Free MLB Picks For Today, Thursday 9/5/2024
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 9/5/2024
Astros at Reds—Hunter Brown will start for Houston. Brown appeared in 27 games this season dealing with an ERA of 3.55 and WHIP of 1.29. The righthander strikes out 25.2% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 48.1% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Rhett Lowder to start for Cincinnati. Lowder in his MLB debut allowed one earned run with six strikeouts and four walks in four innings. A first-round pick in 2023 from Wake Forest produced an ERA of 3.64 and WHIP of 1.15 in 108 2/3rd innings of work in three levels of the minor leagues.
The Pick:
Brown has allowed two earned runs or fewer in eight of his past nine starts. In their past ten games the Astros bullpen has an ERA of 2.00. The Reds had dropped 12 of 17 prior to the start of this series. Play Houston -146.
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 9/5/2024
Twins at Rays—Pablo Lopez will start for Minnesota. Lopez has 27 starts in 2024 putting up an ERA of 4.05 and WHIP of 1.12. The righthander fans 25.7% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 43% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. Taj Bradley to start for Tampa Bay. Bradley in 20 starts with an ERA of 4.35 and WHIP of 1.22. The righty is striking out 26.4% with 8.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 41% with 1.48 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Lopez in his past three starts allowed no earned runs in 20 2/3rd innings. Bradley in his past six starts has an ERA of 9.85 with WHIP of 1.84. He is getting hurt by the home run ball. The Twins bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 3.51. Play Minnesota -132.
Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 9/5/2024
Mariners at Athletics—Bryan Woo to start for Seattle. Woo in 17 starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 2.30 with WHIP of 0.81. The righthander strikes out 19.8% with 2.5% walks. Ground balls served at 42.6% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.29 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Joey Estes to start for Oakland. Estes appeared in 20 games with an ERA of 4.29 and WHIP of 1.11. The righty is fanning 18.9% with 5.2% walks. Grounders are 23.6% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Woo in his past three starts allowed eight runs with five homers in 20 2/3rd innings. Estes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in eight of his past nine starts. Seattle has lost 13 of 15 in their past 15 road games after dropping the first two in this series. In their past ten games the Mariners are batting .206. Play Oakland +120.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 9/5/2024
Diamondbacks at Giants—Merrill Kelly to start for Arizona. Kelly has eight starts this year delivering an ERA of 4.30 with WHIP of 1.28. The righthander strikes out 17.4% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 41% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings. Blake Snell will start for San Francisco. Snell in 16 starts with an ERA of 3.56 with WHIP of 1.08. The lefthander has an elite 32.9% K rate with 10.7% walks. Ground balls served at 42% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Kelly since returning to the rotation has an ERA of 6.75 and WHIP of 1.65 in 21 1/3rd innings of work getting hurt with the home run. Snell has allowed two earned runs or fewer in nine of his past ten starts. San Francisco has lost 9 of 12. Arizona has won eight straight on the road. San Francisco in their past ten games hitting .205 with the Diamondbacks at .279. Play Arizona +138.
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 9/5/2024
Nationals at Pirates—Jake Irvin to start for Washington. Irvin at 28 starts on the season delivers an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander fans 20.6% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.5% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings. Bailey Falter will start for Pittsburgh. Falter has 23 starts with an ERA of 4.41 with WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander strikes out 16.8% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.3% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Irvin in his past six starts has an ERA of 6.61 with WHIP of 1.59. Falter in his past four starts has an ERA of 7.23 with WHIP of 1.82. The Pirates bullpen has been hammered as in their past ten games have an ERA of 9.23. Play Washington +106.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 9/5/2024
Phillies at Marlins—Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in 22 starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 3.02 with WHIP of 1.08. The lefthander strikes out 24.7% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls served at 52.1% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings. Adam Oller is the starter for Miami. Oller has three starts with an ERA of 3.31 and WHIP of 1.04. The righthander strikes out 23.9% with 11.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.6% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.64 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Suarez in his past six starts has an ERA of 6.90 with WHIP of 1.60. Oller in his past two starts allowed one earned run in 11 2/3rd innings. The Phillies have won 9 of 11. Miami has lost 9 of 12 at home. In their past ten games the Phillies have a bullpen ERA of 2.66. In that period the Marlins hit .239. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at -135.
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 9/5/2024
Rockies at Braves—Austin Gomber will start for Colorado. Gomber in 26 starts on the season produces an ERA of 4.69 with WHIP of 1.30. The lefthander strikes out 16.9% with 6% walks. Ground balls served at 39.2% with 1.69 home runs per nine innings. Reynaldo Lopez to start for Atlanta. Lopez has 22 starts with an ERA of 2.00 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander strikes out 25.4% with 8.5% walks. Grounders sit at 39.1% with 0.59 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.03 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Gomber in his past five road starts has an ERA of 3.64 and WHIP of 1.15. Lopez has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts. Atlanta has gone under in 12 of 16 and Rockies in three of four. The Braves in their past ten games are hitting .231. Play Colorado and Atlanta under 8.5.
LA Angels vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 9/5/2024
Angels at Rangers—Jack Kochanowicz to start for LA. Kochanowicz in six starts on the season puts up an ERA of 4.96 with WHIP of 1.41. The righthander fans 8.8% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 59.3% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. Jose Urena to start for Texas. Urena appeared in 31 games with an ERA of 3.72 and WHIP of 1.34. The righthander strikes out 15.1% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls are 50% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Kochanowicz in his past four starts has an ERA of 2.45 with WHIP of 1.13. Bradford in his past five starts has an ERA of 2.61 and WHIP of 0.87. The Rangers have won 9 of 13 games. LA has lost seven of eight on the road. In their past ten games they are batting .178. Play Texas -158.
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 9/5/2024
Tigers at Padres—Casey Mize is the starter for Detroit. Mize has 17 starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 5.25 with WHIP of 1.42. The righthander fans 16.8% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 49.3% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. Martin Perez to start for San Diego. Perez at 22 starts an ERA of 4.71 with WHIP of 1.53. The lefthander strikes out 18% with 8.3% walks. Grounders are 44.1% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Mize has allowed three earned runs or fewer in eight straight starts. Perez in his past five home starts has an ERA of 2.10 and WHIP of 1.29. In their past ten games the Tigers have a bullpen ERA of 1.83 and Padres at 2.84. Over this period Detroit is hitting .233. They have gone under in six of eight. Play Detroit and San Diego under 8.5.