at Red Sox—Davis Martin to start for Chicago. Martin appeared in seven games delivering an ERA of 3.62 with WHIP of 1.39. The righthander fans 22.7% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.2% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. Nick Pivetta will start for Boston. Pivetta has 22 appearances with an ERA of 4.53 and WHIP of 1.13. The veteran strikes out 29.3% with 5.8% walks. Grounders are 30.5% with 1.84 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Martin in his past three starts allowed 8 runs in 14 1/3rd innings. Pivetta in his past three home starts allowed 12 earned runs with three homers in 17 1/3rd innings. Boston has lost 10 of 13. Their bullpen in this period has an ERA of 6.00 and hitting .207. Play Chicago +226.
Cincinnati Reds vs. NY Mets MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Reds at Mets—Brandon Williamson to start for Cincinnati. Williamson in his 2024 debut allowed two earned runs with five strikeouts in 3 1/3rd innings at home to the Brewers. He started 23 games last year with an ERA of 4.46 and WHIP of 1.28 striking out 98 batters in 117 innings. Jose Quintana will start for NY. Quintana has 27 starts with an ERA of 4.27 and WHIP of 1.32. The lefthander fans 17.9% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.4% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Quintana in his past four home starts allowed 17 earned runs with seven homers in 20 1/3rd innings. NY has won seven straight and the Reds four straight. In their past ten games the Reds are batting .266. Play Cincinnati +154.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Phillies at Marlins—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in 27 starts produces an ERA of 2.63 and WHIP of 0.98. The righthander strikes out 27.5% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls are 42.2% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. Edward Cabrera will start for Miami. Cabrera has 16 starts with an ERA of 5.33 and WHIP of 1.47. The righty fans 25.2% with 12.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.8% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Wheeler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 11 of his past 12 starts. Cabrera in his past four home starts has an ERA of 2.74 and WHIP of 1.35. Both bullpens were in good form the past ten games. Miami has gone under in five of seven. The Phillies were under six of nine. Play Miami and Philadelphia under 7.5.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Blue Jays at Braves—Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has 27 starts on the campaign producing an ERA of 4.07 with WHIP of 1.23. The veteran strikes out 22% with 7.1% walks. Grounders are 38% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. Max Fried to start for Atlanta. Fried in 24 starts has an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 1.21. The lefthander strikes out 22.4% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 57.8% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Gausman has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Fried in his past six starts has an ERA of 4.96 with WHIP of 1.38. Both bullpen in their past ten games have an ERA at or near four. In this period the Blue Jays are batting .260 with the Braves at .222. Play Toronto +149.
LA Angels vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Angels at Rangers—Samuel Aldegheri to start for LA. Aldegheri in his MLB debut allowed two earned runs with three strikeouts in five innings at home to Seattle. A 2019 draft pick who posted an ERA of 3.59 with WHIP of 1.15 in three stops in the lower minors. Gerson Garabito to start for Texas. Garbito appeared in 11 games with an ERA of 2.55 and WHIP of 1.02. The righthander fans 19.4% with 11.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 37% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.94 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Texas has won eight of ten. LA has lost eight of nine on the road. In their past ten games the Angels are hitting .178. Play Texas -162.
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Twins at Royals—Zebby Matthews to start for Minnesota. Matthews has four starts delivering an ERA of 7.41 and WHIP of 1.47. The righthander has a K mark of 22.8% with 2.5% walks. Grounders are 42.1% with 2.65 home runs per nine innings. Cole Ragans to start for KC. Ragans in 28 starts an ERA of 3.46 and WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander fans 29.5% with 8.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.2% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Matthews was hammered in his last start for nine earned runs and three homers in two innings against the Blue Jays. Ragans in his past three starts allowed 12 runs with nine walks in 14 innings. KC has lost 7 of 8. In their past ten games the Royals have a bullpen ERA of 5.51 and batting .213. Play Minnesota +131.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Diamondbacks at Astros—Brandon Pfaadt will start for Arizona. Pfaadt in 27 starts on the year deals with an ERA of 4.32 and WHIP of 1.19. The righthander fans 23.3% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 42.4% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Framber Valdez to start for Houston. Valdez has 24 starts with an ERA of 3.11 with WHIP of 1.11. The lefthander strikes out 24.4% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 59.5% with 0.66 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pfaadt in his past four starts allowed 19 runs in 22 2/3rd innings. Valdez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. The Diamondbacks have gone over in 9 of 11. In their past ten games the Diamondbacks bullpen has an ERA of 6.60 but hit .280. Play Arizona and Houston over 8.
Seattle Mariners vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Mariners at Cardinals—Byrce Miller to start for Seattle. Miller has 27 starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 3.30 with WHIP of 1.00. The righthander fans 24% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Erick Fedde will start for St Louis. Fedde has 27 starts in the season with an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.16. The righty is fanning 21.5% with 7.2% walks. Grounders are 42.2% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miller in his past five starts has an ERA of 1.88 and WHIP of 0.77. Fedde in his past four starts has an ERA of 4.30 with WHIP of 1.22. In their past ten games the Cardinals are hitting .272 with the Mariners are .235. St Louis has won six of eight. The Mariners have lost 13 of 17 on the road. Play St Louis -111.
Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Tigers at Athletics—Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal in 27 starts on the campaign delivering an ERA of 2.51 with WHIP of 0.93. The lefthander has an elite 30.3% K rate with 5% walks. Grounders dealt at 45.6% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Mitch Spence is the starter for Oakland. Spence has 30 appearances with an ERA of 4.50 and WHIP of 1.35. The rookie righthander fans 19.6% with 7.7% walks. Grounders sit at 48.3% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Skubal has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of five starts. Spence has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of eight starts. Detroit bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 1.41. They are batting .233 in this period. Play Detroit and Oakland under 7.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Giants at Padres—Mason Black to start for San Francisco. Black appeared in five games this year producing an ERA of 7.45 with WHIP of 1.66. The righthander strikes out 17.2% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls served at 31.3% with 2.33 home runs per nine innings. Micheal King will start for San Diego. King appeared in 27 games with an ERA of 3.17 with WHIP of 1.21. The righty is fanning 28% with 9% walks. Grounders are 40.3% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
King has allowed two earned runs or fewer in nine of his past ten starts. The Giants have lost six of eight. The Padres have won 11 of 15 at home. In their past ten games the Giants are batting .198. Play San Diego on the run line -1.5 runs at -107.
Cleveland Guardians vs. LA Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 9/6/2024
Guardians at Dodgers—Matthew Boyd will start for Cleveland. Boyd has four starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 2.38 and WHIP of 0.84. The lefthander fans 23.3% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.4% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. Landon Knack will start for LA. Knack appeared in ten games delivering an ERA of 3.00 and WHIP of 1.00. The righthander strikes out 22.6% with 6.2% walks. Grounders are 33.1% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.72 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Boyd has allowed one earned run in three of his four starts. Knack has allowed two earned runs or fewer eight of ten starts. LA has won 10 of 12 at home. Cleveland has dropped six of nine on the road. In their past ten games the Dodgers are hitting .269. Play LA -144.